New York Yankees vs New York Mets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/27/2022

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Wednesday, July 27, 2022

Venue:  Citi Field, Queens, NY

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees +140, Mets -165; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees +145, Mets -165; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees +135, Mets -165; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

 

New York Yankees:  66-31 (1st place, AL East)

New York Mets:  59-37 (1st place, NL East)

 

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New York Yankees:  5-5 last 10

New York Mets:  6-4 last 10

 

 

 

 

The Yankees won 2 of their last 3 games and enter this game off of a win. They won their last series against the Baltimore Orioles 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 66-31 record overall and have a road record of 29-19. This is the series finale of a 2-game series with the Mets on Wednesday with the series opener still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .777 OPS. Jordan Montgomery is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Domingo Germán is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 0-1 with a 15.00 ERA this season. His team lost their only game this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 5 ER, 2 HRs, and 1 BB with 2 Ks on 6 hits through 3 IP against the Houston Astros. 

 

The Mets were on a 3 game losing streak but now enter this game off of a win. They lost their last series against the San Diego Padres 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 59-37 record overall and have a home record of 29-17. This is the 2nd game of a 2-game series with the Yankees on Wednesday with the 2nd game still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .719 OPS. Taijuan Walker is on the mound on Tuesday while Max Scherzer will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Wednesday. He is 6-2 with a 2.28 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 8 Ks on 5 hits through 6 IP against the San Diego Padres. 

The current betting odds have the Mets listed as a favorite in this game. The Yankees have been playing better in their recent games as they won 2 of their 3 against the Orioles while the Mets have come out of the All-Star break slow, just winning their last game with a nice offensive showing. The Mets have not been scoring a lot of runs recently other than their last game, but they will not need many runs here to win with their starter on the mound. They have Scherzer starting here and he has been great all season but also throughout his entire career and he is one of those pitchers that can just shut down any lineup when he is at his best. He will be well rested for this game and even though the Yankees have been scoring runs recently, Scherzer has kept most of his starts very low scoring games this season and he will give the Yankees trouble in this game. The Yankees have shown that they struggle to hit against good pitching staffs like when they play the Astros, and Scherzer will be able to shut them down here. The Mets finally scored a lot of runs in their last game but that will continue at home here with German pitching for the Yankees. German is coming off of an injury that has kept him out for over a year. He just pitched in his first start of the season against the Astros and he did not pitch well at all. He is not fully back in his groove yet after all of that missed time and the Mets should be able to score runs on him here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mets to win this game.

 

Yankees Mets Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 27, 2022 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Mets 4 Yankees 1.

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New York Yankees: 66-31 (+16.3 Units) ML in all games. 23-8 (+10.8 Units) ML against left-handed starters. 14-6 OVER this season in July games.

New York Mets: 162-156 (-25.2 Units) ML in all games. 23-30 (-14.3 Units) ML in an inter-league game. 30-21 OVER in an inter-league game.

 

 

New York Yankees:  A. Hicks (CF) Ques Tues - Hamstring. M. King (SP) out for season - Elbow. L. Severino (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.

New York Mets:  D. Smith (1B) Out indefinitely - Ankle. J. McCann (C) Early Aug - Oblique. T. Nido (C) Ques Sat - Hand.

 

 

 

"It's always big to win a series. You don't take that for granted whether you're in a hot streak like we've been at times this year or you're struggling a little bit. Series wins are not to be taken lightly." - Aaron Judge after their win against the Orioles on Sunday.

 

 

“You can't hit a five-run homer and you can't hit a four-run single. Sometimes you want something too much, and something like that might let you kind of get back into the flow of who you are.” - Buck Showalter after his team’s win against the Padres on Sunday.

 

 

 

DJ LeMahieu (R) 3B

Aaron Judge (R) DH

Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B

Gleyber Torres (R) 2B

Matt Carpenter (L) RF

Aaron Hicks (S) CF

Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R) SS

Jose Trevino (R) C

Joey Gallo (L) LF

 

Brandon Nimmo (L) CF

Starling Marte (R) RF

Francisco Lindor (S) SS

Pete Alonso (R) 1B

Jeff McNeil (L) 2B

Daniel Vogelbach (L) DH

Mark Canha (R) LF

Luis Guillorme (L) 3B

Tomas Nido (R) C

 

 

Batting Average:  Rob Brantly (.333)

Hits:  Aaron Judge (105)

Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (37)

RBI:  Aaron Judge (81)

Stolen Bases:  Isiah Kiner-Falefa (14)

Wins:  Jameson Taillon (10)

Saves:  Clay Holmes (17)

ERA:  David McKay (0.00)

 

Batting Average:  Khalil Lee (.500)

Hits:  Pete Alonso (97)

Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (25)

RBI:  Pete Alonso (82)

Stolen Bases:  Starling Marte (12)

Wins:  Carlos Carrasco (10)

Saves:  Edwin Diaz (21)

ERA:  Stephen Nogosek (0.71)

 

Managers:

New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (5th season)

New York Mets: Buck Showalter (1st season)