by Rod Pearson
Monday, Jul 01, 2024
Game Time: 7:20 pm ET, Tuesday, July 2, 2024
Venue: Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
Where to Watch: BSSO
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Giants +160, Braves -192; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Giants +160, Braves -192; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Giants +160, Braves -192; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Season Record
San Francisco Giants: 41-44 (4th place, NL West)
Atlanta Braves: 46-36 (2nd place, NL East)
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Recent Form
San Francisco Giants: 5-5 last 10
Atlanta Braves: 5-5 last 10
San Francisco Giants vs Atlanta Braves Preview and Analysis
The Giants are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 41-44 record overall and have a road record of 16-25. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Braves on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 15th in the MLB with a .708 OPS. Rookie pitcher Spencer Bivens was their starting pitcher on Sunday while rookie pitcher Hayden Birdsong is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 0-0 with a 5.79 ERA this season. His team won their only game this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 3 BB with 5 Ks on 6 hits through 4.2 IP against the Chicago Cubs.
The Braves are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 46-36 record overall and have a home record of 26-14. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Giants on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 14th in the MLB with a .709 OPS. Rookie pitcher Spencer Schwellenbach was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Reynaldo López is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 6-2 with a 1.70 ERA this season. His team won their last 5 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 4 BB with 5 strikeouts on 4 hits through 5 innings played against the St Louis Cardinals.
Giants vs Braves Prediction
The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Braves have looked good in their games this season with their 46-36 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the NL East and chasing the Phillies in 1st place. They have looked a lot better in their home games though, going 26-14 in their home games. Meanwhile, the Giants haven't looked great in their games this season with their 41-44 record overall which has them lower in the NL West and struggling to get into the playoff race. They have looked terrible in their road games too, going 16-25 in their road games. They are going to have a rookie on the mound in this game with Birdsong starting and he hasn't been great this season. He is 0-0 with a 5.79 ERA and the team won the only game he started in, but he gave up 3 earned runs in a little under 5 innings in that start. The Braves are banged up but they still have a good offense that has been putting up runs and they are going to put up runs on this rookie at home where their offense has looked a lot better lately. The Braves are also going to have their ace on the mound here in Lopez who is 6-2 with a 1.70 ERA this year. He only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start and the team has won their last 5 games with him starting. The Braves are due for a bounce back here at home and they have the much better pitching matchup in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game and on the runline.
Giants Braves Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 2, 2024 (7:20 pm ET start time) is Braves 7 Giants 1.
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MLB Betting Trends
San Francisco Giants: 17-12 (-8.20 units) on the runline in their last 29 games. 30-52 (-20.05 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 82 games.
Atlanta Braves: 8-2 (+4.85 units) on the moneyline in their last 10 games. 5-5 (1.05 units) on the runline in their last 10 games. 47-21 to the over in their last 68 games.
Key Injuries
San Francisco Giants: K. Winn (RP) - Elbow. M. Yastrzemski (RF) - Side. K. Harrison (SP) - Ankle. K. Harrison (SP) - Ankle. B. Snell (SP) - Groin. L. Wade (1B) - Hamstring. J. Lee (CF) - Labrum. T. Murphy (C) - Head. A. Cobb (SP) - Hip. E. Small (SP) - Oblique. T. Beck (RP) - Arm. A. Warren (RP) - Elbow. R. Ray (SP) - Elbow.
Atlanta Braves: O. Arcia (SS) - Head. B. Anderson (RF) - Bacterial Infection. R. Kerr (RP) - Elbow. H. Waldrep (SP) - Elbow. H. Ynoa (SP) - Elbow. M. Harris (CF) - Hamstring. S. Strider (SP) - Elbow. R. Acuña (RF) - Knee. J. Herget (SP) - Shoulder. T. Matzek (RP) - Elbow. A. Minter (RP) - Hip. A. Smith-Shawver (RP) - Oblique. A. Perdomo (RP) - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
“We’re resilient. After tough losses, we come out and do stuff like that almost every time. ... We’ve got to roll some games together leading up to the (All-Star) break. This was a good start in what is kind of a tough stretch right now.” - Bob Melvin after his team’s win against the LA Dodgers in their game on Sunday.
“I’m nothing but impressed with the Skenes kid. He doesn’t look like a first-year guy to me. He’s got a lot of confidence.” - Brian Snitker after his team’s win against the Pirates in their game on Saturday.
Starting Lineups
San Francisco Giants
J Soler (R) DH
A Slater (R) RF
H Ramos (R) CF
P Bailey (S) C
M Chapman (R) 3B
L Matos (R) LF
D Villar (R) 1B
N Ahmed (R) SS
T Fitzgerald (R) 2B
Atlanta Braves
J Kelenic (L) CF
O Albies (S) 2B
M Ozuna (R) DH
M Olson (L) 1B
A Riley (R) 3B
A Duvall (R) RF
S Murphy (R) C
O Arcia (R) SS
L Williams (R) LF
Statistical Leaders
San Francisco Giants
Batting Average: Marco Luciano (.375)
Hits: Matt Chapman (76)
Home Runs: Matt Chapman (11)
RBI: Matt Chapman (39)
Stolen Bases: Matt Chapman (7)
Wins: Logan Webb (6)
Saves: Camilo Doval (14)
ERA: Ryan Walker (2.09)
Atlanta Braves
Batting Average: Marcell Ozuna (.300)
Hits: Marcell Ozuna (91)
Home Runs: Marcell Ozuna (21)
RBI: Marcell Ozuna (67)
Stolen Bases: Ronald Acuña (16)
Wins: Chris Sale (10)
Saves: Raisel Iglesias (20)
ERA: AJ Smith-Shawver (0.00)
Managers:
San Francisco Giants: Bob Melvin (1st season)
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (9th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
