Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/31/2026

 

Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 31, 2026

Venue:  Toyota Center, Houston, TX

Where to Watch:  NBA TV

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Thunder +3.5, Rockets -3.5; Over/Under:  218.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Thunder +3.5, Rockets -3.5; Over/Under:  218.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Thunder +3.5, Rockets -3.5; Over/Under:  218.5 points

Oklahoma City Thunder:  4-1 (1st place, Northwest Division)

Houston Rockets:  5-0 (1st place, Southwest Division)

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Oklahoma City Thunder:  4-1 last 5

Houston Rockets:  5-0 last 5

The Thunder are entering this game with a 4-1 record overall this season and they are 1-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Dallas Mavericks. Ajay Mitchell led the team in points in that game with 29 while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was next on the team with 21 points. Jared McCain led the team in assists in that game with 4 while Isaiah Hartenstein led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 41.4% from the field, 15.6% from 3-point range, and 82.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 108.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 104.6 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 3-2 this season and their O/U record is 1-4.

The Rockets are entering this game with a 5-0 record overall this season and they are 2-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 5 game winning streak with wins coming against the Dallas Mavericks, the San Antonio Spurs, the Atlanta Hawks twice in a row, and the Milwaukee Bucks, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Mavericks still to be played on Friday night. In their game against the Bucks, Fred VanVleet led the team in points in that game with 24 while Amen Thompson was next on the team with 23 points. Fred VanVleet led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Tari Eason led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 54.8% from the field, 44.7% from 3-point range, and 88.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 123 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 108.8 PPG against them. The Rockets have an ATS record of 5-0 this season and their O/U record is 4-1.

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as a 3.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Thunder have looked good in their games this season with their 4-1 record overall which has them in the top half of the West. They haven't been a great road team though with their 1-1 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Rockets have looked great in their games this season with their 5-0 record overall which has them right at the top of the West. They have looked good on their home court too with their 2-0 home record this season. The Rockets have been rolling to start the year and they have always been a good defensive teams over the last few seasons, but now they have one of the best offenses in the NBA. They have been putting up a ton of points and a lot of it has been due to Fred VanVleet coming back after missing last season. As good as they have looked though, this isn't a good situation for them and they are due for their 1st loss of the season soon. They are playing this game on a back-to-back while the Thunder are going to be rested and the Rockets have a tough game on Friday night in their 1st NBA Cup game of the year, playing against a Mavericks team that has been getting hot lately. The Thunder already lost 2 of their starters for the season and they are coming off their 1st loss of the year, losing to the Mavericks, but they still have a ton of depth on their roster and will get things figured out. They don't play a game on Friday night, so they are going to have the rest advantage and they will be looking to bounce back after that 1st loss. Look for the Thunder to take advantage of a tired Rockets team in a bad situation here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game. 

Thunder Rockets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Saturday, October 31, 2026 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Thunder 124 Rockets 117.

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Oklahoma City Thunder: 22-15 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite. 10-6 ATS versus good foul drawing teams - attempting 27 free throws/game or more. 34-22 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days. 8-3 OVER as an underdog. 15-8 OVER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%).

Houston Rockets: 15-21 ATS when the total is 210 to 219.5. 15-25 ATS off a road loss. 7-14 ATS off an upset loss as a road favorite. 23-13 OVER against Northwest division opponents. 11-2 OVER versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 points/game or less.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  A. Caruso (SG) Day To Day - Ankle. C. Holmgren (C) Day To Day - Knee. N. Topic (PG) Day To Day - Back. T. Sorber (C) Day To Day - Knee. J. Williams (SG) Out - Ankle. C. Wallace (SG) Out - Shoulder.

Houston Rockets:  R. Sheppard (PG) Out - Back. A. Sengun (C) Day To Day - Back. M. Smart (PG) Day To Day - Forearm. S. Adams (C) Out - Soleus.

"Credit Flagg with some of the shot-making. I thought we kept them out of the deep paint on a lot of those, and he made us pay regardless. Then, Irving stabilized them early with some scoring. Then he really moved the ball and got it ahead of us out in the coverages. But those guys played really well tonight. So, you tip your hat to them. There are things we can do better, but there's another part of it, which is, like, those guys rose up and made some plays." - Mark Daigneault after his team’s loss against the Mavericks in their game on Wednesday. 

"When guys are out, or guys have an off night, we feel like we can still stem the tide with other guys, and that's what we've been doing." - Ime Udoka after his team’s win against the Bucks in their game on Wednesday. 

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Jared McCain

SF Ajay Mitchell

PF Chet Holmgren

C Isaiah Hartenstein

PG Fred VanVleet

SG Amen Thompson

SF Kevin Durant

PF Jabari Smith Jr.

C Alperen Sengun

PPG: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (26)

APG: Alex Caruso (3.8)

Reb/G: Isaiah Hartenstein (9.6)

PPG: Alperen Sengun (24.5)

APG: Alperen Sengun (7)

Reb/G: Alperen Sengun (9)

Coaches:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (7th season)

Houston Rockets: Ime Udoka (4th season)