Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/07/2026

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Tuesday, July 7, 2026

Venue:  Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH

Where to Watch:  MLB TV

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -171, Reds +141; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -170, Reds +140; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -165, Reds +140; Over/Under:  9 runs

Philadelphia Phillies:  50-40 (2nd place, NL East)

Cincinnati Reds:  41-48 (5th place, NL Central)

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Philadelphia Phillies:  6-4 last 10

Cincinnati Reds:  4-6 last 10

The Phillies are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Kansas City Royals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 50-40 record overall and have a road record of 25-19. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Reds on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 20th in the MLB with a .709 OPS. Cristopher Sanchez was their starting pitcher on Monday while Zack Wheeler is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 8-1 with a 2.36 ERA this season. His team won their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 4 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 10 SO on 9 hits through 4.2 IP against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The Reds are entering this series off a win and lost their 3-game series against the Baltimore Orioles 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 41-48 record overall and have a home record of 20-24. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 24th in the MLB with a .697 OPS. Nick Lodolo was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Andrew Abbott is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 5-4 with a 3.88 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 5 walks with 3 strikeouts on 5 hits through 5 innings pitched against the Milwaukee Brewers.

The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have looked good in their games this season with their 50-40 record overall which has them right near the top of the NL East. They have been a good road team too with their 25-19 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Reds haven't looked good in their games this season with their 41-48 record overall which has them right at the bottom of the NL Central. They haven't looked great in their own ballpark either with their 20-24 home record this season. The Reds were staying afloat with the other teams in the NL Central for a lot of the season, but now they are 4-6 in their last 10 games and have been falling apart over the last few weeks. The Phillies, on the other hand, erased a terrible start to the season with a very hot 2 month stretch and now they have been rolling lately, going 6-4 in their last 10 games. They are going with Wheeler in this one and he has looked great this season. He is 8-1 with a 2.36 ERA and he has been one of their best starters all year. He did give up 4 earned runs in his last start, but that hasn't been a common theme for him lately and the team has still had a ton of success with him, winning 4 games in a row now with him as the starter. The Reds are going with Abbott in this one and he hasn't looked bad this season. He is 5-4 with a 3.88 ERA and he has looked a lot better lately. He only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start which is starting to become a common theme for him and the team has won 2 of their last 3 games with him starting too. The Reds haven't had a great offense this season though and they haven't been putting up a lot of runs lately either, so all signs point to the Phillies continuing to roll in this one as they take advantage of this better pitching matchup with one of their best starters on the mound. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game. 

Phillies Reds Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 7, 2026 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Phillies 5 Reds 2.

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Philadelphia Phillies: 244-179 (+11.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 145-103 (+12.1 units) on the moneyline vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse. 118-63 (+21.3 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a losing record. 46-29 UNDER against NL Central opponents.

Cincinnati Reds: 200-214 (-9.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 103-102 (-15.6 units) on the moneyline in home games. 127-146 (-6.7 units) on the moneyline vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better. 56-29 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%).

Philadelphia Phillies:  J. Rojas (CF) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. B. Keller (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Forearm. A. Garcia (RF) Sixty Day IL - Lat.

Cincinnati Reds:  D. Myers (CF) Ten Day IL - Shoulder. B. Dunn (CF) Ten Day IL - Elbow. T. Santillan (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Oblique. G. Ashcraft (RP) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. K. Hayes (3B) Ten Day IL - Back. B. Williamson (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder.

“It’s obviously important that that start turns into a game that you feel like you're in, you're not scrambling the whole day. He doesn't necessarily have to pitch seven, but according to the game go five, six, seven, whatever it is, then it gives us a much better shot to be able to put some runs up.” - Don Mattingly after his team’s loss against the Royals in their game on Sunday. 

“I thought his stuff was crisp. Sometimes, that’s a combination of throwing the ball over the plate and because his stuff is good, trying to ambush a first pitch. If you can stay off the barrel or get a sac fly and take the sting out a little bit, that really helps." - Terry Francona after his team’s win against the Orioles in their game on Sunday. 

Trea Turner (R) SS

Kyle Schwarber (L) DH

Bryce Harper (L) 1B

Alec Bohm (R) 3B

Brandon Marsh (L) RF

Edmundo Sosa (R) LF

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

J.T. Realmuto (R) C

Derek Hill (R) CF

Elly De La Cruz (S) SS

Sal Stewart (R) 3B

JJ Bleday (L) LF

Eugenio Suárez (R) DH

Spencer Steer (R) 1B

Tyler Stephenson (R) C

Noelvi Marte (R) RF

TJ Friedl (L) CF

Edwin Arroyo (S) 2B

Batting Average:  Brandon Marsh (.309)

Hits:  Brandon Marsh (98)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (30)

RBI:  Bryce Harper (57)

Stolen Bases:  Trea Turner (16)

Wins:  Cristopher Sánchez (10)

Saves:  Jhoan Duran (21)

ERA:  Bryse Wilson (0.00)

Batting Average:  Blake Dunn (.282)

Hits:  Sal Stewart (86)

Home Runs:  Sal Stewart (17)

RBI:  Sal Stewart (61)

Stolen Bases:  Elly De La Cruz (13)

Wins:  Chase Burns (10)

Saves:  Emilio Pagán (7)

ERA:  Caleb Ferguson (1.62)

Managers:

Philadelphia Phillies: Don Mattingly (Interim)

Cincinnati Reds: Terry Francona (2nd season)