Game Time: 3:00 pm ET, Saturday, March 28, 2026
Venue: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI
Where to Watch: Prime Video
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Spurs -18.5, Bucks +18.5; Over/Under: 226.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Spurs -18.5, Bucks +18.5; Over/Under: 226.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Spurs -19.5, Bucks +19.5; Over/Under: 226.5 points
Season Record
San Antonio Spurs: 55-18 (1st place, Southwest Division)
Milwaukee Bucks: 29-43 (3rd place, Central Division)
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Recent Form
San Antonio Spurs: 9-1 last 10
Milwaukee Bucks: 2-8 last 10
San Antonio Spurs vs Milwaukee Bucks Preview and Analysis
The Spurs are entering this game with a 55-18 record overall this season and they are 26-11 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 7 game winning streak with wins coming against the Charlotte Hornets, the Los Angeles Clippers, the Sacramento Kings, the Phoenix Suns, the Indiana Pacers, the Miami Heat, and the Memphis Grizzlies. Devin Vassell and Victor Wembanyama each led the team in points in that game with 19 while Stephon Castle and Keldon Johnson each were next on the team with 15 points. Stephon Castle led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Victor Wembanyama led the team in rebounds with 15. They were 51.7% from the field, 34.8% from 3-point range, and 68.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.5 PPG against them. The Spurs have an ATS record of 41-31-2 this season and their O/U record is 33-41.
The Bucks are entering this game with a 29-43 record overall this season and they are 16-19 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Los Angeles Clippers and the Portland Trail Blazers. Ryan Rollins led the team in points in that game with 36 while Ousmane Dieng was next on the team with 16 points. AJ Green led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Jericho Sims and Taurean Prince each led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 40.4% from the field, 31.1% from 3-point range, and 65% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 110.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.6 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 31-41 this season and their O/U record is 32-40.
Spurs vs Bucks Prediction
The current betting odds have the Spurs listed as an 18.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Spurs have looked great in their games this season with their 55-18 record overall which has them right near the top of the West with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have been a great road team too with their 26-11 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Bucks haven't looked good in their games this season with their 29-43 record overall which has them in the bottom half of the East. They haven't looked great on their home court either with their 16-19 home record this season. The Bucks find themselves right outside the last spot for the play-in tournament in the East, but they are still nowhere near the record needed to make it. It is clear that this team is looking toward the future with only a handful of games left this season. They have been missing their best player, Giannis Antetokounmpo, and they have been dealing with some other injuries too. They are off a crushing loss to the Trail Blazers in their last one and they have looked terrible lately as they are 2-8 in their last 10 games, losing 2 games in a row now. The Spurs have been rolling though with their 9-1 record in their last 10 games and they have a ton of momentum on their side with 7 wins in a row now too. They have been one of the best teams in the NBA all season and they are also a lot healthier than the Bucks, so look for the Spurs to take advantage of another tanking team here and continue to roll in this one. The best way to place a bet here is on the Spurs to cover the spread in this game.
Spurs Bucks Prediction: Our NBA Pick for Saturday, March 28, 2026 (3:00 pm ET start time) is Spurs 126 Bucks 102.
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NBA Betting Trends
San Antonio Spurs: 17-10 ATS in non-conference games. 6-3 ATS off a win against a division rival. 6-3 ATS after a blowout win by 20 points or more. 6-3 UNDER after allowing 100 points or less. 31-22 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more.
Milwaukee Bucks: 9-16 ATS in non-conference games. 20-29 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% of their shots or more. 16-24 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 25-12 UNDER revenging a loss vs opponent. 25-14 UNDER versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game.
Key Injuries
San Antonio Spurs: L. Kornet (C) Day To Day - Knee. D. Fox (PG) Day To Day - Back. D. Jones Garcia (SF) Out For Season - Ankle.
Milwaukee Bucks: M. Turner (C) Day To Day - Calf. B. Portis (PF) Day To Day - Wrist. K. Kuzma (PF) Day To Day - Achilles. G. Harris (SG) Day To Day - Groin. K. Porter Jr. (SG) Day To Day - Knee. G. Antetokounmpo (PF) Out - Ankle.
Notable Quotes
"It’s a huge part of his growth. He’s really embraced that, understanding how he can dominate the game and create advantages for others whether that’s screening, passing, spacing. The defense at some point has to commit to taking away something and depending on what that is and what they do, it presents him with an opportunity because he is so skilled and so dominant in so many ways." - Mitch Johnson on the growth of Victor Wembanyama this season.
“We're just trying to get Giannis clear and healthy. That's our only focus. All the other stuff, we stay above.” - Doc Rivers after his team’s loss against the Portland Trail Blazers in their game on Wednesday.
Starting Lineups
San Antonio Spurs
PG De'Aaron Fox
SG Stephon Castle
SF Devin Vassell
PF Julian Champagnie
C Victor Wembanyama
Milwaukee Bucks
PG Ryan Rollins
SG AJ Green
SF Ousmane Dieng
PF Bobby Portis
C Myles Turner
Statistical Leaders
San Antonio Spurs
PPG: Victor Wembanyama (24.2)
APG: Stephon Castle (7.1)
Reb/G: Victor Wembanyama (11.2)
Milwaukee Bucks
PPG: Giannis Antetokounmpo (27.6)
APG: Kevin Porter Jr. (7.4)
Reb/G: Giannis Antetokounmpo (9.8)
Coaches:
San Antonio Spurs: Mitch Johnson (2nd season)
Milwaukee Bucks: Doc Rivers (3rd season)