Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/07/2025

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, September 7, 2025

Venue:  MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Steelers -3, Jets +3; Over/Under:  38.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Steelers -2.5, Jets +2.5; Over/Under:  38.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Steelers -3, Jets +3; Over/Under:  38.5 points

Pittsburgh Steelers:  0-0 (AFC North)

New York Jets:  0-0 (AFC East)

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Pittsburgh Steelers:  N/A

New York Jets:  N/A

The Steelers finished last season with a 10-7 record overall and they were 3-3 in their division games too. They had a 5-3 record in their home games and had a 5-4 record in their road games where they will be in this game. Last season, their offense was averaging 22.4 points per game and their defense was allowing an average of 20.4 points per game. Their offense was also averaging 319.4 yards per game and their defense was allowing an average of 326.7 yards per game. Russell Wilson led the team in passing yards with 2,482, Najee Harris led the team in rushing yards with 1,043, and George Pickens led the team in receiving yards with 900.

The Jets finished last season with a 5-12 record overall and they were 2-4 in their division games too. They had a 3-5 record in their home games and had a 2-7 record in their road games where they will be in this game. Last season, their offense was averaging 19.9 points per game and their defense was allowing an average of 23.8 points per game. Their offense was also averaging 310.3 yards per game and their defense was allowing an average of 313.8 yards per game. Aaron Rodgers led the team in passing yards with 3,897, Breece Hall led the team in rushing yards with 876, and Garrett Wilson led the team in receiving yards with 1,104.

The current betting odds have the Steelers listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Steelers weren't a great team last season, but they did go 10-7 and made the playoffs under Tomlin as they usually do. There has been some big changes to the offense this season, but now they have a more reliable veteran QB in Aaron Rodgers to bring some consistency to this offense. They also had a really good defense last year as they usually do under Tomlin and they still have a ton of talent on that defense this year so it is not going to be easy to move the ball against them. Meanwhile, the Jets looked terrible last season with their 5-12 record overall which had them as one of the worst teams in the NFL. The defense wasn't terrible, but it got a lot worse after firing their head coach Robert Saleh mid-season. The offense wasn't great with Aaron Rodgers, but they aren't going to be any better this season now that Justin Fields is the starter. Fields has the ability to be dynamic with his legs, but he is not a great passer and that is a big reason why the Steelers benched him for Russell Wilson last season. He definitely has this game against his former team circled, but so does Aaron Rodgers as he wants to show the Jets he was not the issue with the team last season. As bad as Rodgers was last season, he is still the more reliable QB in this matchup and he is in a much better situation in Pittsburgh so they have a big advantage in this season opener, especially since they have the better defense too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Steelers to cover the spread in this game. 

Steelers Jets Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, September 7, 2025 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Steelers 23 Jets 13.

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Pittsburgh Steelers: 21-15 ATS in all games. 15-8 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 7-3 ATS in games played on turf. 14-9 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3.

New York Jets: 12-21 ATS in all games. 6-11 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 5-14 ATS in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 6-2 UNDER as a home underdog of 7 points or less.

Pittsburgh Steelers:  None.

New York Jets:  None.

“You have got to start first with their running game. Coach Aaron Glenn has been very transparent about their desire to run the football and their commitment to do so, and so that has our attention as we prepare.” - Mike Tomlin on his team’s upcoming game against the Jets in week 1.

"We have like three good running backs, and I keep saying that. Listen, they all have different skill sets that we're going to utilize. And that does not mean that I'm trading Breece. OK? Does not! So, I'm going to say that right now. I just like having three good guys. Hell, I wish I had more, but we don't." - Aaron Glenn on the team’s running back room coming into the new NFL season.

WR Metcalf, DK

WR Austin III, Calvin

TE Smith, Jonnu

TE Freiermuth, Pat 

QB Rodgers, Aaron

RB Warren, Jaylen

WR Wilson, Garrett

WR Reynolds, Josh 

WR Lazard, Allen

TE Taylor, Mason

QB Fields, Justin

RB Hall, Breece

FB Beck, Andrew

Passing: N/A

Rushing: N/A

Receiving: N/A

Touchdowns: N/A

Passing: N/A

Rushing: N/A

Receiving: N/A

Touchdowns: N/A

Coaches:

Pittsburgh Steelers: Mike Tomlin (19th season)

New York Jets: Aaron Glenn (1st season)