by Al McMordie
Monday, Aug 18, 2025The NFL season is underway, and the lone preseason Monday Night Football game will be played tonight. The Washington Commanders will host the Cincinnati Bengals, and the home team has been installed as a 4-point underdog.
Last week, the Commanders suffered the worst defeat, as New England annihilated them, 48-18, as a 6.5-point home favorite. Cincinnati, meanwhile, also lost, but the score was much more respectable: a 34-27 upset at the hands of the 5.5-point home dog Eagles.
In the preseason, it has often been profitable to back certain teams off blowout losses. And our System of the Week does just that. Since 1983, NFL Underdogs of +4 (or more) points, off a loss by more than 21 points, have gone 28-12-1 ATS. That bodes well for Washington tonight. As does the fact that Monday Night Underdogs have gone 22-10-3 ATS in the preseason off a straight-up loss.
Take a look at Washington on this Monday.
Good luck, as always,
Al McMordie
Last week, the Commanders suffered the worst defeat, as New England annihilated them, 48-18, as a 6.5-point home favorite. Cincinnati, meanwhile, also lost, but the score was much more respectable: a 34-27 upset at the hands of the 5.5-point home dog Eagles.
In the preseason, it has often been profitable to back certain teams off blowout losses. And our System of the Week does just that. Since 1983, NFL Underdogs of +4 (or more) points, off a loss by more than 21 points, have gone 28-12-1 ATS. That bodes well for Washington tonight. As does the fact that Monday Night Underdogs have gone 22-10-3 ATS in the preseason off a straight-up loss.
Take a look at Washington on this Monday.
Good luck, as always,
Al McMordie
