by Rod Pearson
Friday, Jun 19, 2026
Game Time: 4:05 pm ET, Saturday, June 20, 2026
Venue: Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX
Where to Watch: MLB TV
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Padres +119, Rangers -143; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Padres +120, Rangers -140; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Padres +120, Rangers -145; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
Season Record
San Diego Padres: 38-35 (2nd place, NL West)
Texas Rangers: 35-39 (3rd place, AL West)
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Recent Form
San Diego Padres: 5-5 last 10
Texas Rangers: 4-6 last 10
San Diego Padres vs Texas Rangers Preview and Analysis
The Padres are entering this series off a win and lost their 3-game series against the St Louis Cardinals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 38-35 record overall and have a road record of 19-16. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Rangers on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 30th in the MLB with a .652 OPS. Randy Vásquez is their starting pitcher on Friday while Walker Buehler is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 4-3 with a 4.14 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 5 SO on 6 hits through 5 IP against the Baltimore Orioles.
The Rangers are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 3-game series against the Minnesota Twins 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 35-39 record overall and have a home record of 17-17. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Padres on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 24th in the MLB with a .700 OPS. Jacob deGrom is their starting pitcher on Friday while Nathan Eovaldi is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 6-7 with a 4.23 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 2 homers, and 1 walks with 6 strikeouts on 6 hits through 7 innings pitched against the Boston Red Sox.
Padres vs Rangers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Padres listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Rangers haven't looked good in their games this season with their 35-39 record overall which has them right in the middle of the AL West. They have looked better in their own ballpark though with their 17-17 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Padres have looked good in their games this season with their 38-35 record overall which has them right near the top of the NL West. They have been a good road team too with their 19-16 road record this year. The Padres are 5-5 in their last 10 games and haven't looked good lately, but the Rangers are 4-6 in their last 10 games and have been falling into a slump lately. Eovaldi is on the mound for the Rangers in this one and he hasn't looked great this season. He is 6-7 with a 4.23 ERA and he has been giving up quite a few runs all season. The team has had more success with him lately, winning 2 of their last 3 games with him starting, but he did give up 3 earned runs in his last start which has been a common theme for him. The Padres are going with Buehler in this one and he hasn't looked great this season either. He is 4-3 with a 4.14 ERA, but lately he has looked a lot better in his starts. He is coming off a great start in which he only gave up 1 earned run which is starting to become a common theme for him lately, and even the team has had more success with him, winning 2 games in a row now with him starting. Buehler is going to continue pitching well against a Rangers offense that hasn't been good, so look for the Padres to take advantage of this pitching matchup with their starter trending in the right direction. The best way to place a bet here is on the Padres to win this game.
Padres Rangers Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Saturday, June 20, 2026 (4:05 pm ET start time) is Padres 5 Rangers 3.
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MLB Betting Trends
San Diego Padres: 227-181 (+24.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 108-96 (+17.5 units) on the moneyline in road games. 84-79 (+27.7 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 28-16 UNDER against AL West opponents.
Texas Rangers: 19-24 (-6.8 units) on the moneyline against NL West opponents. 194-204 (-26.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 94-81 (-5.9 units) on the moneyline when the money line is -100 to -150. 27-15 UNDER against NL West opponents.
Key Injuries
San Diego Padres: F. Fermin (C) Seven Day IL - Concussion. M. Andujar (DH) Ten Day IL - Hamstring. J. Estrada (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Knee. R. Laureano (LF) Sixty Day IL - Hip. N. Pivetta (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. L. Campusano (C) Ten Day IL - Toe. M. Waldron (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Arm. J. Cronenworth (2B) Seven Day IL - Concussion. G. Marquez (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Forearm. B. Hoeing (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Musgrove (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.
Texas Rangers: C. Seager (SS) Day To Day - Concussion. M. Helman (CF) Ten Day IL - Hand. E. Carter (CF) Ten Day IL - Oblique. J. Beeks (RP) Ten Day IL - Back. D. Jansen (C) Ten Day IL - Forearm. C. Martin (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. R. Garcia (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. C. Baumler (RP) Sixty Day IL - Ribs. C. Bradford (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Montgomery (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
“Whoever scores first has definitely got an advantage. We’ve struggled a lot in the first inning this year, and to get a run in the first feels really good in the dugout.” - Craig Stammen after his team’s win against the Cardinals in their game on Wednesday.
"I don't know if it's becoming a thing like mentally maybe, but something that we got to continue to address because we're playing from behind too often and it's tough to play catch up." - Skip Schumaker after his team’s loss against the Twins in their game on Thursday.
Starting Lineups
San Diego Padres
Fernando Tatis Jr. (R) RF
Samad Taylor (R) LF
Jackson Merrill (L) CF
Manny Machado (R) 3B
Gavin Sheets (L) DH
Xander Bogaerts (R) SS
Ty France (R) 1B
Will Wagner (L) 2B
Rodolfo Durán (R) C
Texas Rangers
Joc Pederson (L) DH
Josh Jung (R) 3B
Wyatt Langford (R) LF
Brandon Nimmo (L) RF
Ezequiel Duran (R) SS
Josh Smith (L) 2B
Jake Burger (R) 1B
Alejandro Osuna (L) CF
Kyle Higashioka (R) C
Statistical Leaders
San Diego Padres
Batting Average: Samad Taylor (.343)
Hits: Fernando Tatis (79)
Home Runs: Manny Machado (12)
RBI: Manny Machado (36)
Stolen Bases: Fernando Tatis (18)
Wins: Randy Vásquez (6)
Saves: Mason Miller (19)
ERA: Mason Miller (0.90)
Texas Rangers
Batting Average: Elias Díaz (.389)
Hits: Josh Jung (80)
Home Runs: Jake Burger (12)
RBI: Jake Burger (42)
Stolen Bases: Evan Carter (10)
Wins: Nathan Eovaldi (6)
Saves: Jacob Latz (12)
ERA: Joe Ross (0.00)
Managers:
San Diego Padres: Craig Stammen (1st season)
Texas Rangers: Skip Schumaker (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
