Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/28/2022

Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Thursday, July 28, 2022

Venue:  PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA

Where to Watch:  Sportsnet PT

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -165, Pirates +140; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -165, Pirates +140; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -165, Pirates +140; Over/Under:  8 runs

 

Philadelphia Phillies:  50-47 (3rd place, NL East)

Pittsburgh Pirates:  40-58 (4th place, NL Central)

 

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Philadelphia Phillies:  4-6 last 10

Pittsburgh Pirates:  2-8 last 10

 

 

 

 

The Phillies lost 4 of their last 5 games and enter this game off of a loss. They lost their last series against the Chicago Cubs getting swept 3-0 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 50-47 record overall and have a road record of 25-22. This is the series opener of a 4-game series with the Pirates on Thursday with the series finale of their series against the Atlanta Braves still to be played on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .723 OPS. Kyle Gibson is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Zack Wheeler is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 8-5 with a 2.78 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 6 Ks on 3 hits through 7 IP against the Chicago Cubs. 

 

The Pirates enter this game on a 3 game losing streak. They lost their last series against the Chicago Cubs getting swept 2-0 in a 2-game series. They enter this game with a 40-58 record overall and have a home record of 21-25. This is the 1st game of a 4-game series with the Phillies on Thursday and they have Wednesday off as a rest day. Their offense ranks 28th in the MLB with a .653 OPS. Bryse Wilson was on the mound on Tuesday while Zach Thompson will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Thursday. He is 3-7 with a 4.64 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 7 ER, 0 HRs, and 2 BB with 2 Ks on 9 hits through 5.1 IP against the Miami Marlins. 

The current betting odds have the Phillies as a favorite in this game. The Phillies were in a little bit of a slump recently but they have played great in their last 2 games, scoring a lot of runs now as their offense has been waking up. They will have some confidence here from their last series against the Braves and now they are playing a very bad team so they should stay hot here. Thompson is starting for the Pirates here and he is still very new to the MLB but has not been playing well this season either. With the Phillies playing a lot better on offense now, they will score runs on him in this game. Wheeler is starting for the Phillies here and he has been a very solid starter for them all season. He will have no problems shutting down a bad Pirates lineup here and the Phillies should be taking advantage of this series as they start to heat up. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game.

 

Phillies Pirates Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, July 28, 2022 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Phillies 6 Pirates 4.

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Philadelphia Phillies: 160-159 (-22.8 Units) ML in all games. 71-87 (-17.7 Units) ML in road games. 10-4 UNDER against NL Central opponents.

Pittsburgh Pirates: 26-27 (+13.8 Units) ML after batting .200 or worse over a 5 game span. 56-74 (+8.4 Units) ML after scoring 2 runs or less. 26-14 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5.

 

 

Philadelphia Phillies:  B. Harper (RF) Late Aug - Thumb. Z. Eflin (SP) Out indefinitely - Knee. J. Segura (SS) Early Aug - Finger.

Pittsburgh Pirates:  R. Perez (C) out for season - Hamstring. C. Smith-Njigba (CF) Late Aug - Wrist. C. De Jong (SP) Out indefinitely - Knee.

 

 

 

"Strider had good stuff and threw strikes. He kept us off-balance with the slider. He's got a good arm." - Rob Thomson after his team’s loss against the Phillies on Tuesday.

 

 

"Hard-fought contest for a lot of innings, the whole way through. It is a tough loss for us. But we did a lot of things right and almost pulled it through. Just needed one more hit." - Cal Mitchell after their loss against the Marlins on Sunday.

 

 

 

Kyle Schwarber (L) LF

Rhys Hoskins (R) 1B

J.T. Realmuto (R) C

Darick Hall (L) DH

Nick Castellanos (R) RF

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

Alec Bohm (R) 3B

Didi Gregorius (L) SS

Odubel Herrera (L) CF

 

Kevin Newman (R) 2B

Bryan Reynolds (S) CF

Ke'Bryan Hayes (R) 3B

Ben Gamel (L) DH

Cal Mitchell (L) RF

Greg Allen (S) LF

Oneil Cruz (L) SS

Josh VanMeter (L) 1B

Jason Delay (R) C

 

 

Batting Average:  Nick Maton (.500)

Hits:  Alec Bohm (96)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (31)

RBI:  Kyle Schwarber (60)

Stolen Bases:  J.T. Realmuto (13)

Wins:  Zack Wheeler (8)

Saves:  Corey Knebel (12)

ERA:  Francisco Morales (0.00)

 

Batting Average:  Liover Peguero (.333)

Hits:  Ke'Bryan Hayes (86)

Home Runs:  Bryan Reynolds (15)

RBI:  Daniel Vogelbach (34)

Stolen Bases:  Ke'Bryan Hayes (11)

Wins:  Dillon Peters (5)

Saves:  David Bednar (17)

ERA:  Max Kranick (0.00)

 

Managers:

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (Interim)

Pittsburgh Pirates: Derek Shelton (3rd season)