New England Patriots vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/21/2025

Game Time: 8:20 pm ET, Sunday, December 21, 2025

Venue:  M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD

Where to Watch:  NBC, Peacock

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Patriots +3, Ravens -3; Over/Under:  48.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Patriots +3, Ravens -3; Over/Under:  48 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Patriots +3, Ravens -3; Over/Under:  48 points

New England Patriots:  11-3 (1st place, AFC East)

Baltimore Ravens:  7-7 (2nd place, AFC North)

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New England Patriots:  lost their last game at home against the Buffalo Bills 35-31.

Baltimore Ravens:  won their last game on the road against the Cincinnati Bengals 24-0.

The Patriots are entering this game with an 11-3 record overall and they have a 3-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-3 in their home games, 6-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Buffalo Bills 35-31. Drake Maye was the starting QB and he completed 14/23 passes for 155 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. TreVeyon Henderson led the team in rushing yards with 148 and 2 TDs. Mack Hollins led the receivers with 41 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Marcus Jones led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Jack Gibbens and Harold Landry III each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

The Ravens are entering this game with a 7-7 record overall and they have a 3-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-5 in their home games, 4-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Cincinnati Bengals 24-0. Lamar Jackson was the starting QB and he completed 8/12 passes for 150 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Derrick Henry led the team in rushing yards with 100. Zay Flowers led the receivers with 68 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Roquan Smith led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles while Travis Jones, Mike Green, and Tavius Robinson each led the defense in sacks with 1. Marlon Humphrey and Kyle Van Noy each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have the Patriots listed as a 3 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Patriots have looked great in their games this season with their 11-3 record overall which has them right at the top of the AFC East with one of the best records in the entire NFL. They have also been a great road team this year with their 6-0 road record. Meanwhile, the Ravens haven't looked great in their games this season with their 7-7 record overall, but that record has them right near the top of the AFC North in a weaker division. They haven't looked great on their home field either with their 3-5 home record this season. The Ravens are off a 24-0 win over the Bengals in their last one and the defense looked great. Their defense has looked a lot better lately than the way they started the season, but their offense hasn't looked right all year. They have had a very up and down season with an inconsistent offense, and Lamar Jackson hasn't looked that great in their games lately either. The Patriots have been rolling in their games all season though and even though they are off a 35-31 loss to the Bills in their last one, that loss snapped a 10 game winning streak for them so they will be looking to bounce back here. The Patriots did blow a 21 point lead in that loss, but that is a good learning experience for this young team that hadn't lost a game in weeks, and they haven't played in many close games this season either. Look for the Patriots to bounce back on the road where they have been better this season, beating up on a Ravens team that has been mediocre all year. The best way to place a bet here is on the Patriots to cover the spread in this game. 

Patriots Ravens Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 21, 2025 (8:20 pm ET start time) is Patriots 27 Ravens 20.

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New England Patriots: 4-10 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 4-9 ATS after playing a division game. 3-10 ATS after a loss by 6 or less points. 9-5 OVER off a home loss. 10-2 OVER versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.65 yards/play or more.

Baltimore Ravens: 27-19 ATS as a favorite. 12-5 ATS in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 14-4 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game. 10-4 OVER as a home favorite of 7 points or less. 9-5 OVER after allowing 14 points or less last game.

New England Patriots:  C. Davis III (CB) Injured - Hip. H. Landry III (LB) Injured - Knee. R. Spillane (LB) Injured - Ankle. C. Elliss (LB) Injured - Illness. M. Jones (CB) Injured - Knee. C. Barmore (DL) Injured - NIR-Other.

Baltimore Ravens:  C. Awuzie (CB) Injured - Foot. K. Van Noy (LB) Injured - Quad. R. Stanley (OT) Injured - Knee. L. Jackson (QB) Injured - Illness. R. Bateman (WR) Injured - Ankle. C. Okoye (DL) Injured - Quad. J. Higgins IV (LB) Injured - Knee. K. Jackson (S) Injured - Ankle. T. Buchanan (LB) Injured - Knee.

“That’s how this game goes. A few small plays make the difference.” - Mike Vrabel after his team’s loss against the Bills in their last game. 

“Complementary football in all three phases, coming off our best week of practice. We’ve had really good weeks of practice, very intentional weeks of practice, and this was another level. At this point in time, to see that is really what is impressive about these guys.” - John Harbaugh after his team’s win against the Bengals in their last game. 

WR Boutte, Kayshon

WR Hollins, Mack

WR Diggs, Stefon

TE Henry, Hunter

QB Maye, Drake

RB Henderson, TreVeyon

FB Westover, Jack

WR Walker, Devontez

WR Hopkins, DeAndre

WR Flowers, Zay

TE Andrews, Mark

QB Jackson, Lamar

RB Henry, Derrick

FB Ricard, Patrick

Passing: Drake Maye (3,567)

Rushing: TreVeyon Henderson (773)

Receiving: Stefon Diggs (731)

Touchdowns: TreVeyon Henderson (8)

Passing: Lamar Jackson (2,210)

Rushing: Derrick Henry (1,125)

Receiving: Zay Flowers (959)

Touchdowns: Derrick Henry (10)

Coaches:

New England Patriots: Mike Vrabel (1st season)

Baltimore Ravens: John Harbaugh (18th season)