New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/08/2025

Game Time: 8:10 pm ET, Friday, August 8, 2025

Venue:  American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI 

Where to Watch:  SNY, FDSWI

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +112, Brewers -137; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +110, Brewers -130; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +110, Brewers -130; Over/Under:  8 runs

New York Mets:  63-52 (2nd place, NL East)

Milwaukee Brewers:  70-44 (1st place, NL Central)

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New York Mets:  2-8 last 10

Milwaukee Brewers:  9-1 last 10

The Mets are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 3-game series against the Cleveland Guardians 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 63-52 record overall and have a road record of 25-31. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 13th in the MLB with a .722 OPS. David Peterson was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Kodai Senga is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 7-3 with a 2.31 ERA this season. His team won their last 8 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 1 HR, and 3 BB with 4 SO on 5 hits through 4 IP against the San Francisco Giants.

The Brewers are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the Atlanta Braves 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 70-44 record overall and have a home record of 36-20. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Mets on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .728 OPS. José Quintana was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Brandon Woodruff is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 3-0 with a 2.22 ERA this season. His team won their last 5 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 walk with 8 strikeouts on 1 hit through 6 innings pitched against the Washington Nationals.

The current betting odds have the Brewers listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Brewers have looked great in their games this season with their 70-44 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL Central with the best record in the entire MLB. They have also looked great in their own ballpark this year with their 36-20 home record. Meanwhile, the Mets have looked really good in their games this season with their 63-52 record overall which has them right near the top of the NL East. They haven't been a good road team though with their 25-31 road record this year. The Mets haven't looked great lately either as they are 2-8 in their last 10 games and have been in a big slump while the Brewers are 9-1 in their last 10 games and just swept the Braves in their last series. The Brewers are going to have Woodruff on the mound here and he has been great since coming back from his injury. He is 3-0 with a 2.22 ERA and his team has had a ton of success with him starting. He is coming off another good start in which he gave up 2 earned runs and the team has won all 5 of their games with him starting. The Mets are going with Peterson in this one and he has also looked great this year. He is 7-3 with a 2.31 ERA and his team has also had a ton of success with him starting. The Mets have won 8 games in a row now with Peterson on the mound, but he did give up 4 earned runs in his last start and he is going to get himself into trouble against this hot Brewers offense. Both teams have great starters here, but the Brewers can take advantage of the Mets in this slump and edge them out at home. The best way to place a bet here is on the Brewers to win this game. 

Mets Brewers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, August 8, 2025 (8:10 pm ET start time) is Brewers 4 Mets 2.

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New York Mets: 46-45 (-10.6 units) on the moneyline against NL Central opponents. 234-218 (-17 units) on the moneyline in all games. 104-122 (-21.1 units) on the moneyline in road games. 42-25 OVER on the road vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season.

Milwaukee Brewers: 52-39 (+7.5 units) on the moneyline against NL East opponents. 256-188 (+48.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 132-90 (+13.8 units) on the moneyline in home games. 21-10 OVER at home vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better.

New York Mets:  J. Winker (LF) Sixty Day IL - Back. M. Kranick (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. B. Waddell (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Hip. D. Nunez (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. T. Megill (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. P. Blackburn (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. G. Canning (SP) Sixty Day IL - Achilles. J. Siri (CF) Sixty Day IL - Shin. D. Young (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. A. Minter (RP) Sixty Day IL - Lat. C. Scott (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. N. Madrigal (3B) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. D. Smith (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

Milwaukee Brewers:  J. Misiorowski (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Leg. J. Chourio (CF) Ten Day IL - Hamstring. S. Miller (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Forearm. J. Montgomery (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Bauers (LF) Ten Day IL - Shoulder. R. Hoskins (1B) Ten Day IL - Thumb. G. Mitchell (CF) Sixty Day IL - Oblique. R. Zastryzny (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Ribs. C. Thomas (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. R. Gasser (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

"You've got to give him credit. Obviously he was really good today, using all of his pitches. But we also know that we're better than that. [The hitters] know they're better than that." - Carlos Mendoza after his team’s loss against the Guardians in their game on Wednesday.

“I don’t think they would even realize it. I don’t think they look at it as home and away, they look at it as, ‘OK, there’s a ballgame tonight.’ Maybe you call it unawareness. That uncommon thinking about it is bliss. It’s beautiful.” - Pat Murphy after his team’s win against the Braves in their game on Wednesday.

Francisco Lindor (S) SS

Juan Soto (L) RF

Pete Alonso (R) 1B

Brandon Nimmo (L) LF

Mark Vientos (R) DH

Jeff McNeil (L) 2B

Cedric Mullins (L) CF

Luis Torrens (R) C

Brett Baty (L) 3B

Sal Frelick (L) RF

William Contreras (R) C

Isaac Collins (S) LF

Christian Yelich (L) DH

Andrew Vaughn (R) 1B

Blake Perkins (S) CF

Brice Turang (L) 2B

Anthony Seigler (L) 3B

Joey Ortiz (R) SS

Batting Average:  José Azocar (.278)

Hits:  Francisco Lindor (114)

Home Runs:  Juan Soto (26)

RBI:  Pete Alonso (91)

Stolen Bases:  Francisco Lindor (17)

Wins:  Clay Holmes (9)

Saves:  Edwin Díaz (23)

ERA:  Brooks Raley (0.00)

Batting Average:  Andrew Vaughn (.377)

Hits:  Jackson Chourio (123)

Home Runs:  Christian Yelich (21)

RBI:  Christian Yelich (74)

Stolen Bases:  Brice Turang (20)

Wins:  Freddy Peralta (13)

Saves:  Trevor Megill (26)

ERA:  Logan Henderson (1.78)

Managers:

New York Mets: Carlos Mendoza (2nd season)

Milwaukee Brewers: Pat Murphy (2nd season)