Oklahoma Sooners vs Texas Longhorns Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/11/2025

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 11, 2025

Venue:  Cotton Bowl Stadium, Dallas, TX

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Oklahoma +1.5, Texas -1.5; Over/Under:  42.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Oklahoma +1, Texas -1; Over/Under:  43 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Oklahoma +1.5, Texas -1.5; Over/Under:  42.5 points

Oklahoma Sooners:  5-0 (1-0) (4th place, SEC)

Texas Longhorns:  3-2 (0-1) (13th place, SEC)

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Oklahoma Sooners:  won their last game at home against the Kent State Golden Flashes 44-0.

Texas Longhorns:  lost their last game on the road against the Florida Gators 29-21.

Oklahoma is entering this game with a 5-0 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their conference games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against Kent State 44-0. Michael Hawkins Jr. was the starting QB and he completed 14/24 passes for 162 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Tory Blaylock led the team in rushing yards with 78. Isaiah Sategna led the receivers with 75 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 2 TDs. Taylor Wein, Adepoju Adebawore, and Kendel Dolby each led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Taylor Wein, R Mason Thomas, Danny Okoye, and Markus Strong each led the defense in sacks with 1. Jaydan Hardy came away with the only interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Texas is entering this game with a 3-2 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 0-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They lost their last game against Florida 29-21. Arch Manning was the starting QB and he completed 16/29 passes for 263 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Arch Manning led the team in rushing yards with 37. DeAndre Moore Jr. led the receivers with 75 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Graceson Littleton led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. Michael Taaffe came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Oklahoma listed as a 1.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Oklahoma has looked great in their games this season with their 5-0 record overall and their 1-0 conference record which has them right near the top of the SEC. They are ranked like one of the best teams in the nation and they are coming off a 44-0 win over Kent State in their last one, but that game was pretty much a bye week for them. They are without their starting QB John Mateer, but there is a chance that he could play here and that would be a huge boost to this offense. Even without him playing, the offense looked good against Kent State last week and their opponent hasn't looked nearly as good as they were thought to be. Meanwhile, Texas hasn't looked good in their games this season with their 3-2 record overall and their 0-1 conference record which has them right near the bottom of the SEC. They were once ranked in the top 5 to start the season, but they have fallen far as they are now an unranked team. The defense has looked good, but the offense has looked terrible in their games. Arch Manning hasn't lived up to the hype this season at all and now they are coming off a bad loss to Florida who looked dead in the water going into that game. Texas has the defense to go toe-to-toe with Oklahoma here, but Oklahoma has a lot more consistency on offense to win this game. The best way to place a bet here is on Oklahoma to cover the spread in this game. 

Oklahoma Texas Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 11, 2025 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Oklahoma 30 Texas 17.

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Oklahoma Sooners: 7-2 ATS when the total is between 42.5 and 49. 7-3 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game. 6-2 ATS vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game. 6-3 UNDER vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season. 7-4 UNDER vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att.

Texas Longhorns: 2-9 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. 2-8 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. 3-9 ATS vs. good offensive  teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. 20-12 UNDER in all lined games. 13-6 UNDER against conference opponents. 

Oklahoma Sooners:  J. Mateer (QB) Questionable - Thumb. J. Taylor (OG) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Sexton (OG) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Newcombe (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Everett (OG) Out - Undisclosed.

Texas Longhorns:  M. Muhammad (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Baxter Jr. (RB) Questionable - Hamstring. A. Cojoe (OG) Out - Knee.

“Big game like it always is. Has been for 100 years. The emotion that goes into that game, the intensity of the environment -- it’s a great setting, one of the coolest environments you can have an opportunity to play and compete in. This year will be no different." - Brent Venables after his team’s win against Kent State in their last game. 

“I thought he competed his heart out. Our entire team did. Most people thought we were probably dead and gone. We fought all the way back and had a chance there at the end.” - Steve Sarkisian after his team’s loss against Florida in their last game. 

WR Lewis, Keontez

WR Burks, Deion

WR Sategna III, Isaiah

TE Kanak, Jaren

QB Mateer, John

RB Blaylock, Tory

WR Wingo, Ryan

WR Livingstone, Parker

WR Moore Jr., DeAndre

TE Endries, Jack

QB Manning, Arch

RB Wisner, Quintrevion 

Passing: John Mateer (1,215)

Rushing: Tory Blaylock (257)

Receiving: Isaiah Sategna III (359)

Touchdowns: John Mateer (5)

Passing: Arch Manning (1,151)

Rushing: Arch Manning (160)

Receiving: Parker Livingstone (279)

Touchdowns: Arch Manning (5)

Coaches:

Oklahoma Sooners: Brent Venables (4th season)

Texas Longhorns: Steve Sarkisian (5th season)