by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Oct 07, 2025
Game Time: 9:08 pm ET, Wednesday, October 8, 2025
Venue: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Where to Watch: TBS, truTV, HBO MAX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Phillies +148, Dodgers -181; Over/Under: 8 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Phillies +145, Dodgers -175; Over/Under: 8 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Phillies +145, Dodgers -175; Over/Under: 8 runs
Season Record
Philadelphia Phillies: 96-66 (1st place, NL East)
Los Angeles Dodgers: 93-69 (1st place, NL West)
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Recent Form
Philadelphia Phillies: 4-6 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers: 9-1 last 10
Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview and Analysis
The Phillies are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Minnesota Twins 2-1 to end the regular season. They finished the regular season with a 96-66 record overall and had a road record of 41-40. This is the 3rd game of a best 3 out of 5 game series with the Dodgers on Wednesday for the National League Division Series. The Phillies lost the series opener on Saturday and the 2nd game of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 4th in the MLB with a .759 OPS. Jesús Luzardo was their starting pitcher on Monday while Aaron Nola is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 5-10 with a 6.01 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 9 Ks on 2 hits through 8 IP against the Minnesota Twins.
The Dodgers are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their best of 3-game series against the Cincinnati Reds 2-0 in the National League Wild Card Series. They finished the regular season with a 93-69 record overall and had a home record of 52-29. This is the 3rd game of a best 3 out of 5 game series with the Phillies on Wednesday for the NLDS. The Dodgers won the 1st game of this series on Saturday and the 2nd game on Monday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .768 OPS. Blake Snell was their starting pitcher on Monday while Yoshinobu Yamamoto is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 12-8 with a 2.49 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 9 strikeouts on 4 hits through 6.2 innings played against the Cincinnati Reds.
Phillies vs Dodgers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Dodgers listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dodgers have a 2-0 series lead over the Phillies after winning both road games to start the series. Now the Phillies are on the brink of elimination and the Dodgers have a chance to sweep them out of the playoffs at home. The Dodgers have all the momentum on their side right now, also sweeping the Reds in the Wild Card while the Phillies were off, and the Dodgers have been the much hotter team lately. The Phillies are only 4-6 in their last 10 games while the Dodgers are 9-1, and the Dodgers have the better pitching matchup in this one too. Yamamoto is on the mound for the Dodgers in this one and he has looked great this season. He is 12-8 with a 2.49 ERA and he hasn't been giving up many runs lately. He pitched in the Wild Card Round, giving up no runs to the Reds, and the team has been having success with him lately, winning 3 games in a row now with him on the mound. Nola is starting for the Phillies in this one and he hasn't looked good this season. He is 5-10 with a 6.01 ERA and he has looked terrible all year. He only gave up 1 earned run in his last start, but that hasn't been a common theme for him this year, and the team has still lost 2 of their last 3 games with him starting. All signs are pointing to the Dodgers to end this series. The best way to place a bet here is on the Dodgers to win this game.
Phillies Dodgers Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, October 8, 2025 (9:08 pm ET start time) is Dodgers 9 Phillies 1.
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MLB Betting Trends
Philadelphia Phillies: 64-44 (+8.9 units) on the moneyline against NL West opponents. 291-215 (+10.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 202-140 (+18.3 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 18-10 OVER on the road vs. an NL team with a slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season.
Los Angeles Dodgers: 306-203 (-5.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 162-103 (-39.2 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -150 or more. 36-28 (-9.4 units) on the moneyline after a one run win. 8-3 OVER when leading in a playoff series.
Key Injuries
Philadelphia Phillies: H. Bader (LF) Day To Day - Hamstring. M. Kepler (LF) Day To Day - Illness. R. Suarez (SP) Day To Day - Groin. J. Alvarado (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Forearm. D. Robert (RP) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. Z. Wheeler (SP) Sixty Day IL - Blood Clot. J. Romano (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Finger.
Los Angeles Dodgers: N. Frasso (SP) Sixty Day IL - Undisclosed. K. Yates (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Hamstring. M. Kopech (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Knee. B. Stewart (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. T. Gonsolin (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. E. Phillips (RP) Sixty Day IL - forearm. K. Hurt (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. B. Graterol (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. M. Grove (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. R. Ryan (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. G. Stone (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder.
Notable Quotes
“Trying to tie the score. I liked where our bullpen was as compared to theirs. We play for the tie at home. Mookie [Betts] did a great job of disguising the wheel play. We teach our guys that if you see the wheel, just pull it back and slash because you've got all kinds of room in the middle. But Mookie broke so late that it was tough for Stotty to pick it up.” - Rob Thomson after his team’s loss against the LA Dodgers in game 2 of this series on Monday.
"Those guys executed it to perfection. They made it look a lot easier than it was. And for me, that was our only chance, really, to win that game in that moment." - Dave Roberts after his team’s win against the Phillies in game 2 of this series on Monday.
Starting Lineups
Philadelphia Phillies
Trea Turner (R) SS
Kyle Schwarber (L) DH
Bryce Harper (L) 1B
Alec Bohm (R) 3B
J.T. Realmuto (R) C
Nick Castellanos (R) RF
Edmundo Sosa (R) 2B
Brandon Marsh (L) CF
Otto Kemp (R) LF
Los Angeles Dodgers
Shohei Ohtani (L) DH
Mookie Betts (R) SS
Teoscar Hernández (R) RF
Freddie Freeman (L) 1B
Tommy Edman (S) 2B
Enrique Hernández (R) LF
Miguel Rojas (R) 3B
Andy Pages (R) CF
Ben Rortvedt (L) C
Statistical Leaders
Philadelphia Phillies
Batting Average: Harrison Bader (.305)
Hits: Trea Turner (179)
Home Runs: Kyle Schwarber (56)
RBI: Kyle Schwarber (132)
Stolen Bases: Trea Turner (36)
Wins: Jesús Luzardo (15)
Saves: Jhoan Duran (16)
ERA: Walker Buehler (0.66)
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Will Smith (.296)
Hits: Shohei Ohtani (172)
Home Runs: Shohei Ohtani (55)
RBI: Shohei Ohtani (102)
Stolen Bases: Shohei Ohtani (20)
Wins: Yoshinobu Yamamoto (12)
Saves: Tanner Scott (23)
ERA: Evan Phillips (0.00)
Managers:
Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (4th season)
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (10th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
