Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/10/2024

Game Time: 8:10 pm ET, Wednesday, July 10, 2024

Venue:  American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI

Where to Watch:  Sportsnet PT

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Pirates +130, Brewers -155; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Pirates +130, Brewers -155; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Pirates +130, Brewers -155; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Pittsburgh Pirates:  43-47 (3rd place, NL Central)

Milwaukee Brewers:  53-38 (1st place, NL Central)

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Pittsburgh Pirates:  4-6 last 10

Milwaukee Brewers:  5-5 last 10

The Pirates are entering this series off a win and split their 4-game series against the New York Mets 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 43-47 record overall and have a road record of 21-23. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Wednesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 27th in the MLB with a .666 OPS. Josh Fleming is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Martín Pérez is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 1-4 with a 4.72 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 2 Ks on 6 hits through 7.1 IP against the St Louis Cardinals.

The Brewers are entering this series off a win and lost their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 53-38 record overall and have a home record of 27-13. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Pirates on Wednesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .732 OPS. Colin Rea is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while rookie pitcher Tobias Myers is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 5-3 with a 3.52 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 5 strikeouts on 8 hits through 6 innings played against the Colorado Rockies.

The current betting odds have the Brewers listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Brewers have looked good in their games this season with their 53-38 record overall which has them leading the NL Central with a top 10 record in the MLB. They have also looked great in their home games this year with their 27-13 home record. Meanwhile, the Pirates haven't looked great in their games this season with their 43-47 record overall which has them out of the playoff race right now. They haven't looked great in their road games either, going 21-23 in their road games this year. They managed to split their series with the Mets over the weekend, winning the last game of that series on Monday, but they are only 4-6 in their last 10 games and have been really up and down. They are going to have Perez on the mound in this one and he hasn't looked good in his starts this year. He is 1-4 with a 4.72 ERA and even though he gave up no runs in his last start while going 7 innings deep, his team still lost the game and has lost 3 games in a row with him starting. He has been struggling a lot over the last few seasons too so it is going to be tough for him to follow up that good start with another one here. The Brewers are going with Myers in this one and he is 5-3 with a 3.52 ERA. He gave up 4 earned runs in his last start and the team has also lost 2 games in a row with him starting, but in a game like this with 2 questionable starters, it is better to go with the better offensive team here. The Pirates haven't had a good offense this season and even in their games lately they have been up and down. The Brewers have the better offense and these are the kinds of series they need to be sweeping to win this division. The best way to place a bet here is on the Brewers to win this game.

Pirates Brewers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 10, 2024 (8:10 pm ET start time) is Brewers 9 Pirates 5.

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Pittsburgh Pirates: 35-45 (-12.05 units) on the moneyline in their last 80 games. 46-29 to the under with their team total in their last 75 games. 19-10 to the under in their last 29 games. 

Milwaukee Brewers: 24-10 (+11.50 units) on the moneyline in their last 34 home games. 18-11 (+10.55 units) on the runline in their last 29 home games. 53-39 (+9.45 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 92 games. 

Pittsburgh Pirates:  D. Santana (RP) - Arm. D. Bednar (RP) - Oblique. H. Davis (C) - Head. H. Stratton (RP) - Shoulder. C. Priester (SP) - Undisclosed. R. Borucki (RP) - Triceps. J. Bae (CF) - Undisclosed. M. Gonzales (SP) - Forearm. J. Bart (C) - Thumb. M. Pérez (RP) - Groin. D. Moreta (RP) - Elbow. E. Rodríguez (C) - Elbow. J. Oviedo (SP) - Elbow.

Milwaukee Brewers:  J. Ortiz (3B) - Neck. G. Sánchez (C) - Calf. R. Gasser (SP) - Flexor. O. Dunn (2B) - Back. D. Hall (SP) - Knee. J. Ross (SP) - Back. W. Miley (SP) - Elbow. J. Bukauskas (RP) - Lat. G. Mitchell (CF) - Finger. D. Williams (RP) - Back. T. Clarke (RP) - Meniscus. B. Woodruff (SP) - Elbow.

“That was an All-Star performance. He’s 10 wins before the break with another start to go. He made one bad pitch in eight innings and it was hot and he had to sit through two long innings. If that’s not an All-Star, I’m hard-pressed to see what is.” - Derek Shelton on Mitch Keller after his team’s win against the Mets in their game on Monday.

“Yelich rose to the occasion when we needed him. Perkins was unbelievable too. Great effort by our guys.” - Pat Murphy after his team’s win against the LA Dodgers in their game on Sunday.

A McCutchen (R) DH

B Reynolds (S) LF

O Cruz (L) SS

R Tellez (L) 1B

N Gonzales (R) 2B

J Palacios (L) RF

J Suwinski (L) CF

J Bart (R) C

J Triolo (R) 3B

J Chourio (R) LF

R Hoskins (R) 1B

C Yelich (L) DH

W Adames (R) SS

G Mitchell (L) RF

B Perkins (S) CF

B Turang (L) 2B

V Capra (R) 3B

E Haase (R) C

Batting Average:  Joshua Palacios (.300)

Hits:  Bryan Reynolds (101)

Home Runs:  Bryan Reynolds (16)

RBI:  Bryan Reynolds (54)

Stolen Bases:  Ke'Bryan Hayes (8)

Wins:  Mitch Keller (10)

Saves:  David Bednar (16)

ERA:  Brent Honeywell (0.00)

Batting Average:  Eric Haase (.455)

Hits:  William Contreras (105)

Home Runs:  Willy Adames (13)

RBI:  Willy Adames (58)

Stolen Bases:  Brice Turang (29)

Wins:  Colin Rea (8)

Saves:  Trevor Megill (18)

ERA:  James Meeker (0.00)

Managers:

Pittsburgh Pirates: Derek Shelton (5th season)

Milwaukee Brewers: Pat Murphy (1st season)