San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/15/2026

Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Friday, May 15, 2026

Venue:  Target Center, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  Prime Video

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Spurs -4.5, Timberwolves +4.5; Over/Under:  218.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Spurs -4.5, Timberwolves +4.5; Over/Under:  218.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Spurs -4.5, Timberwolves +4.5; Over/Under:  218.5 points

San Antonio Spurs:  62-20 (1st place, Southwest Division)

Minnesota Timberwolves:  49-33 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

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San Antonio Spurs:  7-3 last 10

Minnesota Timberwolves:  6-4 last 10

The Spurs are entering the playoffs with a 62-20 record overall this season and they were 29-12 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Minnesota Timberwolves. Victor Wembanyama led the team in points in that game with 27 while Keldon Johnson was next on the team with 21 points. Stephon Castle led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Victor Wembanyama led the team in rebounds with 17. They were 52.8% from the field, 34.4% from 3-point range, and 77.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.5 PPG against them. The Spurs have an ATS record of 53-38-2 this season and their O/U record is 42-51.

The Timberwolves are entering the playoffs with a 49-33 record overall this season and they were 26-15 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the San Antonio Spurs. Anthony Edwards led the team in points in that game with 20 while Jaden McDaniels and Julius Randle each were next on the team with 17 points. Ayo Dosunmu and Terrence Shannon Jr. each led the team in assists in that game with 4 while Julius Randle led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 38.6% from the field, 27.3% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 114.6 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 42-51 this season and their O/U record is 42-51.

The current betting odds have the Spurs listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Spurs have looked great in their games this season with their 62-20 record overall which had them right near the top of the West with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have been a great road team too with their 29-12 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves have looked good in their games this season with their 49-33 record overall which had them in the top half of the West. They have looked good on their home court too with their 26-15 home record this season. This is game 6 of a 7-game series between the 2 seeded Spurs and the 6 seeded Timberwolves in the West for the 2nd round of the NBA playoffs. The Spurs are entering this game with a 3-2 series lead after winning game 5 by a score of 126-97. The Timberwolves put up a good fight in the 1st half, but they couldn't contain the Spurs in the 2nd half as they broke that game open. The Spurs have been one of the best teams in the NBA all season and even though they had some trouble against the Timberwolves in the regular season, they have looked like the better team in this series. The Timberwolves were able to catch the Spurs off-guard in game 1, winning with Edwards coming off the bench, but the Spurs had an answer to that with 2 wins in a row. Then the Timberwolves managed to even up the series in game 4 with a home win, but that game Wemby was ejected after playing 12 minutes. The Timberwolves have been getting crushed in their losses in this series though and it is clear that they don't have the talent to compete with a team like the Spurs. The Spurs will be looking to end this series on the road and not drag it out another game with the Thunder already waiting for them in the next round, so look for the Spurs to continue rolling in this one. The best way to place a bet here is on the Spurs to cover the spread in this game. 

Spurs Timberwolves Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, May 15, 2026 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Spurs 121 Timberwolves 112.

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San Antonio Spurs: 26-18 ATS in road games. 7-3 ATS in all playoff games. 35-22 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 16-9 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). 9-5 UNDER after a blowout win by 20 points or more.

Minnesota Timberwolves: 12-19 ATS at home against Southwest division opponents. 2-5 ATS at home after a blowout loss by 20 points or more. 30-16 UNDER in home games. 13-6 UNDER revenging a road loss vs opponent. 19-7 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive overs.

San Antonio Spurs:  D. Jones Garcia (SF) Out For Season - Ankle.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  D. DiVincenzo (SG) Out For Season - Leg.

“I thought we did a good job of having resistance early in the clock. They’ve shown as the series has gone on, they’ve tried to play faster at times and they’re tough when they get downhill. I think when we’ve had better starting spots, more connectivity at the start of possessions, I think it’s really helped us be on a string and be organized and connected defensively.” - Mitch Johnson after his team’s win against the Timberwolves in the 5th game of this series on Tuesday. 

“We went away from what was working. Our defense just cratered. We gave up 30 points, I think, in the last six minutes of the third quarter. A lot of it was just ball contain, ball contain stuff.” - Chris Finch after his team’s loss against the Spurs in game 5 of this series on Tuesday. 

PG De'Aaron Fox

SG Stephon Castle

SF Devin Vassell

PF Julian Champagnie

C Victor Wembanyama

PG Ayo Dosunmu

SG Anthony Edwards

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Julius Randle

C Rudy Gobert

PPG: Victor Wembanyama (25)

APG: Stephon Castle (7.4)

Reb/G: Victor Wembanyama (11.5)

PPG: Anthony Edwards (28.8)

APG: Julius Randle (5)

Reb/G: Rudy Gobert (11.5)

Coaches:

San Antonio Spurs: Mitch Johnson (2nd season)

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (6th season)