New York Jets vs New England Patriots Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/18/2026

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 18, 2026

Venue:  Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Jets +7.5, Patriots -7.5; Over/Under:  43.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Jets +7.5, Patriots -7.5; Over/Under:  43.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Jets +7, Patriots -7; Over/Under:  43.5 points

New York Jets:  2-3 (3rd place, AFC East)

New England Patriots:  3-2 (2nd place, AFC East)

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New York Jets:  won their last game at home against the Cleveland Browns 17-12.

New England Patriots:  won their last game at home against the Las Vegas Raiders 45-17.

The Jets are entering this game with a 2-3 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Cleveland Browns 17-12. Geno Smith was the starting QB and he completed 17/30 passes for 182 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Braelon Allen led the team in rushing yards with 116 and 1 TD. Garrett Wilson led the receivers with 104 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Dane Belton led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles while David Bailey led the defense in sacks with 3. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

The Patriots are entering this game with a 3-2 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Las Vegas Raiders 45-17. Drake Maye was the starting QB and he completed 26/34 passes for 374 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Rhamondre Stevenson led the team in rushing yards with 64 and 1 TD. Kyle Williams led the receivers with 91 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Christian Elliss led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles while Elijah Ponder led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have the Patriots listed as a 7.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Patriots have looked good in their games this season with their 3-2 record overall which has them right near the top of the AFC East. They have looked great on their home field too with their 2-0 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Jets haven't looked great in their games this season with their 3-2 record overall which has them right near the bottom of the AFC East. They haven't been a great road team either with their 1-2 road record this year. The Jets are coming off a 17-12 win over the Browns in their last one and finally picked up a win after losing 3 games in a row, but it was also a really ugly win against a team that isn't that great. The defense has made a lot of strides for the Jets this season, looking a lot better compared to last year, but the offense is banged up and they don't have a ton of firepower with Geno Smith leading the way. The Patriots have a young QB who is very dynamic though and he has looked a lot better in their last 2 games after starting the season really shaky. The Patriots have some momentum now with 2 wins in a row and that offense has looked a lot better lately, putting up a ton of points despite missing some key players still. They are coming off a 45-17 win over the Raiders in their last one and the defense has still looked really good this season too. The Patriots have looked like a different team in their home games this year and their much stronger offense will be the deciding factor in this one. The best way to place a bet here is on the Patriots to cover the spread in this game. 

Jets Patriots Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 18, 2026 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Patriots 34 Jets 17.

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New York Jets: 3-8 ATS versus division opponents. 4-10 ATS after playing a game at home. 3-11 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 9-5 OVER as a road underdog. 9-3 OVER versus division opponents. 

New England Patriots: 9-3 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 8-4 ATS versus division opponents. 5-1 ATS versus poor offensive teams - averaging 285 yards/game or less. 15-6 OVER in home games. 14-5 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record.

New York Jets:  None.

New England Patriots:  None.

“A good team win. Every part had some bright moments.” - Aaron Glenn after his team’s win against the Browns in their last game. 

“That’s what it has to be. They realize when you get an opportunity, you do something with it.” - Mike Vrabel after his team’s win against the Raiders in their last game.

WR Patrick, Tim

WR Wilson, Garrett

WR Williams, Isaiah

TE Taylor, Mason

QB Smith, Geno

RB Allen, Braelon

FB Beck, Andrew

WR Doubs, Romeo

WR Chism III, Efton

WR Douglas, DeMario

TE Henry, Hunter

QB Maye, Drake

RB Stevenson, Rhamondre

Passing: Geno Smith (1,084)

Rushing: Braelon Allen (236)

Receiving: Garrett Wilson (374)

Touchdowns: Garrett Wilson (3)

Passing: Drake Maye (1,228)

Rushing: Rhamondre Stevenson (227)

Receiving: Romeo Doubs (219)

Touchdowns: Romeo Doubs (2)

Coaches:

New York Jets: Aaron Glenn (2nd season)

New England Patriots: Mike Vrabel (2nd season)