New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/07/2026

Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Tuesday, July 7, 2026

Venue:  Tropicana Field, Petersburg, FL 

Where to Watch:  MLB TV, TBS

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees +100, Rays -120; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees +100, Rays -120; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees +100, Rays -120; Over/Under:  8 runs

New York Yankees:  49-40 (2nd place, AL East)

Tampa Bay Rays:  52-35 (1st place, AL East)

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New York Yankees:  1-9 last 10

Tampa Bay Rays:  8-2 last 10

The Yankees are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Minnesota Twins 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 49-40 record overall and have a road record of 26-20. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Rays on Tuesday with the series opener still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .737 OPS. Cam Schlittler is their starting pitcher on Monday while Will Warren is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 7-3 with a 3.73 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 7 SO on 5 hits through 5.1 IP against the Detroit Tigers.

The Rays are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Houston Astros 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 52-35 record overall and have a home record of 31-12. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Yankees on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .734 OPS. Griffin Jax is their starting pitcher on Monday while Ian Seymour is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 5-1 with a 4.02 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 1 homer, and 1 walk with 8 strikeouts on 3 hits through 6 innings pitched against the Kansas City Royals.

The current betting odds have the Rays listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Rays have looked great in their games this season with their 52-35 record overall which has them right at the top of the AL East with one of the best records in MLB. They have looked great in their own ballpark too with their 31-12 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Yankees have looked good in their games this season with their 49-40 record overall which has them right near the top of the AL East. They have been a good road team too with their 26-20 road record this year. The Yankees haven't looked good lately though as they have been in a big slump now, losing their last series against the Twins and going 1-9 in their last 10 games now. The Rays have been rolling all season though with one of the best records in the league along with one of the best home records too, and they haven't been slowing down lately as they are 8-2 in their last 10 games. The Yankees are going with Warren in this one and he hasn't looked great this season. He is 7-3 with a 3.73 ERA and the team has been having trouble with him lately. He only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start, but the team has lost 3 games in a row now with him starting and they haven't been putting up a ton of runs on offense lately either. The Rays will be able to take advantage of this pitching matchup at home where they have looked like a different team this year, and they have a much better bullpen too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rays to win this game. 

Yankees Rays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 7, 2026 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Rays 3 Yankees 0.

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New York Yankees: 123-93 (+5.2 units) on the moneyline in road games. 149-91 (+12 units) on the moneyline vs. an AL team with a slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season. 34-18 (+8.4 units) on the moneyline vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start. 26-18 UNDER in road games.

Tampa Bay Rays: 209-202 (-5.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 152-150 (-9.2 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 129-133 (-15.8 units) on the moneyline vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse. 9-3 UNDER vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game.

New York Yankees:  J. Chisholm Jr. (2B) Day To Day - Toe. C. Rodon (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. A. Judge (RF) Ten Day IL - Rib. M. Fried (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. G. Stanton (DH) Ten Day IL - Leg. C. Schmidt (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

Tampa Bay Rays:  S. Matz (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Ankle. J. Heasley (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. G. Lux (LF) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. J. Scholtens (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Wrist. J. Fraley (RF) Ten Day IL - Groin. R. Pepiot (SP) Sixty Day IL - Hip. E. Uceta (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. S. Wilson (RP) Sixty Day IL - Back. M. Rodriguez (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

“The Twins have a good offense, and they put long at-bats against [Weathers]. I thought his stuff and swing and miss were good, but they battled him throughout to make it challenging all day.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s loss against the Twins in their game on Sunday. 

“He was outstanding. Really appreciate his efforts. Mixed through that lineup really well. Had all the pitches going; a lot of strikes. Gave him some lengthier at-bats at times but felt like he had an answer besides the two solo homers he gave up.” - Kevin Cash on Mason Englert after his team’s loss against the Astros in their game on Sunday. 

Trent Grisham (L) CF

Ben Rice (L) 1B

Jasson Domínguez (S) DH

Cody Bellinger (L) LF

Anthony Volpe (R) SS

Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) 2B

Max Schuemann (R) RF

Austin Wells (L) C

José Caballero (R) 3B

Yandy Díaz (R) DH

Jonathan Aranda (L) 1B

Junior Caminero (R) 3B

Cedric Mullins (L) CF

Chandler Simpson (L) LF

Ben Williamson (R) SS

Victor Mesa Jr. (L) RF

Richie Palacios (L) 2B

Hunter Feduccia (L) C

Batting Average:  Paul Goldschmidt (.271)

Hits:  Ben Rice (83)

Home Runs:  Ben Rice (24)

RBI:  Ben Rice (56)

Stolen Bases:  Jazz Chisholm (26)

Wins:  Cam Schlittler (8)

Saves:  David Bednar (17)

ERA:  Yovanny Cruz (0.00)

Batting Average:  Yandy Díaz (.321)

Hits:  Yandy Díaz (101)

Home Runs:  Junior Caminero (26)

RBI:  Jonathan Aranda (58)

Stolen Bases:  Chandler Simpson (21)

Wins:  Nick Martinez (7)

Saves:  Bryan Baker (23)

ERA:  Michael Grove (0.00)

Managers:

New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (9th season)

Tampa Bay Rays: Kevin Cash (12th season)