Game Time: 8:10 pm ET, Thursday, July 28, 2022
Venue: Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
Where to Watch: Fox Sports 1
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Mariners +120, Astros -140; Over/Under: 8 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Mariners +120, Astros -140; Over/Under: 8 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Mariners +115, Astros -140; Over/Under: 8 runs
Season Record
Seattle Mariners: 53-45 (2nd place, AL West)
Houston Astros: 64-34 (1st place, AL West)
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Recent Form
Seattle Mariners: 7-3 last 10
Houston Astros: 6-4 last 10
Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Preview and Analysis
The Mariners enter this game on a 2 game winning streak. They lost their last series against the Houston Astros getting swept 3-0 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 53-45 record overall and have a road record of 27-22. This is the series opener of a 4-game series with the Astros on Thursday with the series finale of their series against the Texas Rangers still to be played on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 15th in the MLB with a .708 OPS. Marco Gonzales is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Logan Gilbert is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 10-4 with a 2.77 ERA this season. His team won 5 of their last 6 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HRs, and 1 BB with 8 Ks on 5 hits through 6 IP against the Houston Astros.
The Astros enter this game on a 2 game losing streak. They won their last series against the Seattle Mariners 3-0 completing the sweep in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 64-34 record overall and have a home record of 30-14. This is the 1st game of a 4-game series with the Mariners on Thursday with the 3rd game of their series against the Oakland Athletics still to be played on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 6th in the MLB with a .741 OPS. Cristian Javier is on the mound on Wednesday while José Urquidy will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Thursday. He is 9-4 with a 3.93 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 3 Ks on 4 hits through 6 IP against the Seattle Mariners.
Mariners vs Astros Prediction
The current betting odds have the Mariners listed as a slight underdog in this game. The Astros have not been playing very well in their recent games. They came out of the All-Star break very hot but have cooled right down with 2 straight losses against the A's, losing a series against them right before the break as well. The Astros have been slipping up in these recent games and the Mariners are going to be hungry for some revenge here in this game. The Mariners came out of the break getting swept by the Astros but they have a chance for revenge here and they have been playing much better now with 2 straight wins over the Rangers. They also have their ace on the mound here in Gilbert and he has been great all season for the Mariners as he does not allow many runs when he starts. He will keep the Astros from scoring a lot here and the Mariners offense is starting to pick up now so they will score some runs against the Astros who have not been pitching well recently. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mariners to win this game.
Mariners Astros Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Thursday, July 28, 2022 (8:10 pm ET start time) is Mariners 3 Astros 2.
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MLB Betting Trends
Seattle Mariners: 170-150 (+50.2 Units) ML in all games. 82-78 (+33.3 Units) ML in road games. 26-17 UNDER against division opponents.
Houston Astros: 109-83 (-8.9 Units) ML in the second half of the season. 58-36 UNDER in all games. 26-17 UNDER in home games.
Key Injuries
Seattle Mariners: T. Murphy (C) out for season - Shoulder. T. Trammell (LF) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. E. White (1B) Out indefinitely - Groin.
Houston Astros: M. Brantley (LF) Early Aug - Shoulder. B. Taylor (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Castro (C) Out indefinitely - Knee.
Notable Quotes
"The thing with (Flexen), he's never going to wow you. He's just always going to keep you in the game. And I appreciate that. I think every manager appreciates those type of guys." - Scott Servais after his team’s win against the Rangers on Monday.
"The bottom of their order, 7 and 8, Bolt and Kemp, they beat us by themselves tonight. We've certainly got to do do better against them." - Dusty Baker after his team’s loss against the A’s on Monday.
Starting Lineups
Seattle Mariners
Julio Rodriguez (R) CF
Ty France (R) 1B
Carlos Santana (S) DH
Eugenio Suarez (R) 3B
Jesse Winker (L) LF
Kyle Lewis (R) RF
J.P. Crawford (L) SS
Cal Raleigh (S) C
Adam Frazier (L) 2B
Houston Astros
Chas McCormick (R) LF
Jeremy Pena (R) SS
Yordan Alvarez (L) DH
Alex Bregman (R) 3B
Kyle Tucker (L) RF
Aledmys Diaz (R) 2B
J.J. Matijevic (L) 1B
Jake Meyers (R) CF
Martin Maldonado (R) C
Statistical Leaders
Seattle Mariners
Batting Average: Drew Ellis (.333)
Hits: Ty France (103)
Home Runs: Julio Rodriguez (17)
RBI: Julio Rodriguez (53)
Stolen Bases: Julio Rodriguez (21)
Wins: Logan Gilbert (10)
Saves: Paul Sewald (12)
ERA: Justus Sheffield (0.00)
Houston Astros
Batting Average: Yordan Alvarez (.307)
Hits: Yordan Alvarez (87)
Home Runs: Yordan Alvarez (28)
RBI: Yordan Alvarez (66)
Stolen Bases: Kyle Tucker (16)
Wins: Justin Verlander (13)
Saves: Ryan Pressly (20)
ERA: Ryne Stanek (0.79)
Managers:
Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (7th season)
Houston Astros: Dusty Baker (3rd season)