Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/29/2022

Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Friday, July 29, 2022

Venue:  PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA

Where to Watch:  Sportsnet PT

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -130, Pirates +110; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -130, Pirates +110; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -130, Pirates +110; Over/Under:  8 runs

 

Philadelphia Phillies:  51-47 (3rd place, NL East)

Pittsburgh Pirates:  40-58 (4th place, NL Central)

 

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Philadelphia Phillies:  5-5 last 10

Pittsburgh Pirates:  2-8 last 10

 

 

 

 

The Phillies won 2 of their last 3 games and enter this game off of a win. They won their last series against the Atlanta Braves 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 51-47 record overall and have a road record of 25-22. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Pirates on Friday with the series opener still to be played on Thursday. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .724 OPS. Zack Wheeler is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Bailey Falter is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 0-3 with a 5.18 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 4 ER, 3 HRs, and 2 BB with 5 Ks on 5 hits through 5 IP against the Chicago Cubs. 

 

The Pirates enter this game on a 3 game losing streak. They lost their last series against the Chicago Cubs getting swept 2-0 in a 2-game series. They enter this game with a 40-58 record overall and have a home record of 21-25. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Phillies on Friday with the 1st game still to be played on Thursday. Their offense ranks 28th in the MLB with a .653 OPS. Zach Thompson is on the mound on Thursday while José Quintana will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Friday. He is 3-5 with a 3.70 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HRs, and 0 BB with 4 Ks on 4 hits through 7 IP against the Miami Marlins. 

The current betting odds have the Pirates listed as a slight underdog in this game. The Pirates have not been playing well at all recently as they have been losing a lot of their games and their offense has been awful not scoring a lot of runs. They will not need many runs to win this game with Quintana starting though as he has been great all season and has not been allowing many runs in his recent starts. The Pirates have also been playing much better at home all season and this is a good chance for their offense to heat up again. The Phillies have been playing very well recently as their offense is starting to wake up but they have Falter starting in this game and he has not been great in his few starts this season, allowing a lot of runs in those starts and coming off of another bad start in his last one. The Phillies have been great on offense recently but they have also been very inconsistent with that offense all season and Quintana will give them trouble in this game. This is a good spot for the Pirates to get a win at home against a state rival here with their good pitching matchup in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Pirates to win this game.

 

Phillies Pirates Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, July 29, 2022 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Pirates 4 Phillies 2.

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Philadelphia Phillies: 25-22 (+4.6 Units) ML in road games. 10-8 (+4.4 Units) ML on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5. 10-4 UNDER against NL Central opponents.

Pittsburgh Pirates: 120-200 (-23.9 Units) ML in all games. 101-188 (-28.7 Units) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 26-14 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5.

 

 

Philadelphia Phillies:  B. Harper (RF) Late Aug - Thumb. Z. Eflin (SP) Out indefinitely - Knee. J. Segura (SS) Early Aug - Finger.

Pittsburgh Pirates:  R. Perez (C) out for season - Hamstring. C. Smith-Njigba (CF) Late Aug - Wrist. C. De Jong (SP) Out indefinitely - Knee.

 

 

 

"He's swinging the bat well with authority making solid contact and he's had some really big hits lately. He's a really good offensive player when he's swinging at strikes, using the field and letting it go." - Rob Thomson after his team’s win against the Braves on Wednesday.

 

 

"Hard-fought contest for a lot of innings, the whole way through. It is a tough loss for us. But we did a lot of things right and almost pulled it through. Just needed one more hit." - Cal Mitchell after their loss against the Marlins on Sunday.

 

 

 

Kyle Schwarber (L) LF

Rhys Hoskins (R) 1B

J.T. Realmuto (R) C

Darick Hall (L) DH

Nick Castellanos (R) RF

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

Alec Bohm (R) 3B

Didi Gregorius (L) SS

Odubel Herrera (L) CF

 

Kevin Newman (R) 2B

Bryan Reynolds (S) CF

Ke'Bryan Hayes (R) 3B

Ben Gamel (L) DH

Cal Mitchell (L) RF

Greg Allen (S) LF

Oneil Cruz (L) SS

Josh VanMeter (L) 1B

Jason Delay (R) C

 

 

Batting Average:  Nick Maton (.500)

Hits:  Alec Bohm (98)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (31)

RBI:  Kyle Schwarber (61)

Stolen Bases:  J.T. Realmuto (13)

Wins:  Zack Wheeler (8)

Saves:  Corey Knebel (12)

ERA:  Francisco Morales (0.00)

 

Batting Average:  Liover Peguero (.333)

Hits:  Ke'Bryan Hayes (86)

Home Runs:  Bryan Reynolds (15)

RBI:  Daniel Vogelbach (34)

Stolen Bases:  Ke'Bryan Hayes (11)

Wins:  Dillon Peters (5)

Saves:  David Bednar (17)

ERA:  Max Kranick (0.00)

 

Managers:

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (Interim)

Pittsburgh Pirates: Derek Shelton (3rd season)