Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/27/2026

Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Monday, April 27, 2026

Venue:  Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ 

Where to Watch:  NBCSN, Peacock

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Thunder -10.5, Suns +10.5; Over/Under:  213.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Thunder -10.5, Suns +10.5; Over/Under:  213.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Thunder -10.5, Suns +10.5; Over/Under:  213.5 points

Oklahoma City Thunder:  64-18 (1st place, Northwest Division)

Phoenix Suns:  45-37 (2nd place, Pacific Division)

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Oklahoma City Thunder:  8-2 last 10

Phoenix Suns:  4-6 last 10

The Thunder are entering the playoffs with a 64-18 record overall this season and they were 30-10 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Phoenix Suns 3 times in a row. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 42 while Ajay Mitchell was next on the team with 15 points. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Chet Holmgren led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 49.5% from the field, 32.4% from 3-point range, and 90.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 107.9 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 41-44 this season and their O/U record is 45-40.

The Suns are entering the playoffs with a 45-37 record overall this season and they were 25-16 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak with losses coming against the Oklahoma City Thunder 3 times in a row. Dillon Brooks led the team in points in that game with 33 while Jalen Green was next on the team with 26 points. Devin Booker led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Collin Gillespie led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 43.7% from the field, 31.7% from 3-point range, and 87% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 112.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.1 PPG against them. The Suns have an ATS record of 49-38 this season and their O/U record is 39-48.

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as a 10.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Thunder have looked great in their games this season with their 64-18 record overall which had them right at the top of the West with the best record in the entire NBA. They have been a great road team too with their 30-10 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Suns have looked good in their games this season with their 45-37 record overall which had them right in the middle of the West. They have looked good on their home court too with their 25-16 home record this season. This is game 4 of a 7-game series between the 1 seeded Thunder and the 8 seeded Suns in the West for the 1st round of the NBA playoffs. The Thunder are entering this game with a 3-0 series lead after winning game 3 by a score of 121-109. The Thunder are now 8-2 in their last 10 games and they have been rolling all season long. They are the defending champions from last season and once again had the best record in the NBA this year. They have been a great road team too and they have looked great in this series with all 3 of their wins coming by double digits. The Suns have been really up and down all season and they have definitely looked a lot better on their home court this year, but they haven't been at their best over the last 2 months and this was a season that they also overachieved in. Now they are in a 3-0 hole in this series and it is pretty much over for them as they don't have the talent to compete with the best in the NBA. The Thunder also swept their first round series last season on their way to the Finals, so they are very familiar with this position and will bring their best effort to end this series early and rest up for the next round. Look for the Thunder to set the tone early in this one and be the 1st NBA team to punch their ticket to the 2nd round. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game. 

Thunder Suns Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Monday, April 27, 2026 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Thunder 124 Suns 111.

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Oklahoma City Thunder: 36-20 ATS against Pacific division opponents. 7-4 ATS in the first round of the playoffs. 5-0 ATS in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5. 25-16 OVER versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season.

Phoenix Suns: 24-35 ATS against Northwest division opponents. 4-11 ATS in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5. 1-6 ATS in the first round of the playoffs. 37-22 OVER against Northwest division opponents.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  I. Joe (SG) Day To Day - Personal. J. Williams (SF) Out - Hamstring. T. Sorber (C) Out For Season - Knee.

Phoenix Suns:  J. Goodwin (PG) Day To Day - Calf. M. Williams (C) Day To Day - Foot.

“That group with J-Will, Cason, Caruso, Shai, and Wiggs was really the group that got the game turned back around for us.” - Mark Daigneault after his team’s win against the Suns in the 3rd game of this series on Saturday. 

“We tried different matchups, tried to take it out of his hands. He got to the area where it’s a little hard to take it out of his hands when he just rises up over us. We tried different defenders just to try to get to his ball. Give him credit. He had us spinning tonight.” - Jordan Ott after his team’s loss against the OKC Thunder in game 3 of this series on Saturday. 

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Luguentz Dort

SF Cason Wallace

PF Chet Holmgren

C Isaiah Hartenstein

PG Devin Booker

SG Jalen Green

SF Jordan Goodwin

PF Dillon Brooks

C Oso Ighodaro

PPG: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (31.1)

APG: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (6.6)

Reb/G: Isaiah Hartenstein (9.4)

PPG: Devin Booker (26.1)

APG: Devin Booker (6)

Reb/G: Mark Williams (8)

Coaches:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (6th season)

Phoenix Suns: Jordan Ott (1st season)