Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/29/2022

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Jul 28, 2022
Game Time: 8:10 pm ET, Friday, July 29, 2022
Venue:  Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
Where to Watch:  Sportsnet SW

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +150, Astros -175; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +150, Astros -175; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +150, Astros -175; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
 

Season Record

Seattle Mariners:  54-45 (2nd place, AL West)
Houston Astros:  64-35 (1st place, AL West)
 
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Recent Form
Seattle Mariners:  7-3 last 10
Houston Astros:  6-4 last 10
 
 
 

Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Preview and Analysis

 
The Mariners enter this game on a 3 game winning streak. They won their last series against the Texas Rangers 3-0 completing the sweep in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 54-45 record overall and have a road record of 27-22. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Astros on Friday with the series opener still to be played on Thursday. Their offense ranks 15th in the MLB with a .708 OPS. Logan Gilbert is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Robbie Ray is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 8-7 with a 3.90 ERA this season. His team won 6 of their last 7 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 6 ER, 2 HRs, and 0 BB with 1 K on 10 hits through 3 IP against the Houston Astros. 
 
The Astros enter this game on a 3 game losing streak. They lost their last series against the Oakland Athletics getting swept 3-0 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 64-35 record overall and have a home record of 30-14. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Mariners on Friday with the 1st game still to be played on Thursday. Their offense ranks 6th in the MLB with a .740 OPS. José Urquidy is on the mound on Thursday while Justin Verlander will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Friday. He is 13-3 with a 1.86 ERA this season. His team won their last 5 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 9 Ks on 4 hits through 7 IP against the Seattle Mariners. 

 

Mariners vs Astros Prediction

The current betting odds have the Astros listed as a favorite in this game. The Astros were just swept by the A's in their last series, right after sweeping the Mariners in their first series back from the All-Star break. The Astros have been crushing the Mariners in recent games against them as they have been pitching very well against them and scoring a lot of runs in those games. The Mariners are starting Ray here and he is coming off of a very bad start in his last but he has not been pitching well all season as he allows quite a few runs in his starts. The Astros have Verlander starting here and he has been the best pitcher on their staff this season. He pitched great against them in his last start just last week and he will replicate that start here as he has been pitching well all season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Astros to win this game.
 
Mariners Astros Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, July 29, 2022 (8:10 pm ET start time) is Astros 5 Mariners 2.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Seattle Mariners: 171-150 (+51.3 Units) ML in all games. 82-78 (+33.3 Units) ML in road games. 27-17 UNDER against division opponents.
Houston Astros: 106-59 (-11.6 Units) ML as a favorite of -150 or more. 59-36 UNDER in all games. 26-17 UNDER in home games.
 

Key Injuries

 
Seattle Mariners:  T. Murphy (C) out for season - Shoulder. T. Trammell (LF) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. E. White (1B) Out indefinitely - Groin.
Houston Astros:  M. Brantley (LF) Early Aug - Shoulder. B. Taylor (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Castro (C) Out indefinitely - Knee.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"That's Julio Rodriguez. That's why it's a fun game. He plays like a kid and he's fun to be around every day." - Scott Servais after his team’s win against the Rangers on Wednesday.
 
 
"You've got to be ready to play. We didn't play our best baseball the last three days, but we'll go home and look forward to doing that tomorrow." - Alex Bregman after their loss against the A’s on Wednesday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Seattle Mariners
Julio Rodriguez (R) CF
Jesse Winker (L) LF
Kyle Lewis (R) DH
Carlos Santana (S) 1B
Eugenio Suarez (R) 3B
J.P. Crawford (L) SS
Adam Frazier (L) 2B
Luis Torrens (R) C
Sam Haggerty (S) RF
 
Houston Astros
Jose Altuve (R) 2B
Yuli Gurriel (R) 1B
Yordan Alvarez (L) DH
Aledmys Diaz (R) 3B
Kyle Tucker (L) RF
Chas McCormick (R) LF
Mauricio Dubon (R) SS
Jake Meyers (R) CF
Korey Lee (R) C
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Seattle Mariners
Batting Average:  Drew Ellis (.333)
Hits:  Ty France (103)
Home Runs:  Julio Rodriguez (18)
RBI:  Julio Rodriguez (56)
Stolen Bases:  Julio Rodriguez (21)
Wins:  Logan Gilbert (10)
Saves:  Paul Sewald (12)
ERA:  Justus Sheffield (0.00)
 
Houston Astros
Batting Average:  Yordan Alvarez (.309)
Hits:  Yordan Alvarez (88)
Home Runs:  Yordan Alvarez (29)
RBI:  Yordan Alvarez (67)
Stolen Bases:  Kyle Tucker (16)
Wins:  Justin Verlander (13)
Saves:  Ryan Pressly (20)
ERA:  Ryne Stanek (0.76)
 
Managers:
Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (7th season)
Houston Astros: Dusty Baker (3rd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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