by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Jul 12, 2022
Game Time: 12:20 pm ET, Wednesday, July 13, 2022
Venue: Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
Where to Watch: MLB Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Mets +120, Braves -140; Over/Under: 9 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Mets +120, Braves -140; Over/Under: 9 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Mets +120, Braves -140; Over/Under: 9 runs
Season Record
New York Mets: 54-33 (1st place, NL East)
Atlanta Braves: 52-36 (2nd place, NL East)
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Recent Form
New York Mets: 6-4 last 10
Atlanta Braves: 7-3 last 10
New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Preview and Analysis
The Mets won 2 of their last 3 games and enter this game off of a win. They split their last series against the Miami Marlins 2-2 in a 4-game series. They enter this game with a 54-33 record overall and have a road record of 26-18. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Braves on Wednesday with the 2nd game still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .726 OPS. David Peterson is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Chris Bassitt is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 6-6 with a 3.94 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HRs, and 0 BB with 3 Ks on 6 hits through 6.1 IP against the Miami Marlins.
The Braves were on a 3 game winning streak but now enter this game off of a loss. They won their last series against the Washington Nationals 3-0 completing the sweep in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 52-36 record overall and have a home record of 30-19. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Mets on Wednesday with the 2nd game still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .758 OPS. Spencer Strider is on the mound on Tuesday while Charlie Morton will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Wednesday. He is 5-3 with a 4.21 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 3 BB with 7 Ks on 4 hits through 7 IP against the Washington Nationals.
Mets vs Braves Prediction
The current betting odds have the Mets listed as a slight underdog in this game. Both of these teams have been playing very well all season as these are the top 2 teams in the NL East only separated by 2.5 games. This is a very important series for both that the Mets already took the series opener in but the Braves have been very hot over the last few weeks and are at home here. Morton is starting for them here though and he has not been the same guy he has been in past seasons, getting better in recent starts but still not pitching like his old self. The Mets have started to hit the ball again in this series as well and they will be motivated to keep their lead in the NL East. They have Bassit starting here and he has been solid all season as he is coming off of another good start. This will be a close game between two very good teams but the Mets have the slight advantage here with their pitching and should squeak this game out. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mets to win this game.
Mets Braves Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 13, 2022 (12:20 pm ET start time) is Mets 4 Braves 3.
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MLB Betting Trends
New York Mets: 157-152 (-25 Units) ML in all games. 69-86 (-24 Units) ML in road games. 23-16 UNDER as a road underdog of +125 to +175.
Atlanta Braves: 194-143 (+16.7 Units) ML in all games. 145-80 (+21 Units) ML as a favorite of -110 or higher. 9-2 UNDER this season in July games.
Key Injuries
New York Mets: S. Marte (CF) Ques Mon - Groin. J. McCann (C) Out indefinitely - Oblique. T. Jankowski (RF) Ques Mon - Hand.
Atlanta Braves: A. Duvall (LF) Prob Mon - Personal. O. Albies (2B) Mid Aug - Foot. M. Pina (C) out for season - Wrist.
Notable Quotes
"They're a great team over there and you want to come out and play your best baseball." - Max Scherzer after their win against the Braves on Monday.
"For the second time out, that was really, really good, I thought." - Brian Snitker on Scherzer after his team’s loss against the Mets on Monday.
Starting Lineups
New York Mets
Brandon Nimmo (L) CF
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Pete Alonso (R) 1B
Mark Canha (R) LF
Eduardo Escobar (S) 3B
Luis Guillorme (L) 2B
J.D. Davis (R) DH
Travis Jankowski (L) RF
Tomas Nido (R) C
Atlanta Braves
Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) RF
Dansby Swanson (R) SS
Matt Olson (L) 1B
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Marcell Ozuna (R) DH
Eddie Rosario (L) LF
Travis d'Arnaud (R) C
Michael Harris II (L) CF
Robinson Cano (L) 2B
Statistical Leaders
New York Mets
Batting Average: Khalil Lee (.500)
Hits: Starling Marte (87)
Home Runs: Pete Alonso (23)
RBI: Pete Alonso (72)
Stolen Bases: Starling Marte (10)
Wins: Carlos Carrasco (9)
Saves: Edwin Diaz (19)
ERA: Stephen Nogosek (0.71)
Atlanta Braves
Batting Average: Robinson Cano (.667)
Hits: Dansby Swanson (101)
Home Runs: Austin Riley (24)
RBI: Austin Riley (57)
Stolen Bases: Ronald Acuna (17)
Wins: Kyle Wright (10)
Saves: Kenley Jansen (20)
ERA: William Woods (0.00)
Managers:
New York Mets: Buck Showalter (1st season)
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (7th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
