Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/30/2022

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Jul 29, 2022
Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Saturday, July 30, 2022
Venue:  Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
Where to Watch:  Sportsnet SW

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners NL, Astros NL; Over/Under:  NL runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners NL, Astros NL; Over/Under:  NL runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners NL, Astros NL; Over/Under:  NL runs
 

Season Record

Seattle Mariners:  54-46 (2nd place, AL West)
Houston Astros:  65-35 (1st place, AL West)
 
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Recent Form
Seattle Mariners:  6-4 last 10
Houston Astros:  6-4 last 10
 
 
 

Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Preview and Analysis

 
The Mariners were on a 3 game winning streak but now enter this game off of a loss. They won their last series against the Texas Rangers 3-0 completing the sweep in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 54-46 record overall and have a road record of 27-23. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Astros on Saturday with the 2nd game still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 15th in the MLB with a .706 OPS. Robbie Ray is their starting pitcher on Friday while Chris Flexen is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 7-8 with a 3.75 ERA this season. His team won their last 6 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 5 Ks on 4 hits through 6 IP against the Texas Rangers. 
 
The Astros were on a 3 game losing streak but now enter this game off of a win. They lost their last series against the Oakland Athletics getting swept 3-0 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 65-35 record overall and have a home record of 31-14. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Mariners on Saturday with the 2nd game still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 6th in the MLB with a .739 OPS. Justin Verlander is on the mound on Friday while Framber Valdez will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Saturday. He is 9-4 with a 2.74 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 0 HRs, and 1 BB with 8 Ks on 8 hits through 6.2 IP against the Seattle Mariners. 

 

Mariners vs Astros Prediction

The current betting odds have not been listed for this game yet. The Astros have been playing very well against the Mariners in their recent games though. They were swept by the A's in their last series but have owned the Mariners with their last 4 wins all coming against them. The Mariners have not been as hot on offense since coming out of the All-Star break and they have struggled to score runs on this Astros pitching staff in their games. The Astros have been pitching very well and they have another solid starter going in this game with Valdez on the mound here. He has been pitching very well this season and will be able to shut down the mariners here as their offense has not been great recently. Even the games the Mariners have won since the break have been very close games and their starter here, Chris Flexen, has not pitched as well on the road this season. He will get smashed by this Astros lineup that is hitting very well right now and the Astros should continue on their streak here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Astros to win this game on the runline.
 
Mariners Astros Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 30, 2022 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Astros 7 Mariners 3.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Seattle Mariners: 171-151 (+50.3 Units) ML in all games. 82-79 (+32.3 Units) ML in road games. 28-17 UNDER against division opponents.
Houston Astros: 23-23 (-9.8 Units) ML after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals. 60-36 UNDER in all games. 27-17 UNDER in home games.
 

Key Injuries

 
Seattle Mariners:  T. Murphy (C) out for season - Shoulder. T. Trammell (LF) Mid Aug - Hamstring. E. White (1B) Out indefinitely - Groin.
Houston Astros:  M. Brantley (LF) Early Aug - Shoulder. B. Taylor (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Castro (C) Out indefinitely - Knee.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"Just another tight game with the Astros. The last four we've played have been very, very close. Unfortunately we haven't been able to do a whole lot offensively, but we had a few chances there. It was a tight game and a very well-pitched game." - Scott Servais after his team’s loss against the Astros on Thursday.
 
 
"Sometimes you give guys a day off and they come back mentally and physically refreshed. It worked today. He was fresh, and we needed that from him." - Dusty Baker after his team’s win against the Mariners on Thursday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Seattle Mariners
Julio Rodriguez (R) CF
Ty France (R) 1B
Carlos Santana (S) DH
Eugenio Suarez (R) 3B
J.P. Crawford (L) SS
Cal Raleigh (S) C
Jesse Winker (L) LF
Adam Frazier (L) 2B
Dylan Moore (R) RF
 
Houston Astros
Jose Altuve (R) 2B
Yuli Gurriel (R) 1B
Yordan Alvarez (L) DH
Alex Bregman (R) 3B
Kyle Tucker (L) RF
Jeremy Pena (R) SS
Chas McCormick (R) LF
Jake Meyers (R) CF
Martin Maldonado (R) C
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Seattle Mariners
Batting Average:  Drew Ellis (.333)
Hits:  Ty France (104)
Home Runs:  Julio Rodriguez (18)
RBI:  Julio Rodriguez (56)
Stolen Bases:  Julio Rodriguez (21)
Wins:  Logan Gilbert (10)
Saves:  Paul Sewald (12)
ERA:  Justus Sheffield (0.00)
 
Houston Astros
Batting Average:  Yordan Alvarez (.309)
Hits:  Yordan Alvarez (89)
Home Runs:  Yordan Alvarez (29)
RBI:  Yordan Alvarez (67)
Stolen Bases:  Kyle Tucker (16)
Wins:  Justin Verlander (13)
Saves:  Ryan Pressly (21)
ERA:  Ryne Stanek (0.76)
 
Managers:
Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (7th season)
Houston Astros: Dusty Baker (3rd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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