Game Time: 7:15 pm ET, Saturday, July 30, 2022
Venue: PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
Where to Watch: Fox
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Phillies -155, Pirates +135; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Phillies -155, Pirates +135; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Phillies -155, Pirates +135; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Season Record
Philadelphia Phillies: 52-47 (3rd place, NL East)
Pittsburgh Pirates: 40-59 (4th place, NL Central)
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Recent Form
Philadelphia Phillies: 6-4 last 10
Pittsburgh Pirates: 2-8 last 10
Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates Preview and Analysis
The Phillies enter this game on a 2 game winning streak. They won their last series against the Atlanta Braves 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 52-47 record overall and have a road record of 26-22. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Pirates on Saturday with the 2nd game still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .725 OPS. Bailey Falter is their starting pitcher on Friday while Ranger Suárez is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 7-5 with a 3.84 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HRs, and 1 BB with 4 Ks on 4 hits through 5 IP against the Atlanta Braves.
The Pirates enter this game on a 4 game losing streak. They lost their last series against the Chicago Cubs getting swept 2-0 in a 2-game series. They enter this game with a 40-59 record overall and have a home record of 21-26. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Phillies on Saturday with the 2nd game still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 28th in the MLB with a .653 OPS. José Quintana is on the mound on Friday while Mitch Keller will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Saturday. He is 3-7 with a 4.55 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 7 Ks on 5 hits through 6 IP against the Miami Marlins.
Phillies vs Pirates Prediction
The current betting odds have the Phillies as a favorite in this game. The Phillies have been playing very well recently as they have put together a streak now and are scoring a lot of runs in their games. The Pirates have been trending in the complete opposite direction recently as they have been losing a lot of their games and are not scoring many runs in each one at all. Their lack of offense recently is going to be their downfall here and they are only going to struggle in this game with Suarez pitching. He has been pitching very well in his recent starts and has not been allowing many runs if any at all in his starts. The Pirates have Keller starting here but he has not been pitching well this season and he has been allowing a lot of runs in his recent starts. He will not be able to hold off the Phillies offense as they are just too hot right now and the Phillies will continue to roll here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game.
Phillies Pirates Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 30, 2022 (7:15 pm ET start time) is Phillies 7 Pirates 2.
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MLB Betting Trends
Philadelphia Phillies: 26-22 (+5.6 Units) ML in road games. 10-8 (+4.4 Units) ML on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5. 10-5 UNDER against NL Central opponents.
Pittsburgh Pirates: 120-201 (-24.9 Units) ML in all games. 101-189 (-29.7 Units) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 26-14 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5.
Key Injuries
Philadelphia Phillies: B. Harper (RF) Late Aug - Thumb. Z. Eflin (SP) Out indefinitely - Knee. J. Segura (SS) Early Aug - Finger.
Pittsburgh Pirates: R. Perez (C) out for season - Hamstring. C. Smith-Njigba (CF) Late Aug - Wrist. C. De Jong (SP) Early Aug - Knee.
Notable Quotes
"You're up (7-0), you don't think you're going to need your closer, but sometimes that happens. I thought we played very well. We swung the bats well, everyone had a hit, and we played really good defense." - Rob Thomson after his team’s win against the Pirates on Thursday.
"Hard-fought contest for a lot of innings, the whole way through. It is a tough loss for us. But we did a lot of things right and almost pulled it through. Just needed one more hit." - Cal Mitchell after their loss against the Marlins on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
Philadelphia Phillies
Kyle Schwarber (L) LF
Rhys Hoskins (R) 1B
Alec Bohm (R) 3B
Darick Hall (L) DH
Nick Castellanos (R) RF
Bryson Stott (L) 2B
Didi Gregorius (L) SS
Matt Vierling (R) CF
Garrett Stubbs (L) C
Pittsburgh Pirates
Kevin Newman (R) 2B
Oneil Cruz (L) SS
Ke'Bryan Hayes (R) 3B
Ben Gamel (L) LF
Bligh Madris (L) RF
Greg Allen (S) CF
Cal Mitchell (L) DH
Josh VanMeter (L) 1B
Tyler Heineman (S) C
Statistical Leaders
Philadelphia Phillies
Batting Average: Nick Maton (.500)
Hits: Alec Bohm (100)
Home Runs: Kyle Schwarber (32)
RBI: Kyle Schwarber (64)
Stolen Bases: J.T. Realmuto (13)
Wins: Zack Wheeler (9)
Saves: Corey Knebel (12)
ERA: Francisco Morales (0.00)
Pittsburgh Pirates
Batting Average: Liover Peguero (.333)
Hits: Ke'Bryan Hayes (86)
Home Runs: Bryan Reynolds (15)
RBI: Daniel Vogelbach (34)
Stolen Bases: Ke'Bryan Hayes (11)
Wins: Dillon Peters (5)
Saves: David Bednar (17)
ERA: Max Kranick (0.00)
Managers:
Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (Interim)
Pittsburgh Pirates: Derek Shelton (3rd season)