Montreal Canadiens vs Ottawa Senators Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/11/2026

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Wednesday, March 11, 2026

Venue:  Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa, ON

Where to Watch:  ESPN+

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Canadiens +130, Senators -155; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Canadiens +130, Senators -155; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Canadiens +130, Senators -155; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Montreal Canadiens:  34-18-10 (4th place, Atlantic Division)

Ottawa Senators:  32-22-9 (6th place, Atlantic Division)

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Montreal Canadiens:  6-1-3 last 10

Ottawa Senators:  7-1-2 last 10

The Canadiens are entering this game with 78 points, a 34-18-10 record overall, and they are 17-7-8 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Los Angeles Kings in their last game, winning that one on the road 4-3, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Toronto Maple Leafs still to be played on Tuesday night. In their game against the Kings, Juraj Slafkovský led the team in goals scored with 2 while Nick Suzuki and Jake Evans each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Nick Suzuki led the team in assists with 2 while Nick Suzuki led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Jakub Dobeš was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 39 shots with 36 saves and a .923 save percentage. Their offense has scored 222 goals this season averaging 3.6 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 209 goals against them allowing 3.4 goals per game.

The Senators are entering this game with 73 points, a 32-22-9 record overall, and they are 14-10-5 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Vancouver Canucks in their last game, winning that one on the road 2-0. Brady Tkachuk and Ridly Greig each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Artem Zub, Shane Pinto, Thomas Chabot, and Tim Stützle each led the team in assists with 1 while Brady Tkachuk and Dylan Cozens each led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. James Reimer was the starting goalie in that game and he recorded the shutout as he allowed 0 goals on 16    shots with 16 saves and a 1.000 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 213 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 198 goals against them allowing 3.1 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Senators listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Senators haven't looked great in their games this season with their 32-22-9 record overall which has them in the bottom half of their division in the East. They haven't looked great on home ice either with their 14-10-5 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Canadiens have looked good in their games this season with their 34-18-10 record overall which has them in the top half of their division in the East. They have been a good road team too with their 17-7-8 road record this year. The Canadiens are off a win over the Kings in their last one and they have looked good lately, going 6-1-3 in their last 10 games, but they aren't in a great situation here. They did struggle a bit to bounce back in that tight win over the Kings and now they are playing this game on the road on a back-to-back, right after a tough game against their true rival, the Maple Leafs. The Senators haven't been at their best all season and they dug themselves a big hole to start the year, but they have been rolling lately and have played themselves back into the Wild Card race in the East. They are 7-1-2 in their last 10 games as they continue to rack up points and they have a ton of momentum on their side now with 3 wins in a row. This is a big game for the Senators in the Wild Card race too, so look for them to take advantage of the Canadiens in a bad situation here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Senators to win this game. 

Canadiens Senators Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Wednesday, March 11, 2026 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Senators 4 Canadiens 2.

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Montreal Canadiens: 64-75 (+11.8 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 to +200. 64-55 (+19.1 units) on the moneyline against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game. 24-25 (+11.9 units) on the moneyline against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp. 54-29 OVER as an underdog of +100 to +150.

Ottawa Senators: 116-117 (-17.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 71-57 (-14.2 units) on the moneyline as a favorite. 55-65 (-16.2 units) on the moneyline revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite. 44-26 OVER as a home favorite of -200 or less.

Montreal Canadiens:  P. Laine (RW) Out - Lower-Body.

Ottawa Senators:  J. Sanderson (D) Out - Upper Body.

“I think it’s just an evolution, you know. I don’t think we’re surprised. All along, three years ago, two years ago, you’re trying to get him to improve all the time, think big picture. He’s still very young, who knows how high his ceiling is, but it’s very, very high.” - Martin St Louis after his team’s win against the LA Kings in their game on Saturday.

“Just a complete game. It's a combination of our defensive game, take a lot of pride in it, our penalty kill did a great job, and we knew we needed this win.” - Travis Green after his team’s win against the Canucks in their game on Monday.

LW Cole Caufield

C Nick Suzuki

RW Juraj Slafkovský

LD Mike Matheson

RD Kaiden Guhle

G Jakub Dobes

LW Drake Batherson

C Tim Stutzle

RW Claude Giroux

LD Thomas Chabot

RD Artyom Zub

G James Reimer

Points: Nick Suzuki (74)

Goals: Cole Caufield (37)

Assists: Nick Suzuki (53)

GAA: Jacob Fowler (2.62)

Points: Tim Stutzle (68)

Goals: Tim Stutzle (30)

Assists: Tim Stutzle (38)

GAA: Linus Ullmark (2.84)

Coaches:

Montreal Canadiens: Martin St. Louis (5th season)

Ottawa Senators: Travis Green (2nd season)