Oklahoma Sooners vs Baylor Bears Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 04/04/2026

Game Time: 1:30 pm ET, Saturday, April 4, 2026

Venue:  T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Oklahoma -1.5, Baylor +1.5; Over/Under:  158.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Oklahoma -1.5, Baylor +1.5; Over/Under:  158.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Oklahoma -1.5, Baylor +1.5; Over/Under:  158.5 points

Oklahoma Sooners:  20-15 (7-11) (11th place, SEC)

Baylor Bears:  17-16 (6-12) (13th place, Big 12)

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Oklahoma Sooners:  4-1  last 5

Baylor Bears:  3-2  last 5

Oklahoma is entering this game with a 20-15 record overall, a 7-11 record in conference games, and they are 5-3 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Colorado Buffaloes in their last game. Nijel Pack led the team in points in that game with 20 while Tae Davis was next on the team with 19. Nijel Pack led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Mohamed Wague led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 36.6% from the field, 27% from 3-point range, and 87.5% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 82.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 77.3 PPG against them. Oklahoma has an ATS record of 16-18-1 this season and their O/U record is 18-17.

Baylor is entering this game with a 17-16 record overall, a 6-12 conference record, and they are 3-3 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Minnesota Golden Gophers in their last game. Tounde Yessoufou led the team in points in that game with 19 while Obi Agbim was next on the team with 17. Isaac Williams led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Cameron Carr led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 46.6% from the field, 31.6% from 3-point range, and 87.5% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 82.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 76.3 PPG against them. Baylor has an ATS record of 15-17 this season and their O/U record is 17-15.

The current betting odds have Baylor listed as a 1.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Baylor has looked good in their games this season with their 17-16 record overall, but their 6-12 conference record had them in the bottom half of the Big 12. They haven't looked great in their neutral site games either, going 3-3 in those, Meanwhile, Oklahoma has looked good in their games this season with their 20-15 record overall, but their 7-11 conference record had them in the bottom half of the SEC. They are 5-3 in their neutral site games this season though. Oklahoma was a really up and down team in the SEC this year and it wasn't until the end of the season when they finally started to gain some traction. They went on a bit of a run to end the regular season and did well in the SEC Tournament too, but they barely got by the first round of this tournament. They are off a 4 point win over Colorado in a game that went to OT and that was one of the worst teams in the Big 12 this season. Now they are playing a Baylor team that was in the middle of the pack in that conference and the Big 12 was also one of the strongest conferences in the nation this season. They didn't look great to end the regular season, but they rolled over Minnesota in their first game of this tournament and they haven't looked that bad lately either, still 3-2 in their last 5 games. The best way to place a bet here is on Baylor to cover the spread in this game. 

Oklahoma Baylor Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, April 4, 2026 (1:30 pm ET start time) is Baylor 82 Oklahoma 76.

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Oklahoma Sooners: 4-1 ATS as a neutral court favorite of 6 points or less or pick. 9-3 ATS in all tournament games. 6-3 ATS after allowing 85 points or more. 28-20 OVER as a favorite.

Baylor Bears: 10-24 ATS as an underdog. 3-6 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). 19-28 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% of their attempts or more. 12-3 OVER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game.

Oklahoma Sooners:  None.

Baylor Bears:  None. 

"We got some stops down the stretch, but we were really rusty offensively. And we just got in a hole. But to stick with it being down 10, and we've been there before and just knowing that you're gonna win it by getting stops. By getting stops you're gonna win it. What a hard-fought game, especially when you're rusty." - Porter Moser after his team’s win against Colorado in the Crown Tournament on Wednesday. 

"Every postseason experience is a blessing -- and what I mean by that is not many people get a chance to play this time of year. There will be a lot of eyes, a lot of attention, a lot of scouts, a lot of opportunities for our guys. We've been blessed with a great group of guys, and we're grateful for the opportunity to spend a few more weeks with them and hopefully finish this year with a win. It's a great way to build momentum and to use this experience as a springboard." - Scott Drew on his team playing in the CBC this season. 

X. Brown 

T. Davis 

N. Pack 

D. Reid 

M. Wague

O. Agbim 

C. Carr 

M. Rataj 

D. Skillings 

T. Yessoufou

PPG: Nijel Pack (16.6)

APG: Xzayvier Brown (3.2)

Reb/G: Mohamed Wague (6.8)

PPG: Cameron Carr (19)

APG: Isaac Williams IV (3.3)

Reb/G: Caden Powell (6.3)

Coaches:

Oklahoma Sooners: Porter Moser (5th season)

Baylor Bears: Scott Drew (23rd season)