by Rod Pearson
Monday, Aug 25, 2025
Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Tuesday, August 26, 2025
Venue: Citi Field, Flushing, NY
Where to Watch: TBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Phillies -110, Mets -110; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Phillies -110, Mets -110; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Phillies -110, Mets -110; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Season Record
Philadelphia Phillies: 76-54 (1st place, NL East)
New York Mets: 69-61 (2nd place, NL East)
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Recent Form
Philadelphia Phillies: 7-3 last 10
New York Mets: 5-5 last 10
Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Preview and Analysis
The Phillies are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Washington Nationals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 76-54 record overall and have a road record of 34-32. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Mets on Tuesday with the series opener still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .750 OPS. Cristopher Sánchez is their starting pitcher on Monday while Jesús Luzardo is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 12-6 with a 4.10 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 12 SO on 3 hits through 6 IP against the Seattle Mariners.
The Mets are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Atlanta Braves 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 69-61 record overall and have a home record of 41-24. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .747 OPS. Kodai Senga is their starting pitcher on Monday while Sean Manaea is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 1-2 with a 5.15 ERA this season. His team lost their last 5 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 walk with 8 strikeouts on 3 hits through 4.2 innings pitched against the Washington Nationals.
Phillies vs Mets Prediction
The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a pick ‘em in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have looked great in their games this season with their 76-54 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have been a good road team too with their 34-32 road record this season. Meanwhile, the Mets have looked good in their games this season with their 69-61 record overall which has them right near the top of the NL East. They have looked great in their own ballpark too with their 41-24 home record this season. As good as the Mets have looked at home this season, they haven't looked great lately as they are only 5-5 in their last 10 games while the Phillies are 7-3 in their last 10 and have been getting hot again. The Phillies are also going with Luzardo in this one and he has been solid for the Phillies this season. He is 12-6 with a 4.10 ERA and has looked a lot better in his starts lately. He is coming off a great start in which he only gave up 1 earned run and the team has won 4 of their last 5 games with him starting too. The Mets are going with Manaea in this one and he hasn't looked great this season. He is 1-2 with a 5.15 ERA and the team hasn't had a ton of success with him lately. He is coming off another bad start in which he gave up 4 earned runs and the team has lost 5 games in a row now with him starting too. The Phillies have been the hotter team lately and they have a big edge in this one with the pitching matchup. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game.
Phillies Mets Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, August 26, 2025 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Phillies 5 Mets 2.
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MLB Betting Trends
Philadelphia Phillies: 271-201 (+8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 178-137 (+9.1 units) on the moneyline vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better. 48-22 (+15.7 units) on the moneyline vs. a starting pitcher who lasts less than 5 innings per start.
New York Mets: 240-227 (-22.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 61-75 (-29.2 units) on the moneyline against left-handed starters. 117-126 (-11.3 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record.
Key Injuries
Philadelphia Phillies: Z. Wheeler (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Blood Clot.
New York Mets: B. Nimmo (LF) Day To Day - Neck. F. Montas Jr. (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. F. Alvarez (C) Ten Day IL - Thumb. J. Winker (LF) Sixty Day IL - Back. M. Kranick (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. D. Nunez (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. T. Megill (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. G. Canning (SP) Sixty Day IL - Achilles. J. Siri (CF) Sixty Day IL - Shin. D. Young (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. A. Minter (RP) Sixty Day IL - Lat. C. Scott (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. N. Madrigal (3B) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. D. Smith (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
“Every game is big from here on out. The Mets have a good club. We've got to go in and pay attention to every detail and play hard.” - Rob Thomson after his team’s win against the Nationals in their game on Sunday.
“Offensively he’s a big part of our team, and he’s locked in right now. He’s swinging the bat well [against] lefties [and] righties. [He’s] driving the ball. He’s an important bat in the middle of our lineup.” - Carlos Mendoza after his team’s loss against the Braves in their game on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
Philadelphia Phillies
Trea Turner (R) SS
Kyle Schwarber (L) DH
Bryce Harper (L) 1B
Alec Bohm (R) 3B
Nick Castellanos (R) RF
Brandon Marsh (L) LF
Harrison Bader (R) CF
Bryson Stott (L) 2B
Rafael Marchán (S) C
New York Mets
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Juan Soto (L) RF
Pete Alonso (R) DH
Jeff McNeil (L) LF
Mark Vientos (R) 1B
Brett Baty (L) 2B
Ronny Mauricio (S) 3B
Luis Torrens (R) C
Cedric Mullins (L) CF
Statistical Leaders
Philadelphia Phillies
Batting Average: Trea Turner (.300)
Hits: Trea Turner (160)
Home Runs: Kyle Schwarber (45)
RBI: Kyle Schwarber (109)
Stolen Bases: Trea Turner (32)
Wins: Jesús Luzardo (12)
Saves: Jordan Romano (8)
ERA: Jhoan Duran (1.17)
New York Mets
Batting Average: Starling Marte (.289)
Hits: Francisco Lindor (138)
Home Runs: Juan Soto (32)
RBI: Pete Alonso (103)
Stolen Bases: Francisco Lindor (23)
Wins: Clay Holmes (11)
Saves: Edwin Díaz (24)
ERA: Austin Warren (0.96)
Managers:
Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (4th season)
New York Mets: Carlos Mendoza (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
