Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/11/2026

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Feb 10, 2026
Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Wednesday, February 11, 2026
Venue:  Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ
Where to Watch:  FDSOK, KTVK, KPHE


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Thunder -6.5, Suns +6.5; Over/Under:  217.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Thunder -6.5, Suns +6.5; Over/Under:  217.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Thunder -6.5, Suns +6.5; Over/Under:  217.5 points

Season Record

Oklahoma City Thunder:  41-13 (1st place, Northwest Division)
Phoenix Suns:  31-22 (2nd place, Pacific Division)

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Recent Form
Oklahoma City Thunder:  5-5 last 10
Phoenix Suns:  5-5 last 10


Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns Preview and Analysis


The Thunder are entering this game with a 41-13 record overall this season and they are 19-7 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Los Angeles Lakers. Jalen Williams led the team in points in that game with 23 while Isaiah Joe was next on the team with 19 points. Isaiah Hartenstein and Cason Wallace each led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Chet Holmgren led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 48.3% from the field, 42.4% from 3-point range, and 72.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 108 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 26-28 this season and their O/U record is 28-26.



The Suns are entering this game with a 31-22 record overall this season and they are 17-9 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Golden State Warriors and the Philadelphia 76ers, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Dallas Mavericks still to be played on Tuesday.. In their game against the 76ers, Dillon Brooks led the team in points in that game with 28 while Devin Booker was next on the team with 21 points. Devin Booker led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Royce O'Neale and Mark Williams each led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 39.8% from the field, 23.9% from 3-point range, and 83.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.4 PPG against them. The Suns have an ATS record of 34-19 this season and their O/U record is 21-32.


Thunder vs Suns Prediction

The current betting odds have the Suns listed as a 6.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Suns have looked good in their games this season with their 31-22 record overall which has them in the top half of the West. They have looked great on their home court too with their 17-9 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Thunder have looked great in their games this season with their 41-13 record overall which has them right at the top of the West with the best record in the entire NBA. They have been a great road team too with their 19-7 road record this year. The Thunder are the defending champions and they have looked like the best team in the NBA once again this year, but they definitely haven't looked as good lately as the way they started the season. They have cooled off a lot from the historic pace they were on to start the year and now they have been shorthanded too, missing their best player in Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. They are off a nice road win over the Lakers who were also banged up, but they are only 5-5 in their last 10 games and haven't been at their best. They still have the talent to win this game, even without SGA in the lineup, but the Suns have also been a solid team this season and they are starting to get healthier now. The Suns have lost 2 games in a row now and haven't looked any better lately as they are also 5-5 in their last 10 games, but they did get Booker back in the lineup and that is going to start having a bigger impact as the team finds their groove again. The Suns have also looked like a different team on their home court this year and they have one of the best records in the NBA this season against the spread, so they can definitely keep this a tighter game at home with the Thunder missing key players. The best way to place a bet here is on the Suns to cover the spread in this game. 

Thunder Suns Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, February 11, 2026 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Thunder 121 Suns 119.
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NBA Betting Trends


Oklahoma City Thunder: 30-17 ATS against Pacific division opponents. 28-14 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent. 51-30 ATS off a road win. 48-34 UNDER off a road win. 

Phoenix Suns: 20-29 ATS against Northwest division opponents. 19-27 ATS as an underdog  of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 34-51 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game. 53-30 UNDER versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game.

Key Injuries


Oklahoma City Thunder:  A. Mitchell (SG) Day To Day - Abdomen. S. Gilgeous-Alexander (PG) Out - Abdomen. N. Topic (PG) Out - Groin. T. Sorber (C) Out For Season - Knee.

Phoenix Suns:  C. Anthony (PG) Out - Not Injury Related. G. Allen (SG) Out - Knee. I. Livers (PF) Out - Shoulder.


Notable Quotes


"He slammed the door on that game. It was impressive. He’s got such a body of work that we’re not overly concerned with how he plays coming back. We’re just happy he’s back. Obviously, he was huge tonight. We know he’s a big-time player.” - Mark Daigneault on Jalen Williams after his team’s win against the LA Lakers in their game on Monday.


"Book, it's the ankle. The swelling went down. The mobility went up. He just cleared everything in his mind to go out and play. Jalen, it was just the soreness piece (with hip) after the hard fall. Now that the soreness is gone, he feels everything is ready to go. Our group is excited to have those guys back." - Jordan Ott on Devin Booker returning to the lineup.


Starting Lineups


Oklahoma City Thunder
PG Jared McCain
SG Luguentz Dort
SF Jalen Williams
PF Chet Holmgren
C Isaiah Hartenstein

Phoenix Suns
PG Devin Booker
SG Jalen Green
SF Dillon Brooks
PF Royce O'Neale
C Mark Williams

Statistical Leaders


Oklahoma City Thunder
PPG: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (31.8)
APG: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (6.4)
Reb/G: Isaiah Hartenstein (9.9)

Phoenix Suns
PPG: Devin Booker (25.3)
APG: Devin Booker (6.3)
Reb/G: Mark Williams (8.2)

Coaches:
Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (6th season)
Phoenix Suns: Jordan Ott (1st season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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