by Harry Gagnon
Friday, Sep 26, 2025As we enter Week 4 of the NFL season, we have had some surprises and some not so surprises when we try to figure out the MVP of the league. For example, unfortunately if you happen to be a Cincinnati Bengals fan it's not really a surprise than Joe Burrow (was 6/1 MVP) is hurt AGAIN and if you bought a ticket for him for MVP (like me) you might as well use it for toilet paper (I did).
A couple of quarterbacks that are longshots but have been surprisingly good are the Seahawks Sam Darnold (90/1) and the Colts Daniel Jones (80/1). Now are either of them going to win it over Allen or Herbert (who I'll get to in a little bit) ? The answer to that question is probably not, but Darnold winning 14 games in Minnesota last season and Jones leading his squad to a 3-0 start (Colts averaging 33 ppg) are numbers that should not be ignored.
If you think maybe the MVP could go to a player that isn't a quarterback at least this year, well, you can forget about it. Running backs Christian McCaffrey (150/1) and Saquon Barkley (100/1) are having subpar season stats-wise to start the season. Both are averaging less than 3.5 yards per carry and both have yet to rush for over 100 yards in a game.
Some other QB's that are worth at least a mention are Jalen Hurts (16/1) who has 4 rushing TDS and his Eagles are 19-1 SU in their last 20 games, Patrick Mahomes (19/1) out of respect only because the Chiefs have no running game and KC doesn't have the weapons they need on offense, and finally Baker Mayfield (18/1) who is as gutsy a player as you will find, however Tampa Bay might be 3-0 but those wins are by a grand total of 6 points plus Mike Evans is now hurt.
Now to my Top 3 guys who have the most legit shot at taking home the hardware for MVP of the league in 2025. The best value out of my top 3 is Lions quarterback Jared Goff (35/1). If you toss out the opener against Green Bay, Goff has 6 TDS in his last 2 games (is completing 78% of his passes this season) plus he helped hang 52 points on the board against Ben Johnson (his OC in Detroit last year) and was brilliant in taking down Lamar Jackson (3/1) on Monday night in Baltimore. By the way, if you think I'm snubbing Lamar I'm not but at 1-2 and the defense of the Ravens playing the way it is Lamar won't get there even at 3/1 odds.
Chargers head coach Jim Harbaugh is a genius with QB's and now you can add Justin Herbert (5/1) to the mix. Herbert and LA finally dethroned Kansas City's Kingdom in Brazil and that has propelled them to a 3-0 start. Herbert is a true leader who has 6 TDS, is averaging 290 passing yards a game (1st in passing yards before Thursday's game in NFL) and his team is not only 3-0 this season but are 3-0 in the AFC West.
Of course I saved the best for last and the reigning NFL MVP, the Buffalo Bills Josh Allen (+250). More than the stats he possesses (which don't get me wrong are awesome) but it's the belief and leadership Allen shows every single week. Allen is completing 70% of his passes and the Bills have scored 30 points or more in all 3 wins, but he's the leader for MVP after how brilliant he was in Week 1's forth quarter crazy comeback against the Baltimore Ravens.
Look, after this weekend, basically 1/4 of the season will be over, but there is a lot of time where things can change and change drastically. For now, again, after the first 3 Weeks of this NFL campaign my Top 3 for MVP are the current favorite in Josh Allen at +250, Justin Herbert who is finally turning heads with the Chargers at 5/1, and the only guy who has played in a Super Bowl, the Lions Jared Goff at a great value number at 35/1.
A couple of quarterbacks that are longshots but have been surprisingly good are the Seahawks Sam Darnold (90/1) and the Colts Daniel Jones (80/1). Now are either of them going to win it over Allen or Herbert (who I'll get to in a little bit) ? The answer to that question is probably not, but Darnold winning 14 games in Minnesota last season and Jones leading his squad to a 3-0 start (Colts averaging 33 ppg) are numbers that should not be ignored.
If you think maybe the MVP could go to a player that isn't a quarterback at least this year, well, you can forget about it. Running backs Christian McCaffrey (150/1) and Saquon Barkley (100/1) are having subpar season stats-wise to start the season. Both are averaging less than 3.5 yards per carry and both have yet to rush for over 100 yards in a game.
Some other QB's that are worth at least a mention are Jalen Hurts (16/1) who has 4 rushing TDS and his Eagles are 19-1 SU in their last 20 games, Patrick Mahomes (19/1) out of respect only because the Chiefs have no running game and KC doesn't have the weapons they need on offense, and finally Baker Mayfield (18/1) who is as gutsy a player as you will find, however Tampa Bay might be 3-0 but those wins are by a grand total of 6 points plus Mike Evans is now hurt.
Now to my Top 3 guys who have the most legit shot at taking home the hardware for MVP of the league in 2025. The best value out of my top 3 is Lions quarterback Jared Goff (35/1). If you toss out the opener against Green Bay, Goff has 6 TDS in his last 2 games (is completing 78% of his passes this season) plus he helped hang 52 points on the board against Ben Johnson (his OC in Detroit last year) and was brilliant in taking down Lamar Jackson (3/1) on Monday night in Baltimore. By the way, if you think I'm snubbing Lamar I'm not but at 1-2 and the defense of the Ravens playing the way it is Lamar won't get there even at 3/1 odds.
Chargers head coach Jim Harbaugh is a genius with QB's and now you can add Justin Herbert (5/1) to the mix. Herbert and LA finally dethroned Kansas City's Kingdom in Brazil and that has propelled them to a 3-0 start. Herbert is a true leader who has 6 TDS, is averaging 290 passing yards a game (1st in passing yards before Thursday's game in NFL) and his team is not only 3-0 this season but are 3-0 in the AFC West.
Of course I saved the best for last and the reigning NFL MVP, the Buffalo Bills Josh Allen (+250). More than the stats he possesses (which don't get me wrong are awesome) but it's the belief and leadership Allen shows every single week. Allen is completing 70% of his passes and the Bills have scored 30 points or more in all 3 wins, but he's the leader for MVP after how brilliant he was in Week 1's forth quarter crazy comeback against the Baltimore Ravens.
Look, after this weekend, basically 1/4 of the season will be over, but there is a lot of time where things can change and change drastically. For now, again, after the first 3 Weeks of this NFL campaign my Top 3 for MVP are the current favorite in Josh Allen at +250, Justin Herbert who is finally turning heads with the Chargers at 5/1, and the only guy who has played in a Super Bowl, the Lions Jared Goff at a great value number at 35/1.
