New England Patriots vs Detroit Lions Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/15/2026

Game Time: 9:30 am ET, Sunday, November 15, 2026

Venue:  Allianz Arena, München, Germany

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Patriots +2.5, Lions -2.5; Over/Under:  51.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Patriots +2.5, Lions -2.5; Over/Under:  51.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Patriots +3, Lions -3; Over/Under:  51 points

New England Patriots:  5-4 (2nd place, AFC East)

Detroit Lions:  6-2 (2nd place, NFC North)

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New England Patriots:  lost their last game at home against the Green Bay Packers 45-27.

Detroit Lions:  won their last game on the road against the Miami Dolphins 19-9.

The Patriots are entering this game with a 5-4 record overall and they have a 3-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 2-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They lost their last game against the Green Bay Packers 45-27. Drake Maye was the starting QB and he completed 21/38 passes for 299 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Corey Kiner led the team in rushing yards with 55 and 1 TD. DeMario Douglas led the receivers with 102 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Christian Gonzalez led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles while Elijah Ponder led the defense in sacks with 1.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

The Lions are entering this game with a 6-2 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They won their last game against the Miami Dolphins 19-9. Jared Goff was the starting QB and he completed 17/25 passes for 170 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Jahmyr Gibbs led the team in rushing yards with 74 and 1 TD. Amon-Ra St. Brown led the receivers with 86 receiving yards on 8 receptions. Malcolm Rodriguez led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles while Derrick Moore led the defense in sacks with 2. Chuck Clark came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have the Lions listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Lions have looked good in their games this season with their 6-2 record overall which has them right near the top of the NFC North. They are playing their 1st neutral site game of the season in this one. Meanwhile, the Patriots have looked good in their games this season with their 5-4 record overall which has them right near the top of the AFC East. They are also going to be playing their 1st neutral site game of the season here. The Patriots have been really up and down this season after going to the Super Bowl last year and losing. They had a lot of trouble to start the season with Drake Maye not playing great and then they started to figure things out with a little hot streak, but now they have fallen right back into that disaster they started the season with. They are coming off a 45-27 loss to the Packers at home in their last one and Drake Maye looked terrible from start to finish. Even their defense has looked a lot worse lately and they have been losing a lot of their games against elite opponents this year. The Lions didn't have a great start to the season either, but they have looked a lot better over the last few weeks and have been rolling lately with some really good wins. They are coming off a 19-9 win over the Dolphins in their last one and they still have one of the best offenses in the NFL with their talent, but now their defense has looked a lot better too and that makes them a real contender. They are running into the Patriots at the right time with how bad the Pats defense has looked lately, so look for the Lions to take advantage of a Patriots team that is starting to spiral. The best way to place a bet here is on the Lions to cover the spread in this game. 

Patriots Lions Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 15, 2026 (9:30 am ET start time) is Lions 28 Patriots 17.

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New England Patriots: 3-7 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 5-9 ATS in games played on a grass field. 3-6 ATS on the road versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 yards/play or more. 29-18 OVER in all games. 7-1 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%).

Detroit Lions: 20-14 ATS as a favorite. 8-2 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 7 or more passing yards/att. 7-2 ATS at home versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 yards/play or more. 21-13 OVER as a favorite. 13-5 OVER versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.65 yards/play or more. 

New England Patriots:  None.

Detroit Lions:  None.

“We got our (butts) kicked. There’s no two ways around it.” - Mike Vrabel after his team’s loss against the Packers in their last game. 

“The whole week was prepare and play like Jack. Kind of felt like we owed it to him. It’s all we can do. This was hard because you want to talk about it and acknowledge it. You don’t want to brush it under the rug. That’s not fair. The guy means too much to us. We bonded together and ultimately we found a way to win the game. It was emotional.” - Dan Campbell after his team’s win against the Dolphins in their last game. 

WR Chism III, Efton

WR Hollins, Mack

WR Douglas, DeMario

TE Henry, Hunter

QB Maye, Drake

RB Stevenson, Rhamondre

WR TeSlaa, Isaac

WR Williams, Jameson

WR St. Brown, Amon-Ra

TE LaPorta, Sam

QB Goff, Jared

RB Gibbs, Jahmyr

Passing: Drake Maye (2,282)

Rushing: Rhamondre Stevenson (399)

Receiving: DeMario Douglas (434)

Touchdowns: DeMario Douglas (4)

Passing: Jared Goff (2,134)

Rushing: Jahmyr Gibbs (847)

Receiving: Amon-Ra St. Brown (657)

Touchdowns: Jahmyr Gibbs (11)

Coaches:

New England Patriots: Mike Vrabel (2nd season)

Detroit Lions: Dan Campbell (6th season)