San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/04/2026

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Apr 03, 2026
Game Time: 3:00 pm ET, Saturday, April 4, 2026
Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Where to Watch:  Prime Video


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Spurs -2.5, Nuggets +2.5; Over/Under:  243.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Spurs -2.5, Nuggets +2.5; Over/Under:  243.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Spurs -2.5, Nuggets +2.5; Over/Under:  243.5 points

Season Record

San Antonio Spurs:  59-18 (1st place, Southwest Division)
Denver Nuggets:  49-28 (2nd place, Northwest Division)

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Recent Form
San Antonio Spurs:  10-0 last 10
Denver Nuggets:  8-2 last 10


San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets Preview and Analysis


The Spurs are entering this game with a 59-18 record overall this season and they are 29-11 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on an 11 game winning streak with wins coming against the Charlotte Hornets, the Los Angeles Clippers, the Sacramento Kings, the Phoenix Suns, the Indiana Pacers, the Miami Heat, the Memphis Grizzlies, the Milwaukee Bucks, the Chicago Bulls, the Golden State Warriors, and the LA Clippers again. De'Aaron Fox led the team in points in that game with 22 while Stephon Castle was next on the team with 20 points. Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, and Dylan Harper each led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Devin Vassell led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 53.4% from the field, 38.7% from 3-point range, and 85.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.1 PPG against them. The Spurs have an ATS record of 43-33-2 this season and their O/U record is 34-44.



The Nuggets are entering this game with a 49-28 record overall this season and they are 24-13 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 7 game winning streak with wins coming against the Toronto Raptors, the Portland Trail Blazers, the Phoenix Suns, the Dallas Mavericks, the Utah Jazz, the Golden State Warriors, and the Jazz again. Jamal Murray led the team in points in that game with 37 while Cameron Johnson was next on the team with 19 points. Nikola Jokić led the team in assists in that game with 12 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 17. They were 48.4% from the field, 41% from 3-point range, and 83.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 121.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.6 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 41-36 this season and their O/U record is 47-30.


Spurs vs Nuggets Prediction

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as a 2.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Nuggets have looked really good in their games this season with their 49-28 record overall which has them right near the top of the West. They have looked great on their home court too with their 24-13 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Spurs have looked great in their games this season with their 59-18 record overall which has them right near the top of the West with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have been a great road team too with their 29-11 road record this year. The Spurs have been one of the best teams in the NBA this season since the start of the season and they are a team that has shown that they can challenge the Thunder who are still at the top. The Spurs have looked great lately too with 11 wins in a row now, but they have also been dealing with some injuries too. Wemby has been in and out of the lineup for them and even though they can still catch the Thunder for the number 1 seed in the West, the top priority for the Spurs is getting to the playoffs healthy. They are the hottest team in the NBA at the moment, but they have also been beating up on a lot of bad teams during that time and they aren't going to keep winning right to the end of the season. The Nuggets have been a really good team in the West all season and they have also been rolling in their games lately. They are 8-2 in their last 10 games and have a ton of momentum on their side with 7 wins in a row now. They are also fighting for seeding in the West so they are going to be motivated to win and will bring their best effort at home to put a stop to this Spurs winning streak. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game. 

Spurs Nuggets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Saturday, April 4, 2026 (3:00 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 114 Spurs 111.
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NBA Betting Trends


San Antonio Spurs: 4-7 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or less. 3-7 ATS off an upset win as an underdog. 6-11 ATS on the road versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season. 9-1 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3.

Denver Nuggets: 15-7 ATS as an underdog. 7-2 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%). 15-8 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 7-4 UNDER at home when the line is +3 to -3.

Key Injuries


San Antonio Spurs:  V. Wembanyama (C) Day To Day - Injury Management. D. Jones Garcia (SF) Out For Season - Ankle.

Denver Nuggets:  Z. Nnaji (PF) Day To Day - Hip. S. Jones (SF) Day To Day - Hamstring. T. Hardaway Jr. (SG) Day To Day - Knee. P. Watson (SF) Day To Day - Hamstring.


Notable Quotes


“We don’t have any more back-to-backs, so that helps him with more recovery time. It’s something we’ll definitely be mindful of so we can get everybody as healthy as they can be down the stretch.” - Mitch Johnson on the injury to Victor Wembanyama.


“Just expecting more from ourselves throughout the game. Just not letting up. We know [the Jazz], they come out and play every single game. ... We just got to make sure that we bring an intensity and focus to match that or exceed it. Every game, we've been trying to create good habits, no matter who we’re playing. No matter what the coverage is. We’re playing with some confidence and playing with some trust. Like I said, create good habits for the playoffs." - Jamal Murray after their win against the Jazz in their game on Wednesday. 


Starting Lineups


San Antonio Spurs
PG De'Aaron Fox
SG Stephon Castle
SF Devin Vassell
PF Julian Champagnie
C Victor Wembanyama

Denver Nuggets
PG Jamal Murray
SG Christian Braun
SF Cameron Johnson
PF Aaron Gordon
C Nikola Jokic

Statistical Leaders


San Antonio Spurs
PPG: Victor Wembanyama (24.7)
APG: Stephon Castle (7.2)
Reb/G: Victor Wembanyama (11.5)

Denver Nuggets
PPG: Nikola Jokic (27.7)
APG: Nikola Jokic (10.8)
Reb/G: Nikola Jokic (13)

Coaches:
San Antonio Spurs: Mitch Johnson (2nd season)
Denver Nuggets: David Adelman (2nd season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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