North Carolina Tar Heels vs Miami Hurricanes Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/10/2026

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Tuesday, February 10, 2026

Venue:  Watsco Center, Coral Gables, FL

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  UNC -1.5, Miami-FL +1.5; Over/Under:  158.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  UNC -1.5, Miami-FL +1.5; Over/Under:  158.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  UNC -1.5, Miami-FL +1.5; Over/Under:  158.5 points

North Carolina Tar Heels:  19-4 (7-3) (5th place, ACC)

Miami Hurricanes:  18-5 (7-3) (6th place, ACC)

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North Carolina Tar Heels:  5-0  last 5

Miami Hurricanes:  3-2  last 5

UNC is entering this game with a 19-4 record overall, a 7-3 record in conference games, and they are 3-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Duke Blue Devils in their last game. Caleb Wilson led the team in points in that game with 23 while Seth Trimble was next on the team with 16. Derek Dixon led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Henri Veesaar led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 47.3% from the field, 42.1% from 3-point range, and 78.6% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 82.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 70.5 PPG against them. UNC has an ATS record of 13-10 this season and their O/U record is 11-12.

Miami-Florida is entering this game with an 18-5 record overall, a 7-3 conference record, and they are 12-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Boston College Eagles in their last game. Malik Reneau led the team in points in that game with 23 while Shelton Henderson was next on the team with 19. Tre Donaldson led the team in assists with 7 in that game while Malik Reneau and Tre Donaldson each led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 51.9% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 52% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 84.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 70 PPG against them. Miami-Florida has an ATS record of 10-11-1 this season and their O/U record is 15-6-1.

The current betting odds have North Carolina listed as a 1.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. North Carolina has looked really good in their games this season with their 19-4 record overall and their 7-3 conference record which has them in the top half of the ACC. They haven't been a great road team though with their 3-3 road record this year. Meanwhile, Miami has looked good in their games this season with their 18-5 record overall and their 7-3 conference record which has them in the top half of the ACC. They have looked great on their home court too with their 12-2 home record this season. Miami is off a win over Boston College in their last one and they have been rolling in conference play this season, but lately they haven't looked as good. They are only 3-2 in their last 5 games as they have taken some tough losses, but they haven't really had a strong schedule in the ACC either. Clemson has been their strongest opponent so far and that was a 10 point road loss for them. They have been beating up on some of the bottom teams so far, but this is going to be their first real test and UNC is starting to get into a groove now. UNC has a ton of momentum on their side with 5 wins in a row now and they are off an upset win over Duke in their last one so they are going to carry over that momentum into this game. They have picked up some good wins in the conference now too and have looked at their best lately. Miami may have the home advantage here, but they are starting to fade a bit as the schedule gets tougher and they won't be ready for UNC here with the way North Carolina has been ramping up their play lately. The best way to place a bet here is on North Carolina to cover the spread in this game. 

North Carolina Miami Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Tuesday, February 10, 2026 (7:00 pm ET start time) is UNC 79 Miami 71.

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North Carolina Tar Heels: 4-1 ATS off an upset win as an underdog. 23-17 ATS off a win against a conference rival. 8-4 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 16 assists/game or more. 6-1 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3.

Miami Hurricanes: 14-21 ATS as an underdog. 9-16 ATS after playing a road game. 3-9 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%). 21-14 UNDER as an underdog.

North Carolina Tar Heels:  J. Brown (C) Questionable - Foot. I. Matlekovic (C) Questionable - Hand.

Miami Hurricanes:  T. Washington (G) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Maddox (F) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Allen (G-F) Out - Illness.

“Yeah, (that) we’d continue to fight. We were down, but I think one of the things that we were missing is we didn’t join the fight. Every 50/50 loose ball they were getting, whether the ball was going up in the air on the ground, they were the first ones to get it. And we just continue to stick to it anytime, every time that we got knocked down, not only did we get back up, we kept taking a step forward. And as we continue to cut into the lead, our confidence just got better on both ends of the floor.” - Hubert Davis after his team’s win against Duke in their last game. 

“That's kind of how we are built. The formula is points in the paint. You know we are big and physical, so we have to try to fight for our identity every game. I thought at the start we did a really good job, and us being down some people had some of our guys run out of gas, make subs, and adjust our team. We found it again in the second half, then Boston College did a really good job of adjusting and making a run.” - Jai Lucas after his team’s win against BC in their last game. 

L. Bogavac 

K. Evans 

J. Stevenson 

H. Veesaar 

C. Wilson

T. Donaldson 

S. Henderson 

M. Reneau 

E. Udeh 

T. Washington

PPG: Caleb Wilson (20.2)

APG: Kyan Evans (2.9)

Reb/G: Caleb Wilson (9.6)

PPG: Malik Reneau (20)

APG: Tre Donaldson (6.2)

Reb/G: Ernest Udeh Jr. (9.6)

Coaches:

North Carolina Tar Heels: Hubert Davis (5th season)

Miami Hurricanes: Jai Lucas (1st season)