San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/08/2026

Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Friday, May 8, 2026

Venue:  Target Center, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  Prime Video

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Spurs -3.5, Timberwolves +3.5; Over/Under:  215.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Spurs -3.5, Timberwolves +3.5; Over/Under:  216.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Spurs -3.5, Timberwolves +3.5; Over/Under:  216.5 points

San Antonio Spurs:  62-20 (1st place, Southwest Division)

Minnesota Timberwolves:  49-33 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

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San Antonio Spurs:  7-3 last 10

Minnesota Timberwolves:  7-3 last 10

The Spurs are entering the playoffs with a 62-20 record overall this season and they were 29-12 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Minnesota Timberwolves. Stephon Castle led the team in points in that game with 21 while Victor Wembanyama was next on the team with 19 points. Dylan Harper led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Victor Wembanyama led the team in rebounds with 15. They were 50% from the field, 41% from 3-point range, and 81.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.5 PPG against them. The Spurs have an ATS record of 51-37-2 this season and their O/U record is 39-51.

The Timberwolves are entering the playoffs with a 49-33 record overall this season and they were 26-15 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the San Antonio Spurs. Julius Randle, Jaden McDaniels, Terrence Shannon Jr., and Anthony Edwards each led the team in points in that game with 12 while Naz Reid was next on the team with 11 points. Jaden McDaniels and Kyle Anderson each led the team in assists in that game with 4 while Rudy Gobert led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 39.8% from the field, 30% from 3-point range, and 51.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 114.6 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 41-49 this season and their O/U record is 39-51.

The current betting odds have the Spurs listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Spurs have looked great in their games this season with their 62-20 record overall which had them right near the top of the West with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have been a great road team too with their 29-12 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves have looked good in their games this season with their 49-33 record overall which had them in the top half of the West. They have looked good on their home court too with their 26-15 home record this season. This is game 3 of a 7-game series between the 2 seeded Spurs and the 6 seeded Timberwolves in the West for the 2nd round of the NBA playoffs. This series is all evened up 1-1 after the Spurs won game 2 by a score of 133-95. The Spurs had a lot of trouble in game 1 of this series and ended up losing it at home, but they bounced back in the last one with a huge win by over 30 points. They looked a lot like the team that was one of the best in the NBA all season and they will be looking to get that game back in this series. They did the same thing in their 1st round series, losing a home game to the Trail Blazers early in the series, but they answered that loss with 3 wins in a row to close out the series and they will have that same mentality here. The Timberwolves kicked the Nuggets out of the playoffs in 6 games last round and they have had a lot of playoff success over the last few years. They are now banged up though and their best player has been coming off the bench in these first 2 games, playing through what looked like a bad injury he picked up in the 1st round. Now that the Spurs are settled into this series, they are going to look more like the team that showed up in game 2 of this series. They have a lot more talent to take advantage of this Timberwolves team that isn't 100% healthy now, and they are going to bring their best effort to win this road game and flip the home advantage in this series back in their favor. The best way to place a bet here is on the Spurs to cover the spread in this game. 

Spurs Timberwolves Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, May 8, 2026 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Spurs 121 Timberwolves 114.

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San Antonio Spurs: 25-17 ATS in road games. 8-4 ATS after a blowout win by 20 points or more. 33-21 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 11-4 UNDER after allowing 100 points or less. 16-6 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%).

Minnesota Timberwolves: 11-18 ATS at home against Southwest division opponents. 3-6 ATS at home off a road loss. 16-23 1H ATS in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5. 30-14 UNDER in home games. 13-5 UNDER revenging a road loss vs opponent.

San Antonio Spurs:  D. Jones Garcia (SF) Out For Season - Ankle.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  D. DiVincenzo (SG) Out For Season - Leg.

“We’re at our best when (Fox is) in attack mode. He has probably the strongest ripple effect on our team in terms of when he’s in attack mode pushing the pace, because you have Steph (Castle) and Dylan (Harper) that follow suit with that. And then our shooters get shot in transition. Victor plays in space and so on and so forth.” - Mitch Johnson after his team’s win against the Timberwolves in the 2nd game of this series on Wednesday. 

“I just told them we got punked.” - Chris Finch after his team’s loss against the Spurs in game 2 of this series on Wednesday. 

PG De'Aaron Fox

SG Stephon Castle

SF Devin Vassell

PF Julian Champagnie

C Victor Wembanyama

PG Mike Conley

SG Anthony Edwards

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Julius Randle

C Rudy Gobert

PPG: Victor Wembanyama (25)

APG: Stephon Castle (7.4)

Reb/G: Victor Wembanyama (11.5)

PPG: Anthony Edwards (28.8)

APG: Julius Randle (5)

Reb/G: Rudy Gobert (11.5)

Coaches:

San Antonio Spurs: Mitch Johnson (2nd season)

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (6th season)