New Mexico Lobos vs Nevada Wolf Pack Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/06/2026

Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Friday, November 6, 2026

Venue:  Mackay Stadium, Reno, NV

Where to Watch:  CBSSN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  UNM -10, Nevada +10; Over/Under:  38.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  UNM -10, Nevada +10; Over/Under:  38.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  UNM -10, Nevada +10; Over/Under:  38.5 points

New Mexico Lobos:  7-1 (4-0) (1st place, MWC)

Nevada Wolf Pack:  3-5 (2-2) (6th place, MWC)

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New Mexico Lobos:  won their last game on the road against the San Jose State Spartans 21-16.

Nevada Wolf Pack:  lost their last game on the road against the UCLA Bruins 27-0.

New Mexico is entering this game with a 7-1 record overall and they have a 4-0 record in their conference games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 3-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against San Jose State 21-16. Toa Fa'avae was the starting QB and he completed 9/14 passes for 101 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 3 interceptions. Kiefer Sibley led the team in rushing yards with 102. Cade Keith led the receivers with 30 receiving yards on 2 receptions and 1 TD. Mercury Swaim and Ormanie Arnold each led the defense in that game with 7 tackles while Darren Agu led the defense in sacks with 2. Jayden Flaker and Austin Brawley each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Nevada is entering this game with a 3-5 record overall and they have a 2-2 record in their conference games too. They are 2-2 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against UCLA 27-0. A.J. Bianco was the starting QB and he completed 6/13 passes for 71 passing yards, 0 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Herschel Turner led the team in rushing yards with 28. Marshaun Brown led the receivers with 51 receiving yards on 3 receptions. EJ Smith led the defense in that game with 9 tackles while David Paine Jr. and Dylan Labarbera each led the defense in sacks with 0.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have New Mexico listed as a 10 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. New Mexico has looked great in their games this season with their 7-1 record overall and their 4-0 conference record which has them right at the top of the MWC. They have been a good road team too with their 3-1 road record this year. Meanwhile, Nevada hasn't looked great in their games this season with their 3-5 record overall and their 2-2 conference record which has them right in the middle of the MWC. They haven't looked great on their home field either with their 2-2 home record this season. Nevada is coming off a 27-0 loss to UCLA in their last one and they didn't look that competitive in that one. They were playing against the only undefeated team in the Big Ten, but their offense still looked terrible and couldn't do anything. They aren't a strong team in the conference either and they have some bad losses this season by double digits. New Mexico has looked like the best team in the conference though and they are coming off a 21-16 win over San Jose State in their last one. Their only loss this season was a really tight loss on the road against Oklahoma, but they have been rolling over every other opponent this year. Eck has been building this program up since taking it over and they have a really good offense that can put up points when they need to. Their defense has also looked a lot better lately, not giving up many points, and New Mexico is going to be motivated here since they have been quietly putting together a case for the CFP, finally getting ranked in the top 25 for the 1st time this season. Look for New Mexico to make a statement on the road in this 1st game being ranked in the top 25. The best way to place a bet here is on New Mexico to cover the spread in this game. 

New Mexico Nevada Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Friday, November 6, 2026 (9:00 pm ET start time) is New Mexico 28 Nevada 10.

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New Mexico Lobos: 20-13 ATS in all lined games. 6-2 ATS off a road win. 5-2 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%). 9-3 UNDER off a win against a conference rival. 7-1 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins.

Nevada Wolf Pack: 3-6 ATS after scoring 14 points or less last game. 20-32 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. 8-15 ATS at home vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season. 30-18 UNDER after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. 23-13 UNDER versus good rushing defenses - allowing 3.25 rushing yards/carry or less. 

New Mexico Lobos:  T. Walsh (TE) Out - Undisclosed. S. Miller (WR) Out - Undisclosed. D. Bowers (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Omeire (WR) Out - Undisclosed. A. Williams (WR) Out - Undisclosed. J. Layne (QB) Out - Elbow. J. Olsen (TE) Out - Knee.

Nevada Wolf Pack:  C. Jones (QB) Questionable - Undisclosed.

"I hope that we can keep getting better and improving and, you know, hope that maybe by the end of the year we can be one of the 25 best teams. And it'd be great for our fans." - Jason Eck on his team being ranked inside the top 25.

“I think everybody saw that the ball was sailing and he wasn’t comfortable in the pocket. He was throwing off his back foot, and even the balls that weren’t intercepted were in harm’s way." - Jeff Choate after his team’s loss against UCLA in their last game. 

WR Omeire, Troy

WR Darling, DJ

WR George, Bailen

TE Keith, Cade

QB Fa'avae, Toa

RB Humphrey, Scottre

WR Cheers, Donnie

WR Givens III, Gary

WR Morgan, Damien

TE Asiasi, DJ

QB Jones, Carter

RB Kelley, Dominic

Passing: Toa Fa'avae (891)

Rushing: Scottre Humphrey (540)

Receiving: Cade Keith (295)

Touchdowns: Scottre Humphrey (11)

Passing: Carter Jones (654)

Rushing: Dominic Kelley (588)

Receiving: Gary Givens III (305)

Touchdowns: Dominic Kelley (6)

Coaches:

New Mexico Lobos: Jason Eck (2nd season)

Nevada Wolf Pack: Jeff Choate (3rd season)