Philadelphia Phillies vs Texas Rangers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/09/2025

Game Time: 7:15 pm ET, Saturday, August 9, 2025

Venue:  Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX 

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +108, Rangers -132; Over/Under:  7 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +110, Rangers -130; Over/Under:  7 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +110, Rangers -130; Over/Under:  7 runs

Philadelphia Phillies:  65-49 (1st place, NL East)

Texas Rangers:  60-56 (3rd place, AL West)

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Philadelphia Phillies:  5-5 last 10

Texas Rangers:  4-6 last 10

The Phillies are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Baltimore Orioles 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 65-49 record overall and have a road record of 28-28. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Rangers on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .743 OPS. Cristopher Sánchez is their starting pitcher on Friday while Jesús Luzardo is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 10-5 with a 4.32 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 2 HR, and 0 BB with 7 SO on 5 hits through 6 IP against the Baltimore Orioles.

The Rangers are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the New York Yankees 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 60-56 record overall and have a home record of 36-21. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 27th in the MLB with a .678 OPS. Merrill Kelly is their starting pitcher on Friday while Jacob deGrom is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 10-4 with a 2.80 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 3 homers, and 3 walks with 5 strikeouts on 4 hits through 5 innings pitched against the Seattle Mariners.

The current betting odds have the Rangers listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have looked great in their games this season with their 65-49 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL East with one of the best records in the MLB. They haven't been a great road team though with their 28-28 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Rangers have looked good in their games this season with their 60-56 record overall which has them right in the middle of the AL West and in the Wild Card race. They have looked great in their own ballpark too with their 36-21 home record this season. The Rangers haven't looked great lately, but they just beat the Yankees in their last series which was also at home and they have the better pitching matchup to take advantage of in this one. The Rangers are going with deGrom in this one and he has looked great this season. He is 10-4 with a 2.80 ERA and hasn't been giving up many runs all year. He did give up 5 earned runs in his last start and the team has lost 2 games in a row now with him starting, but that hasn't been a common theme for him so he will be looking to bounce back with a better start here. The Phillies are going with Luzardo in this one and he hasn't looked great this season. He is 10-5 with a 4.32 ERA and he has been giving up some runs lately. His team has won 2 games in a row now with him starting, but he did give up 3 earned runs in his last start and he has had some bad starts over the last month. The Rangers have looked like a different team at home this year and they can take advantage of this pitching matchup with deGrom looking to bounce back after a bad start. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rangers to win this game. 

Phillies Rangers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, August 9, 2025 (7:15 pm ET start time) is Rangers 4 Phillies 1.

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Philadelphia Phillies: 112-113 (-19.5 units) on the moneyline in road games. 41-61 (-10.6 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 111-113 (-21 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 14-7 UNDER on the road against AL West opponents.

Texas Rangers: 133-93 (+16.9 units) on the moneyline in home games. 88-62 (+9.3 units) on the moneyline vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse. 76-74 (+8.3 units) on the moneyline vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season. 47-34 UNDER vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse.

Philadelphia Phillies:  D. Robert (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Blister. A. Bohm (3B) Ten Day IL - Ribcage. A. Nola (SP) Sixty Day IL - Ankle.

Texas Rangers:  E. Carter (CF) Ten Day IL - Back. J. Webb (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Back. C. Martin (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Calf. J. Burger (1B) Ten Day IL - Quadriceps. T. Mahle (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. C. Bradford (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Sborz (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder.

"He's fine, so if he's ready to go Sunday. Obviously, we can back him up even more if we need to, because we have the off-day [on Thursday]." - Rob Thomson on the injury to Zack Wheeler.

“I think this shows the fight in them. We've had some tough losses, and I keep saying that they're doing a great job of bouncing back. It's all about being resilient. They came in here and won two really hard-fought games that really could have gone either way, with both teams having a tough time scoring today. It’s great to come away with the wins the way we did. You could get frustrated … but you keep fighting, and that's what they're doing.” - Bruce Bochy after his team’s loss against the Yankees in their game on Wednesday.

Trea Turner (R) SS

Kyle Schwarber (L) DH

Bryce Harper (L) 1B

Nick Castellanos (R) RF

Harrison Bader (R) CF

Otto Kemp (R) 3B

Edmundo Sosa (R) 2B

Weston Wilson (R) LF

Rafael Marchán (S) C

Sam Haggerty (S) LF

Corey Seager (L) SS

Marcus Semien (R) 2B

Adolis García (R) RF

Wyatt Langford (R) CF

Josh Jung (R) DH

Kyle Higashioka (R) C

Josh Smith (L) 3B

Ezequiel Duran (R) 1B

Batting Average:  Trea Turner (.284)

Hits:  Trea Turner (132)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (40)

RBI:  Kyle Schwarber (94)

Stolen Bases:  Trea Turner (25)

Wins:  Cristopher Sánchez (10)

Saves:  Jordan Romano (8)

ERA:  Jhoan Duran (0.00)

Batting Average:  Rowdy Tellez (.290)

Hits:  Josh Smith (98)

Home Runs:  Adolis García (16)

RBI:  Adolis García (63)

Stolen Bases:  Wyatt Langford (15)

Wins:  Jacob deGrom (10)

Saves:  Luke Jackson (9)

ERA:  Luis Curvelo (0.00)

Managers:

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (4th season)

Texas Rangers: Bruce Bochy (3rd season)