New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/24/2026

Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Friday, July 24, 2026

Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA 

Where to Watch:  Apple TV

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees +109, Phillies -131; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees +110, Phillies -130; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees +110, Phillies -130; Over/Under:  8 runs

New York Yankees:  57-45 (2nd place, AL East)

Philadelphia Phillies:  56-47 (2nd place, NL East)

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New York Yankees:  7-3 last 10

Philadelphia Phillies:  5-5 last 10

The Yankees are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 57-45 record overall and have a road record of 31-22. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .735 OPS. Max Fried was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Will Warren is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 7-4 with a 4.00 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 1 SO on 1 hit through 0.2 IP against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The Phillies are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 56-47 record overall and have a home record of 27-25. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 22nd in the MLB with a .705 OPS. Aaron Nola was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Jesús Luzardo is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 9-4 with a 3.43 ERA this season. His team won their last 10 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 1 homer, and 2 walks with 7 strikeouts on 2 hits through 5 innings pitched against the New York Mets.

The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have looked good in their games this season with their 56-47 record overall which has them right near the top of the NL East. They have looked good in their own ballpark too with their 27-25 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Yankees have looked good in their games this season with their 57-45 record overall which has them right near the top of the AL East. They have been a good road team too with their 31-22 road record this year. The Yankees are 7-3 in their last 10 games and have been rolling lately, but their offense hasn't looked great lately. The Phillies are only 5-5 in their last 10 games and they just lost their last series to the Dodgers, but they are going to have the better pitching matchup in this one. The Phillies are going with Luzardo in this one and he has looked good this season. He is 9-4 with a 3.43 ERA and the team has been having a ton of success with him lately. He is coming off another great start in which he gave up 1 earned run, something that has been a common theme for him lately, and the team has won 10 games in a row now with him starting. The Yankees are going with Warren in this one and he hasn't looked great this season. He is 7-4 with a 4.00 ERA and he definitely hasn't been their best option this year. The team has won 2 games in a row now with him starting and he is coming off a great start in which he gave up no runs, but that hasn't been a common theme for him and the Phillies have an offense that can get to him. The Yankees do have the better offense on the season, but that hasn't been true as of late, so look for the Phillies to take advantage of this pitching matchup at home. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game. 

Yankees Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, July 24, 2026 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Phillies 5 Yankees 3.

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New York Yankees: 22-21 (-7.2 units) on the moneyline against NL East opponents. 255-191 (-19.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 62-60 (-22.8 units) on the moneyline in an inter-league game. 31-20 UNDER in road games. 24-10 UNDER on the road when the money line is +125 to -125.

Philadelphia Phillies: 25-15 (+7.4 units) on the moneyline against AL East opponents. 250-186 (+9.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 138-81 (+19.7 units) on the moneyline in home games. 27-11 UNDER when the money line is +125 to -125. 8-0 UNDER vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better.

New York Yankees:  A. Judge (RF) Sixty Day IL - Rib. C. Rodon (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. G. Stanton (DH) Ten Day IL - Leg. C. Schmidt (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

Philadelphia Phillies:  R. Marchan (C) Day To Day - Knee. G. Stubbs (C) Ten Day IL - Wrist. B. Keller (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. T. Banks (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Forearm. L. Trivino III (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Back. J. Rojas (CF) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. A. Garcia (RF) Sixty Day IL - Lat.

“He looked great, obviously. Frankly, as good as he’s looked all year, in any of his other starts. You’re kind of hoping he can get you three innings, maybe 10 outs. And to be that efficient to throw five innings shutout, I thought [he] was really sharp from the jump.” - Aaron Boone on Max Fried after his team’s win against the Pirates in game 2 of their double-header on Wednesday.

“It is something that I'm thinking about and looking at because, obviously, the numbers haven't been great against the lefties. I've liked some of the at-bats early, but that seems to have been a battle as we went on.” - Don Mattingly on Brandon Marsh against lefties after his team’s loss against the LA Dodgers on Wednesday. 

Trent Grisham (L) CF

Ben Rice (L) DH

Paul Goldschmidt (R) 1B

Cody Bellinger (L) LF

Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) 2B

Jasson Domínguez (S) RF

Anthony Volpe (R) SS

Ryan McMahon (L) 3B

Ali Sánchez (R) C

Trea Turner (R) SS

Kyle Schwarber (L) DH

Bryce Harper (L) 1B

Alec Bohm (R) 3B

Edmundo Sosa (R) LF

Derek Hill (R) CF

Bryan De La Cruz (R) RF

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

Rafael Marchán (S) C

Batting Average:  Ben Rice (.277)

Hits:  Ben Rice (100)

Home Runs:  Ben Rice (30)

RBI:  Ben Rice (71)

Stolen Bases:  Jazz Chisholm (27)

Wins:  Cam Schlittler (9)

Saves:  David Bednar (18)

ERA:  Yovanny Cruz (0.00)

Batting Average:  Bryan De La Cruz (.500)

Hits:  Brandon Marsh (105)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (33)

RBI:  Kyle Schwarber (61)

Stolen Bases:  Trea Turner (17)

Wins:  Cristopher Sánchez (12)

Saves:  Jhoan Duran (24)

ERA:  Bryse Wilson (0.00)

Managers:

New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (9th season)

Philadelphia Phillies: Don Mattingly (Interim)