by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Oct 12, 2023
Game Time: 4:05 pm ET, Sunday, October 15, 2023
Venue: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Patriots +3, Raiders -3; Over/Under: 41.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Patriots +3, Raiders -3; Over/Under: 41.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Patriots +3, Raiders -3; Over/Under: 41.5 points
Season Record
New England Patriots: 1-4 (4th place, AFC East)
Las Vegas Raiders: 2-3 (3rd place, AFC West)
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Amedeus Mastrangelo is on a HOT STREAK in the NFL with a HUGE 6-1 NFL WEEK 5! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.
Recent Form
New England Patriots: lost their last game at home against the New Orleans Saints 34-0.
Las Vegas Raiders: won their last game at home against the Green Bay Packers 17-13.
New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders Preview and Analysis
The Patriots are entering this game with a 1-4 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-3 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the New Orleans Saints 34-0. Mac Jones was the starting QB and he completed 12/22 passes for 110 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Rhamondre Stevenson led the team in rushing yards with 24. Kendrick Bourne led the receivers with 43 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Jahlani Tavai led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Ja'Whaun Bentley and Myles Bryant each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
The Raiders are entering this game with a 2-3 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Green Bay Packers 17-13. Jimmy Garoppolo was the starting QB and he completed 22/31 passes for 208 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Josh Jacobs led the team in rushing yards with 69 and 1 TD. Jakobi Meyers led the receivers with 75 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Divine Deablo led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Maxx Crosby and Trevon Moehrig-Woodard each led the defense in sacks with 1. Robert Spillane came away with 2 interceptions for them while Amik Robertson also came away with 1 interception in that game.
Patriots vs Raiders Prediction
The current betting odds have the Patriots listed as a 3 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Patriots have been terrible this season with their 1-4 record overall and they are also coming off 2 terrible losses by 30+ points. Luckily for them, they are playing the Raiders who have also been terrible this season with their 2-3 record overall and both of their wins this season have been games that they only scored 17 points in. The Raiders are also on a short week as they played on Monday so the Patriots have a bit of an advantage there and they will be looking to bounce back in this game after 2 really bad losses. Both of these offenses have also been terrible this year and the Patriots do have the better defense so their defense will be able to keep the Raiders offense at bay and at least keep this game close enough to cover if they don't win it themselves. The best way to place a bet here is on the Patriots to cover the spread in this game.
Patriots Raiders Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 15, 2023 (4:05 pm ET start time) is Patriots 16 Raiders 13.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this New England Patriots Las Vegas Raiders prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NFL predictions and previews.
NFL Betting Trends
New England Patriots: 44-25 ATS off a home loss. 19-7 ATS off an upset loss by 14 points or more as a favorite. 53-27 ATS after allowing 30 points or more last game. 14-7 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 6-1 UNDER after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game.
Las Vegas Raiders: 6-12 ATS as a favorite. 3-6 ATS off a home win. 14-6 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 8-1 UNDER off a home win. 12-5 UNDER after playing a game at home.
Key Injuries
New England Patriots: S. Wade (CB) Ques Sun - Shoulder. J. Uche (LB) Ques Sun - Knee. R. Reiff (OL) Ques Sun - Knee. M. Onwenu (OL) Ques Sun - Ankle. J. Jones (DB) Ques Sun - Ankle. D. Godchaux (DL) Ques Sun - Ankle. T. Brown (OL) Ques Sun - Chest. C. Barmore (DL) Ques Sun - Knee. T. Thornton (WR) Ques Sun - Shoulder. K. Boutte (WR) Ques Sun - Hamstring. C. Strange (OL) Ques Sun - Knee. J. Smith-Schuster (WR) Ques Sun - Concussion. D. Douglas (WR) Ques Sun - Head. T. Flowers (DE) Out indefinitely - Foot. C. Gonzalez (CB) I-R - Shoulder. M. Judon (LB) Early Dec - Bicep. D. Ekuale (DL) Out indefinitely - Bicep. M. Jones (DB) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. Jones (DB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. C. Davis (DB) Out indefinitely - Knee. I. Bolden (CB) I-R - Neck. R. McMillan (LB) I-R - Achilles.
Las Vegas Raiders: T. Tucker (WR) Ques Sun - Knee. D. Long Jr. (CB) Ques Sun - Ankle. M. Epps (S) Ques Sun - Knee. M. Crosby (DE) Ques Sun - Knee. D. Adams (WR) Ques Sun - Shoulder. J. Meyers (WR) Prob Sun - Wrist. J. Bennett (CB) Ques Sun - Hamstring. N. Hobbs (CB) Ques Sun - Ankle. C. Bolton (LB) Out indefinitely - Knee. B. Facyson (CB) Out indefinitely - Shin. D. Wagner (OT) I-R - Undisclosed. B. Brown (RB) I-R - Undisclosed. A. Butler (DT) I-R - Arm. A. Walter (RB) I-R - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
“It was a poor performance here today, plain and simple. We’ve got to start over and find a way to get back on track.” - Bill Belichick after his team’s loss against the Saints in their last game.
“A lot of credit for hanging in there and grinding it out. It was that kind of game the entire four quarters. Nothing was easy.” - Josh McDaniels after his team’s win against the Packers in their last game.
Starting Lineups
New England Patriots
WR PARKER, DEVANTE
WR Bourne, Kendrick
WR Smith-Schuster, JuJu
TE Henry, Hunter
QB Jones, Mac
RB Stevenson, Rhamondre
Las Vegas Raiders
WR ADAMS, DAVANTE
WR Meyers, Jakobi
WR Renfrow, Hunter
TE Hooper, Austin
QB GAROPPOLO, JIMMY
RB Jacobs, Josh
FB Johnson, Jakob
Statistical Leaders
New England Patriots
Passing: M. Jones (1008)
Rushing: R. Stevenson (188)
Receiving: K. Bourne (218)
Touchdowns: K. Bourne (2)
Las Vegas Raiders
Passing: J. Garoppolo (917)
Rushing: J. Jacobs (235)
Receiving: D. Adams (442)
Touchdowns: D. Adams (3)
Coaches:
New England Patriots: Bill Belichick (24th season)
Las Vegas Raiders: Josh McDaniels (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
