Oklahoma City Thunder vs New York Knicks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/04/2026

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Wednesday, March 4, 2026

Venue:  Madison Square Garden, New York, NY 

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Thunder -3.5, Knicks +3.5; Over/Under:  223.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Thunder -3.5, Knicks +3.5; Over/Under:  223.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Thunder -3.5, Knicks +3.5; Over/Under:  223.5 points

Oklahoma City Thunder:  47-15 (1st place, Northwest Division)

New York Knicks:  39-22 (2nd place, Atlantic Division)

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Oklahoma City Thunder:  7-3 last 10

New York Knicks:  6-4 last 10

The Thunder are entering this game with a 47-15 record overall this season and they are 22-8 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Denver Nuggets and the Dallas Mavericks, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Chicago Bulls still to be played on Tuesday night. In their game against the Mavericks, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 30 while Chet Holmgren was next on the team with 19 points. Cason Wallace led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Chet Holmgren led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 44.6% from the field, 20.5% from 3-point range, and 66.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 107.9 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 31-31 this season and their O/U record is 33-29.

The Knicks are entering this game with a 39-22 record overall this season and they are 23-8 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Milwaukee Bucks and the San Antonio Spurs, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Toronto Raptors still to be played on Tuesday night. In their game against the Spurs, Mikal Bridges led the team in points in that game with 25 while Jalen Brunson was next on the team with 24 points. Josh Hart and Jalen Brunson each led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Karl-Anthony Towns led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 44.3% from the field, 35.4% from 3-point range, and 57.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.1 PPG against them. The Knicks have an ATS record of 33-29 this season and their O/U record is 30-32.

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Thunder have looked great in their games this season with their 47-15 record overall which has them right at the top of the West with the best record in the entire NBA. They have been a great road team too with their 22-8 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Knicks have looked really good in their games this season with their 39-22 record overall which has them right near the top of the East. They have looked great on their home court too with their 23-8 home record this season. The Knicks are off a win over the Spurs in their last one and they have looked good lately. They are 6-4 in their last 10 games and have some momentum on their side with 2 wins in a row now. They aren't in the best situation though as they are playing this game on a back-to-back and have a tougher game against the Raptors the night before. The Thunder are also on a back-to-back here so they aren't in a great situation either, but they have a game against a weaker opponent in the Bulls who have looked terrible lately. The Thunder have also been dealing with injuries lately and will be missing key starters against the Bulls, but they could be back for this game and will have the advantage with the rest on their side. The Thunder have the talent to compete even without their starters though, and lately they have looked good without them. They are 7-3 in their last 10 games and have also won 2 games in a row now too. The Thunder are going to be better prepared for this game with some key starters coming back. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game. 

Thunder Knicks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, March 4, 2026 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Thunder 117 Knicks 109.

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Oklahoma City Thunder: 15-9 ATS against Atlantic division opponents. 53-33 ATS in non-conference games. 43-26 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days. 17-7 OVER against Atlantic division opponents. 

New York Knicks: 16-31 ATS as an underdog  of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 12-21 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%). 16-24 ATS versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season. 4-1 OVER against Northwest division opponents.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  S. Gilgeous-Alexander (PG) Out - Abdominal. I. Hartenstein (C) Out - Injury Management. B. Carlson (C) Out - Back. A. Mitchell (SG) Out - Abdomen. J. Williams (SG) Out - Hamstring. T. Sorber (C) Out For Season - Knee.

New York Knicks:  M. McBride (PG) Out - Ankle.

"I thought we came out and it was a professional effort. We put ourselves in a really good position. Put ourselves in the driver's seat of the game." - Mark Daigneault after his team’s win against the Mavericks in their game on Sunday.

"Good win by our guys. You know, it's a really good team. They obviously missed some shots, but I thought our weak side defence was really good. You know, for them to shoot 26, 27% from a three, our activity on the weak side was really good. We had five guys on a string." - Mike Brown after his team’s win against the Spurs in their game on Sunday.

PG Jared McCain

SG Luguentz Dort

SF Alex Caruso 

PF Chet Holmgren

C Jaylin Williams

PG Jalen Brunson

SG Josh Hart

SF Mikal Bridges

PF OG Anunoby

C Karl-Anthony Towns

PPG: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (31.8)

APG: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (6.4)

Reb/G: Isaiah Hartenstein (9.3)

PPG: Jalen Brunson (26.7)

APG: Jalen Brunson (6.1)

Reb/G: Karl-Anthony Towns (11.8)

Coaches:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (6th season)

New York Knicks: Mike Brown (1st season)