by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Oct 22, 2024
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 27, 2024
Venue: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Jets -7, Patriots +7; Over/Under: 41.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Jets -7, Patriots +7; Over/Under: 41.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Jets -7, Patriots +7; Over/Under: 41.5 points
Season Record
New York Jets: 2-5 (3rd place, AFC East)
New England Patriots: 1-6 (4th place, AFC East)
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New York Jets: lost their last game on the road against the Pittsburgh Steelers 37-15.
New England Patriots: lost their last game at a neutral site against the Jacksonville Jaguars 32-16.
New York Jets vs New England Patriots Preview and Analysis
The Jets are entering this game with a 2-5 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-2 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Pittsburgh Steelers 37-15. Aaron Rodgers was the starting QB and he completed 24/39 passes for 276 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Breece Hall led the team in rushing yards with 38 and 1 TD. Breece Hall led the receivers with 103 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Jalen Mills led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Will McDonald IV led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Patriots are entering this game with a 1-6 record overall and they have a 0-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-3 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Jacksonville Jaguars 32-16. Drake Maye was the starting QB and he completed 26/37 passes for 276 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Rhamondre Stevenson led the team in rushing yards with 18. Hunter Henry led the receivers with 92 receiving yards on 8 receptions. Kyle Dugger led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Jets vs Patriots Prediction
The current betting odds have the Jets listed as a 7 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Jets have looked terrible in their games this season with their 2-5 record overall which has them near the bottom of the AFC East. Aaron Rodgers hasn't looked good in the offense and they have been dealing with a circus off the field too, but this is a great game for them to get right in. They already have a win over the Patriots earlier this season, beating them at home 24-3, and they shouldn't have any trouble on defense trying to defend the rookie QB they are going to see now. Meanwhile, the Patriots have looked terrible in their games this season with their 1-6 record overall which has them at the bottom of the AFC East. They are only in their 3rd game with Drake Maye as the starter now and the offense has looked a lot better, but the Jets still have one of the best defenses in the NFL. The Patriots won't have an easy time here on offense even being at home and the Jets desperately need a win to get right. Davante Adams wasn't much of a factor in his first game with the team, but he should have more of an impact in this game as the Jets look to stop the bleeding against one of the worst teams in the NFL. The best way to place a bet here is on the Jets to cover the spread in this game.
Jets Patriots Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 27, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Jets 31 Patriots 14.
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NFL Betting Trends
New York Jets: 7-4 1H ATS as a favorite. 3-0 1H ATS vs. poor passing teams averaging 5.7 or less passing yards/att. 3-0 1H ATS versus poor offensive teams - averaging 285 yards/game or less. 25-15 UNDER in all games. 8-3 UNDER as a favorite. 11-3 UNDER versus division opponents.
New England Patriots: 14-25 ATS in all games. 8-19 ATS as an underdog. 3-9 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%). 9-5 UNDER versus division opponents. 7-2 UNDER after allowing 30 points or more last game. 8-4 UNDER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%).
Key Injuries
New York Jets: D. Adams (WR) Injured - Hamstring. A. Rodgers (QB) Injured - Ankle. T. Smith (OL) Injured - NIR - Rest. M. Williams (WR) Injured - NIR - Personal. M. Moses (OL) Injured - Knee. T. Conklin (TE) Questionable - Hip. D. Reed (CB) Questionable - Groin. M. Carter (CB) Out - Back. C. Surratt (LB) Questionable - Heel. W. McDonald (DE) Injured - Shoulder.
New England Patriots: J. Baker (WR) Questionable - Illness. C. Jacobs (LB) Questionable - Knee. M. Jordan (G) Questionable - Ankle. M. Mapu (SAF) Injured - Neck. D. Maye (QB) Injured - Knee. J. Cardona (LS) Injured - Calf. I. Bolden (CB) Injured - Hamstring. D. Godchaux (DT) Injured - Elbow. M. Wilson (CB) Questionable - Groin. R. Stevenson (RB) Questionable - Foot. M. Jones (CB) Injured - Illness. K. Bourne (WR) Injured - Knee. S. Takitaki (LB) Questionable - Knee. K. Osborn (WR) Injured - Shoulder. K. Dugger (SAF) Injured - Ankle. J. Jones (CB) Questionable - Shoulder. A. Jennings (LB) Injured - Shoulder. V. Lowe (T) Out - Ankle.
Notable Quotes
“That game, especially that second half, that’s not who this team is. That’s not good enough and it starts with me and the coaching staff and goes down to every single player on this team. We can all give more and we will give more.” - Jeff Ulbrich after his team’s loss against the Steelers in their last game.
“They controlled the ball for most of the day. Back to the drawing board. We can't sit here and pout.” - Jerod Mayo after his team’s loss against the Jags in their last game.
Starting Lineups
New York Jets
WR Adams, Davante
WR Wilson, Garrett
WR Lazard, Allen
TE Conklin, Tyler
QB Rodgers, Aaron
RB Hall, Breece
New England Patriots
WR Boutte, Kayshon
WR Polk, Ja'Lynn
WR Douglas, DeMario
TE Henry, Hunter
QB Maye, Drake
RB Stevenson, Rhamondre
Statistical Leaders
New York Jets
Passing: A. Rodgers (1663)
Rushing: B. Hall (348)
Receiving: G. Wilson (460)
Touchdowns: A. Lazard (5)
New England Patriots
Passing: J. Brissett (696)
Rushing: R. Stevenson (374)
Receiving: H. Henry (313)
Touchdowns: R. Stevenson (3)
Coaches:
New York Jets: Jeff Ulbrich (Interim)
New England Patriots: Jerod Mayo (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
