San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/20/2026

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, May 19, 2026
Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Wednesday, May 20, 2026
Venue:  Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK 
Where to Watch:  NBC, Peacock


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Spurs +6.5, Thunder -6.5; Over/Under:  215.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Spurs +6.5, Thunder -6.5; Over/Under:  216.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Spurs +6.5, Thunder -6.5; Over/Under:  216.5 points

Season Record

San Antonio Spurs:  62-20 (1st place, Southwest Division)
Oklahoma City Thunder:  64-18 (1st place, Northwest Division)

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Recent Form
San Antonio Spurs:  8-2 last 10
Oklahoma City Thunder:  8-2 last 10


San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder Preview and Analysis


The Spurs are entering the playoffs with a 62-20 record overall this season and they were 29-12 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Minnesota Timberwolves twice in a row and the Oklahoma City Thunder. Victor Wembanyama led the team in points in that game with 41 while Dylan Harper was next on the team with 24 points. Stephon Castle led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Victor Wembanyama led the team in rebounds with 24. They were 42.7% from the field, 30.2% from 3-point range, and 93.1% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.5 PPG against them. The Spurs have an ATS record of 55-38-2 this season and their O/U record is 44-51.



The Thunder are entering the playoffs with a 64-18 record overall this season and they were 34-7 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the San Antonio Spurs. Alex Caruso led the team in points in that game with 31 while Jalen Williams was next on the team with 26 points. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in assists in that game with 12 while Chet Holmgren led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 40.6% from the field, 37.8% from 3-point range, and 84.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 107.9 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 44-47 this season and their O/U record is 50-41.


Spurs vs Thunder Prediction

The current betting odds have the Spurs listed as a 6.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Spurs have looked great in their games this season with their 60-22 record overall which had them right near the top of the West with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have been a great road team too with their 29-12 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Thunder have looked great in their games this season with their 64-18 record overall which had them right at the top of the West with the best record in the entire NBA. They have looked great on their home court too with their 34-7 home record this season. This is game 2 of a 7-game series between the 1st seeded Thunder and the 2nd seeded Spurs for the Western Conference Finals of the NBA playoffs. The Spurs are entering this game with a 1-0 series lead after winning game 1 by a score of 122-115. The Thunder swept the Suns and the Lakers in the last 2 rounds and they have been rolling lately, going 8-2 in their last 10 games, but they finally found their first challenge of the playoffs. The Spurs have been one of the best teams in the NBA all season and they showed why they can be a threat to the Thunder in game 1. The Spurs have been going toe-to-toe with the Thunder all season too, so this is nothing new for the Spurs to rip off a road win in the series opener. The Thunder did get Williams back in that game who has missed most of the playoffs and they will be looking to bounce back in this one, but this is the 1 team that they have had a lot of trouble with all year and they aren't just going to take over this game. The Spurs have the talent to win this game on the road again and they aren't going to get blown out in a loss. Look for the Spurs to once again keep this a tight game with the momentum on their side now. The best way to place a bet here is on the Spurs to cover the spread in this game. 

Spurs Thunder Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, May 20, 2026 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Thunder 119 Spurs 115.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert basketball picks today.  And if you enjoyed this San Antonio Spurs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NBA predictions and previews.

NBA Betting Trends


San Antonio Spurs: 28-18 ATS in road games. 14-6 ATS as an underdog. 9-3 ATS in all playoff games. 10-4 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%). 7-3 OVER as an underdog  of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 6-3 OVER when the total is 210 to 219.5.

Oklahoma City Thunder: 18-29 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% of their attempts or more. 5-11 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game. 7-16 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 13-6 OVER when the total is 210 to 219.5. 26-16 OVER versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game.

Key Injuries


San Antonio Spurs:  D. Fox (PG) Day To Day - Ankle. D. Jones Garcia (SF) Out For Season - Ankle.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  T. Sorber (C) Out For Season - Knee.


Notable Quotes


“It was a war of wills. The levels of mental toughness exuded by both teams ... we needed every second from everybody that played.” - Mitch Johnson after his team’s win against the OKC Thunder in the 1st game of this series on Monday.


“We have to get better from this game.” - Mark Daigneault after his team’s loss against the Spurs in game 1 of this series on Monday.


Starting Lineups


San Antonio Spurs
PG De'Aaron Fox
SG Stephon Castle
SF Devin Vassell
PF Julian Champagnie
C Victor Wembanyama

Oklahoma City Thunder
PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
SG Luguentz Dort
SF Jalen Williams
PF Chet Holmgren
C Isaiah Hartenstein

Statistical Leaders


San Antonio Spurs
PPG: Victor Wembanyama (25)
APG: Stephon Castle (7.4)
Reb/G: Victor Wembanyama (11.5)

Oklahoma City Thunder
PPG: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (31.1)
APG: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (6.6)
Reb/G: Isaiah Hartenstein (9.4)

Coaches:
San Antonio Spurs: Mitch Johnson (2nd season)
Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (6th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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