Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/12/2026

Game Time: 7:15 pm ET, Saturday, September 12, 2026

Venue:  Truist Park, Atlanta, GA 

Where to Watch:  MLB TV

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -126, Braves +105; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -125, Braves +105; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -130, Braves +105; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Philadelphia Phillies:  82-65 (2nd place, NL East)

Atlanta Braves:  86-61 (1st place, NL East)

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Philadelphia Phillies:  5-5 last 10

Atlanta Braves:  4-6 last 10

The Phillies are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Houston Astros 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with an 82-65 record overall and have a road record of 41-31. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 19th in the MLB with a .712 OPS. Aaron Nola is their starting pitcher on Friday while Jesús Luzardo is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 14-5 with a 2.87 ERA this season. His team won their last 7 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 12 SO on 2 hits through 9 IP against the Atlanta Braves.

The Braves are entering this series off a win and lost their 3-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with an 86-61 record overall and have a home record of 49-26. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 16th in the MLB with a .717 OPS. Chris Sale is their starting pitcher on Friday while Tyler Mahle is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 5-10 with a 4.05 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 walk with 3 strikeouts on 4 hits through 6 innings pitched against the Philadelphia Phillies.

The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Braves have looked great in their games this season with their 86-61 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL East with one of the best records in MLB. They have looked great in their own ballpark too with their 49-26 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Phillies have looked really good in their games this season with their 82-65 record overall which has them right near the top of the NL East. They have been a good road team too with their 41-31 road record this year. The Phillies are 5-5 in their last 10 games and haven't looked great lately, losing their last series to the Astros, but the Braves are coming off a series loss too and haven't looked any better lately themselves, now 4-6 in their last 10 games. The Phillies are going with Luzardo in this one and he has looked great this season. He is 14-5 with a 2.87 ERA and he has been one of their best starters this season. He is coming off another great start giving up no runs which has been a common theme for him all year and the team has been having a ton of success with him lately, winning 7 games in a row now with him starting. Mahle is on the mound for the braves in this one and he hasn't looked great this season. He is 5-10 with a 4.05 ERA and he has been giving up quite a few runs all year. The team has been having more success with him lately, winning 3 games in a row now with him starting, and he is coming off a start giving up no runs, but that hasn't been a common theme for him all season. The Phillies are going to bring their best effort in this series with a chance to gain some ground in the division, so look for them to take advantage of this pitching matchup. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game.

Phillies Braves Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, September 12, 2026 (7:15 pm ET start time) is Phillies 3 Braves 1.

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Philadelphia Phillies: 276-204 (+10.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 162-115 (+12.9 units) on the moneyline vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse. 59-47 (+5.8 units) on the moneyline vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better. 62-36 UNDER vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better.

Atlanta Braves: 251-222 (-41.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 134-103 (-18 units) on the moneyline in home games. 49-68 (-10.3 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 28-14 UNDER at home when the total is 7 to 7.5.

Philadelphia Phillies:  F. Reyes (LF) Sixty Day IL - Wrist. C. Kilian (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Oblique. T. Banks (RP) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. B. Keller (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Rojas (CF) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. A. Garcia (RF) Sixty Day IL - Lat.

Atlanta Braves:  L. Thomas (LF) Ten Day IL - Side. B. Elder (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Knee. R. Suarez (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. S. Strider (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Wentz (RP) Sixty Day IL - Knee. J. Jimenez (RP) Sixty Day IL - Knee. S. Schwellenbach (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

“Obviously, Wheels went out there and did his job. Obviously, as an offense, we weren't really able to get it going.” - Bryce Harper after their loss against the Astros in their game on Thursday. 

“We needed to win today and Martín was huge.” - Walt Weiss after his team’s win against the Rays in their game on Thursday. 

Kyle Schwarber (L) DH

Trea Turner (R) SS

Bryce Harper (L) RF

Luis Arraez (L) 2B

Alec Bohm (R) 1B

Bryson Stott (L) 3B

Brandon Marsh (L) LF

Justin Crawford (L) CF

Rafael Marchán (S) C

Drake Baldwin (L) DH

Ronald Acuña Jr. (R) RF

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Michael Harris II (L) CF

Mauricio Dubón (R) SS

Ozzie Albies (S) 2B

Austin Riley (R) 3B

Mike Yastrzemski (L) LF

Sean Murphy (R) C

Batting Average:  Bryan De La Cruz (.339)

Hits:  Trea Turner (141)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (44)

RBI:  Kyle Schwarber (92)

Stolen Bases:  Bryson Stott (24)

Wins:  Cristopher Sánchez (17)

Saves:  Jhoan Duran (30)

ERA:  Bryse Wilson (0.00)

Batting Average:  Jair Camargo (.500)

Hits:  Michael Harris (152)

Home Runs:  Matt Olson (37)

RBI:  Matt Olson (81)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuña (20)

Wins:  Chris Sale (14)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (32)

ERA:  Hunter Stratton (0.00)

Managers:

Philadelphia Phillies: Don Mattingly (Interim)

Atlanta Braves: Walt Weiss (1st season)