Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/08/2026

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, May 07, 2026
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Friday, May 8, 2026
Venue:  KeyBank Center, Buffalo, NY
Where to Watch:  TNT, HBO Max


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Canadiens +114, Sabres -135; Over/Under:  5.5 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Canadiens +115, Sabres -135; Over/Under:  6 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Canadiens +115, Sabres -135; Over/Under:  6 goals

Season Record

Montreal Canadiens:  48-24-10 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)
Buffalo Sabres:  50-23-9 (1st place, Atlantic Division)

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Recent Form
Montreal Canadiens:  5-3-2 last 10
Buffalo Sabres:  7-1-2 last 10



Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres Preview and Analysis


The Canadiens are entering the playoffs with 106 points, a 48-24-10 record overall, and they were 24-9-8 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Buffalo Sabres in their last game, losing that one on the road 4-2. Kirby Dach and Nick Suzuki each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Ivan Demidov, Juraj Slafkovský, and Zachary Bolduc each led the team in assists with 1 while Juraj Slafkovský, Alex Newhook, and Lane Hutson each led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Jakub Dobeš was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 4 goals on 16 shots with 12 saves and a .750 save percentage. Their offense has scored 283 goals this season averaging 3.5 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 256 goals against them allowing 3.1 goals per game.


The Sabres are entering the playoffs with 109 points, a 50-23-9 record overall, and they were 26-10-5 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Montreal Canadiens in their last game, winning that one at home 4-2. Josh Doan, Ryan McLeod, Bowen Byram, and Jordan Greenway each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Zach Benson led the team in assists with 2 while Rasmus Dahlin led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Alex Lyon was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 28 shots with 26 saves and a .929 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 288 goals this season averaging 3.5 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 241 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.


Canadiens vs Sabres Prediction

The current betting odds have the Sabres listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Sabres have looked great in their games this season with their 50-23-9 record overall which had them right at the top of their division in the East with one of the best records in the entire NHL. They have looked great on home ice too with their 26-10-5 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Canadiens have looked good in their games this season with their 48-24-10 record overall which had them in the top half of their division in the East. They have also been a great road team with their 24-9-8 road record this year. This is game 2 of a 7-game series between the 1st seeded Sabres and the 3rd seeded Canadiens from the Atlantic Division for the 2nd round of the NHL playoffs. The Sabres are entering this game with a 1-0 series lead after winning game 1 of this series by a score of 4-2. The Sabres were up right away in game 1 and they never really looked back, leading the entire game and being the better team from start to finish. The Canadiens looked really good in the 1st round and took down the Lightning in 7 games with a lot of their wins coming on the road, but they also played a longer and more physical series with the Lightning and that is starting to take a toll on them. The Sabres didn't look great in their home games against the Bruins in the 1st round, but they looked a lot better in game 1 of this series and have definitely gotten over their playoff jitters. Now the Sabres are rolling and they have been one of the best home teams in the NHL all season, so look for them to take advantage of a tired Canadiens team that just doesn't have the same firepower. The best way to place a bet here is on the Sabres to win this game. 

Canadiens Sabres Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Friday, May 8, 2026 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Sabres 5 Canadiens 2.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert hockey picks today. And if you enjoyed this Montreal Canadiens Buffalo Sabres prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NHL predictions and previews.

NHL Betting Trends


Montreal Canadiens: 122-136 (+8.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 39-38 (+18 units) on the moneyline as a road underdog of +100 to +200. 29-33 (+15 units) on the moneyline when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 24-16 OVER as a road underdog of +100 to +150.

Buffalo Sabres: 42-31 (-3.5 units) on the moneyline as a home favorite. 61-63 (-2.7 units) on the moneyline after playing a home game. 39-22 OVER as a home favorite of -200 or less. 22-15 OVER against poor offensive teams - averaging 26.5 shots on goal per game or less.

Key Injuries


Montreal Canadiens:  P. Laine (RW) Out - Abdomen.

Buffalo Sabres:  R. Dahlin (D) Day To Day - Undisclosed. N. Ostlund (C) Out - Lower Body. S. Carrick (C) Day To Day - Arm. J. Kulich (C) Out For Season - Ear. J. Danforth (RW) Out For Season - Kneecap.


Notable Quotes


“Buffalo has a really good rush game. You really have to manage the puck through the neutral zone, which I thought for the most part we did. But I feel like you have to manage the puck in the O-zone too. A lot of 50-50 battles, you’ve got to be on the right side of it … so we have to do better there. I felt our top guys got more touches in space and stuff. And that's what I liked. And I liked that we battled. It wasn't the start that we wanted in the game, in the series. But we're going to keep going.” - Martin St Louis after his team’s loss against the Sabres in the 1st game of this series on Wednesday. 


“He really relishes the opportunity to be playing for something big. To win a playoff series, getting another playoff series and a possible win on a second series. He's trying to make every play count. He's been there before, and he's got that taste, and you can see the hunger he has.” - Lindy Ruff after his team’s win against the Canadiens in game 1 of this series on Wednesday. 


Starting Lineups


Montreal Canadiens
LW Cole Caufield
C Nick Suzuki
RW Juraj Slafkovský
LD Mike Matheson
RD Alexandre Carrier
G Jakub Dobes

Buffalo Sabres
LW Peyton Krebs
C Tage Thompson
RW Alex Tuch
LD Rasmus Dahlin
RD Mattias Samuelsson
G Alex Lyon

Statistical Leaders


Montreal Canadiens
Points: Nick Suzuki (101)
Goals: Cole Caufield (51)
Assists: Nick Suzuki (72)
GAA: Jacob Fowler (2.43)

Buffalo Sabres
Points: Tage Thompson (81)
Goals: Tage Thompson (40)
Assists: Rasmus Dahlin (55)
GAA: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (2.52)

Coaches:
Montreal Canadiens: Martin St. Louis (5th season)
Buffalo Sabres: Lindy Ruff (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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