Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/27/2025

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Wednesday, August 27, 2025

Venue:  Citi Field, Flushing, NY

Where to Watch:  NBCS-P, SNY

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +123, Mets -150; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +125, Mets -150; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies +125, Mets -150; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Philadelphia Phillies:  76-55 (1st place, NL East)

New York Mets:  70-61 (2nd place, NL East)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! William Burns is on a HOT STREAK in the MLB on a 10-3 MLB RUN for +$6,650 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Philadelphia Phillies:  7-3 last 10

New York Mets:  6-4 last 10

The Phillies are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Washington Nationals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 76-55 record overall and have a road record of 34-33. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Mets on Wednesday with the 2nd game still to be played on Tuesday. The Phillies lost the series opener on Monday. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .749 OPS. Jesús Luzardo is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Taijuan Walker is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 4-6 with a 3.44 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 3 BB with 5 SO on 3 hits through 5 IP against the Washington Nationals.

The Mets are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Atlanta Braves 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 70-61 record overall and have a home record of 42-24. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. The Mets won the 1st game of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .749 OPS. Sean Manaea is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while rookie pitcher Nolan McLean is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 2-0 with a 1.46 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 0 walks with 7 strikeouts on 4 hits through 7 innings pitched against the Atlanta Braves.

The current betting odds have the Mets listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have looked great in their games this season with their 76-55 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have been a good road team too with their 34-33 road record this season. Meanwhile, the Mets have looked good in their games this season with their 70-61 record overall which has them right near the top of the NL East. They have looked great in their own ballpark too with their 42-24 home record this season. The Phillies have looked really good lately as they are 7-3 in their last 10 games, but they did lose the 1st game of this series and the Mets have been getting hot themselves, going 6-4 in their last 10 games now. The Mets are going with a rookie starter in this one, Nolan McLean, and he has looked good in his only 2 starts so far. He is 2-0 with a 1.46 ERA, his team winning both games he started in, and he is coming off a good start in which he only gave up 2 earned runs. The Phillies are going with Walker in this one and he has looked good this season. He is 4-6 with a 3.44 ERA and hasn't been giving up a ton of runs this year, but he has definitely had some troubles in his road starts. He gave up 3 earned runs in his last start too and the team has lost 2 games in a row now with him starting. The Mets have an advantage at home with this rookie on the mound and they are starting to break out of their funk now too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mets to win this game. 

Phillies Mets Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, August 27, 2025 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Mets 4 Phillies 2.

Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks, best bets, and expert baseball picks today.  And if you enjoyed this Philadelphia Phillies New York Mets prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily MLB projections and previews.

Philadelphia Phillies: 271-202 (+6.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 178-138 (+7.9 units) on the moneyline vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better. 187-133 (+12.7 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 

New York Mets: 241-227 (-21.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 158-114 (-8 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 118-126 (-10.3 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record.

Philadelphia Phillies:  Z. Wheeler (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Blood Clot.

New York Mets:  R. Garrett (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. F. Montas Jr. (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. F. Alvarez (C) Ten Day IL - Thumb. J. Winker (LF) Sixty Day IL - Back. M. Kranick (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. D. Nunez (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. T. Megill (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. G. Canning (SP) Sixty Day IL - Achilles. J. Siri (CF) Sixty Day IL - Shin. D. Young (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. A. Minter (RP) Sixty Day IL - Lat. C. Scott (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. N. Madrigal (3B) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. D. Smith (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

“We got another one tomorrow. Just got to strap it on. Have to turn the page on this one. This was not what we were looking for, coming in here. So we got to turn the page and get out there tomorrow.” - Rob Thomson after his team’s loss against the Mets in their game on Monday.

“We put ourselves in this position. We’ve been inconsistent.” - Carlos Mendoza after his team’s win against the Phillies in their game on Monday.

Trea Turner (R) SS

Kyle Schwarber (L) DH

Bryce Harper (L) 1B

J.T. Realmuto (R) C

Alec Bohm (R) 3B

Brandon Marsh (L) LF

Max Kepler (L) RF

Harrison Bader (R) CF

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

Francisco Lindor (S) SS

Juan Soto (L) RF

Starling Marte (R) DH

Pete Alonso (R) 1B

Mark Vientos (R) 3B

Brandon Nimmo (L) LF

Tyrone Taylor (R) CF

Jeff McNeil (L) 2B

Luis Torrens (R) C

Batting Average:  Trea Turner (.299)

Hits:  Trea Turner (161)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (45)

RBI:  Kyle Schwarber (110)

Stolen Bases:  Trea Turner (32)

Wins:  Jesús Luzardo (12)

Saves:  Jordan Romano (8)

ERA:  Jhoan Duran (1.17)

Batting Average:  Starling Marte (.290)

Hits:  Francisco Lindor (138)

Home Runs:  Juan Soto (32)

RBI:  Pete Alonso (103)

Stolen Bases:  Francisco Lindor (23)

Wins:  Clay Holmes (11)

Saves:  Edwin Díaz (24)

ERA:  Austin Warren (0.96)

Managers:

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (4th season)

New York Mets: Carlos Mendoza (2nd season)