Philadelphia Phillies vs Texas Rangers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/08/2025

Game Time: 8:05 pm ET, Friday, August 8, 2025

Venue:  Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX 

Where to Watch:  MLBN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -132, Rangers +108; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -130, Rangers +110; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -130, Rangers +110; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Philadelphia Phillies:  65-49 (1st place, NL East)

Texas Rangers:  60-56 (3rd place, AL West)

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Philadelphia Phillies:  5-5 last 10

Texas Rangers:  4-6 last 10

The Phillies are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Baltimore Orioles 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 65-49 record overall and have a road record of 28-28. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Rangers on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .743 OPS. Ranger Suárez was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Cristopher Sánchez is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 10-3 with a 2.40 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 6 SO on 5 hits through 8 IP against the Detroit Tigers.

The Rangers are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the New York Yankees 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 60-56 record overall and have a home record of 36-21. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 27th in the MLB with a .678 OPS. Jack Leiter was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Merrill Kelly is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 9-6 with a 3.22 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 0 walks with 6 strikeouts on 4 hits through 5.2 innings pitched against the Seattle Mariners.

The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have looked great in their games this season with their 65-49 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL East with one of the best records in the MLB. They haven't been a great road team though with their 28-28 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Rangers have looked good in their games this season with their 60-56 record overall which has them right in the middle of the AL West and in the Wild Card race. They have looked great in their own ballpark too with their 36-21 home record this season. The Rangers just beat the Yankees at home in their last series too, but they are still 4-6 in their last 10 games which means the Phillies are the hotter team coming into this series. The Phillies are also going with Sanchez in this one and he has been one of their best starters all season. He is 10-3 with a 2.40 ERA and he hasn't been giving up many runs lately. He is coming off another great start in which he gave up no runs and the team has won 3 of their last 4 games with him starting too. The Rangers are going with Kelly in this one and they recently acquired him in a trade. He is 9-6 with a 3.22 ERA and was pitching well on the Diamondbacks. The team won 3 of their last 4 games with him starting and he only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start too. As good as he has been lately, there is still going to be an adjustment for him on this new team and the Phillies have the stronger offense by far. The Rangers have looked better on offense lately, but they won't be able to keep up with the Phillies here so the Phillies have the edge in this game when the bullpens come into play. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game. 

Phillies Rangers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, August 8, 2025 (8:05 pm ET start time) is Phillies 3 Rangers 2.

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Philadelphia Phillies: 210-127 (+14.2 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 75-53 (+7.9 units) on the moneyline in an inter-league game. 181-127 (+15.3 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 14-7 UNDER on the road against AL West opponents.

Texas Rangers: 133-93 (+16.9 units) on the moneyline in home games. 88-62 (+9.3 units) on the moneyline vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse. 76-74 (+8.3 units) on the moneyline vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season. 47-34 UNDER vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse.

Philadelphia Phillies:  D. Robert (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Blister. A. Bohm (3B) Ten Day IL - Ribcage. A. Nola (SP) Sixty Day IL - Ankle.

Texas Rangers:  E. Carter (CF) Ten Day IL - Back. J. Webb (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Back. C. Martin (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Calf. J. Burger (1B) Ten Day IL - Quadriceps. T. Mahle (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. C. Bradford (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Sborz (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder.

"He's fine, so if he's ready to go Sunday. Obviously, we can back him up even more if we need to, because we have the off-day [on Thursday]." - Rob Thomson on the injury to Zack Wheeler.

“I think this shows the fight in them. We've had some tough losses, and I keep saying that they're doing a great job of bouncing back. It's all about being resilient. They came in here and won two really hard-fought games that really could have gone either way, with both teams having a tough time scoring today. It’s great to come away with the wins the way we did. You could get frustrated … but you keep fighting, and that's what they're doing.” - Bruce Bochy after his team’s loss against the Yankees in their game on Wednesday.

Trea Turner (R) SS

Kyle Schwarber (L) DH

Bryce Harper (L) 1B

Nick Castellanos (R) RF

Harrison Bader (R) CF

Otto Kemp (R) 3B

Edmundo Sosa (R) 2B

Weston Wilson (R) LF

Rafael Marchán (S) C

Sam Haggerty (S) LF

Corey Seager (L) SS

Marcus Semien (R) 2B

Adolis García (R) RF

Wyatt Langford (R) CF

Josh Jung (R) DH

Kyle Higashioka (R) C

Josh Smith (L) 3B

Ezequiel Duran (R) 1B

Batting Average:  Trea Turner (.284)

Hits:  Trea Turner (132)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (40)

RBI:  Kyle Schwarber (94)

Stolen Bases:  Trea Turner (25)

Wins:  Cristopher Sánchez (10)

Saves:  Jordan Romano (8)

ERA:  Jhoan Duran (0.00)

Batting Average:  Rowdy Tellez (.290)

Hits:  Josh Smith (98)

Home Runs:  Adolis García (16)

RBI:  Adolis García (63)

Stolen Bases:  Wyatt Langford (15)

Wins:  Jacob deGrom (10)

Saves:  Luke Jackson (9)

ERA:  Luis Curvelo (0.00)

Managers:

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (4th season)

Texas Rangers: Bruce Bochy (3rd season)