New York Giants vs Washington Commanders Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/11/2026

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 11, 2026

Venue:  Northwest Stadium, Landover, MD

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Giants +3, Commanders -3; Over/Under:  43.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Giants +3.5, Commanders -3.5; Over/Under:  43.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Giants +3.5, Commanders -3.5; Over/Under:  43.5 points

New York Giants:  3-1 (1st place, NFC East)

Washington Commanders:  1-3 (4th place, NFC East)

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New York Giants:  won their last game at home against the Arizona Cardinals 36-24.

Washington Commanders:  lost their last game at a neutral site against the Indianapolis Colts 30-13.

The Giants are entering this game with a 3-1 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Arizona Cardinals 36-24. Jameis Winston was the starting QB and he completed 18/29 passes for 250 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Cameron Skattebo led the team in rushing yards with 58. Malik Nabers led the receivers with 112 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Arvell Reese and Tremaine Edmunds each led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles while Tremaine Edmunds and Basil Chijioke Okoye each led the defense in sacks with 1. Arvell Reese, Greg Newsome II, and Deonte Banks each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

The Commanders are entering this game with a 1-3 record overall and they have a 0-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 0-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Indianapolis Colts 30-13. Marcus Mariota was the starting QB and he completed 3/4 passes for 46 passing yards before leaving injured and getting replaced by Athan Kaliakmanis who completed 15/33 passes for 186 yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Marcus Mariota led the team in rushing yards with 35. Dyami Brown led the receivers with 65 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Amik Robertson led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles while Odafe Oweh led the defense in sacks with 1. Rasul Douglas came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have the Giants listed as a 3 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Giants have looked good in their games this season with their 3-1 record overall which has them right at the top of the NFC East. They haven't been a great road team though with their 0-1 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Commanders haven't looked good in their games this season with their 1-3 record overall which has them right at the bottom of the NFC East. They have looked better on their home field though with their 1-0 home record this season. The Commanders are coming off a 30-13 loss to the Colts in their last one and they are in a bad situation now, coming back from England. They are missing their starting QB again, but even when Daniels was playing, the offense still didn't look great. They managed to get a win in Mariota's 1st game starting against the Seahawks, but even Mariota got injured against the Colts, leaving them with Kaliakmanis in his 1st potential start. The defense has also been a big issue though, giving up a ton of points in every game this year. The Giants have been dealing with similar trouble as they had a hot start to the season beating the Cowboys and then lost their starting QB for the year in a bad loss to the Rams. It looked like the Giants were going to have another disaster year now, but coaching really does matter and Harbaugh has found a way to keep this team motivated. They have won 2 games in a row now with Winston as the starting QB and they are coming off a 36-24 win over the Cardinals in their last one. The defense has still been respectable in their games and the offense finally got going with Winston against the Cardinals. The Giants are in a much better situation right now with the better head coach too and the Giants will continue to find ways to win games against bad teams. The best way to place a bet here is on the Giants to cover the spread in this game. 

Giants Commanders Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 11, 2026 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Giants 27 Commanders 23.

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New York Giants: 4-8 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less. 6-12 ATS in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 4-8 ATS vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game. 16-10 OVER after the first month of the regular season.

Washington Commanders: 7-2 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less. 9-5 ATS in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 9-5 ATS after allowing 30 points or more last game. 11-3 OVER in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points.

New York Giants:  None.

Washington Commanders:  None.

“It wasn’t the most beautiful game, as far as playing perfectly: It was a winning game. That’s what winning teams do: They find ways to win games, and that’s why they’re winning teams.” - John Harbaugh after his team’s win against the Cardinals in their last game. 

“It was surreal, man, it was absolutely surreal, but I've got to be honest, right now I'm just thinking about the loss. It's not about me. It's about this team.” - Athan Kaliakmanis after their loss against the Colts in their last game. 

WR Nabers, Malik

WR Fields, Malachi

WR Mooney, Darnell

TE Likely, Isaiah

QB Winston, Jameis

RB Skattebo, Cam

FB Ricard, Patrick

WR Williams, Antonio

WR Brown, Dyami

WR Diggs, Stefon

TE Okonkwo, Chig

QB Kaliakmanis, Athan

RB Croskey-Merritt, Jacory

Passing: Jameis Winston (479)

Rushing: Cam Skattebo (235)

Receiving: Malik Nabers (208)

Touchdowns: Isaiah Likely (2)

Passing: Marcus Mariota (340)

Rushing: Jacory Croskey-Merritt (157)

Receiving: Stefon Diggs (170)

Touchdowns: Stefon Diggs (3)

Coaches:

New York Giants: John Harbaugh (1st season)

Washington Commanders: Dan Quinn (3rd season)