MLB Baseball: San Diego Padres vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, Odds and Preview - 07/27/2021

by James Q

Tuesday, Jul 26, 2022

MLB Baseball:  San Diego Padres vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, Odds and Preview - 07/27/2021

 
Game Time:  1:10 pm ET, Wednesday, July 27th, 2022
Venue:  Comerica Park, Detroit, Michigan.
Where to Watch:  MLBN Alt, MLB.tv 
 

Opening MLB Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Padres -130, Tigers +110; O/U 7
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:   
PointsBet:  Moneyline odds:   
 

Season Record

Padres: 54-42, 2nd place NL West
Tigers: 38-57, 4th place AL Central

The Tigers beat up on the Padres in Game 1 of this series 12-4 on Monday July 25th. Our prediction on this game failed.  (3-1 on Monday).  We skipped Game-2 of this series which will play tonight Tuesday 26th.  This prediction is for Game-3 on Wednesday night.  It will depend almost entirely on pitching as neither team has displayed an ability to win outright reliably.  It will help the Padres to have Yu Darvish on the mound, he is a reliable vet. But how does he compare?

The Padres of the National League West are coming off a good series against the New York Mets where they were able to snag a few wins (and have a chance at a sweep Sunday night).  The Padres desperately needed these wins!  The Padres have been full-time strugglers as of late. Relying heavily on 2nd stringers as they await the return of Fernando Tatis Jr to make or break their season.  The Tigers of the American League Central, on the other hand, are junk.  They don’t want to be… but they are a junk AL Central team that is already eliminated from the postseason unless a double Seattle sized winning streak is heading their way.  It is not.  However they do occasionally grab a bright spot and win a game or two.  The Tigers have Javier Baez and Miguel Cabrera… which would be great half a decade ago when they mattered.

The San Diego Padres have won 5 of their last ten games.  They are on a 2-game winning streak against the New York Mets before going into Game-3 that will close out the series.  They went 2-0 against the Mets, 2-1 against the Arizona Diamondbacks, 1-3 against the Colorado Rockies, and 0-1 against the San Francisco Giants over that stretch.  The bad part of the stretch is obviously so many losses to the Colorado Rockies… of course the Rockies have been built with only competing with National League West teams in mind.  The Rockies aren’t good… but they are built in response to these teams.  The Padres have Manny Machado… that is a great start.

The Detroit Tigers have won only 2 of their last ten games.  This horrible win percentage has become standard working procedure over the last month.  They are on a 2-game losing streak.  They went 0-1 against the Minnesota Twins, 1-1 versus the Oakland Athletics, 0-3 against the Cleveland Indians, 1-3 versus the Kansas City Royals.  If the Tigers were in a better division of baseball they would have a much worse record… instead they are in the worst division in baseball and they have a regular BAD record.  When you are getting trounced by the Indians and the Royals… there is literally no suny future you can point to. 

 
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San Diego Padres vs Detroit Tigers Preview and Analysis

 

Recent Form

Offensive Analysis

The Padres are 17th in scoring with 4.34, 16th in batting average with .241, and 14th in OBP with .316.

The Tigers are 30th in scoring with 3.14 runs per game, 27th in batting average with .228, and 29th in OBP with .286.  It all goes badly at the plate. 
 

Defensive Analysis

The Padres pitchers are 10th in ERA with 3.77, 6th in WHIP with 1.20, and 2nd in errors with only 38 on the season so far.

The Tigers pitchers are 21st in team ERA with 4.12, 16th in WHIP, and 11th in errors with 47 on the season.

 

San Diego Padres vs Detroit Tigers Athletics Prediction

Our Prediction for Wednesday, July 27th is….  Padres 4 - Tigers 2

Yu is more reliable over the long haul… plus the Padres should be dug in and embarrassed to keep falling further behind the Los Angeles Dodgers in the NL West.

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MLB Betting Trends

The Padres are 826-651 (-84.8 Units) as a favorite of -110 or higher since 1997.
The Tigers are 30 Over and 62 Under when the moneyline is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
The Tigers are 31-23 (+21.6 Units) in inter-league games the last 3 seasons.


Key Injuries

Padres: SS Fernando Tatis JR (wrist) OUT ** LF W. Meyers (knee) ** M. Beaty (shoulder) Out 

Tigers: CF A. Meadows (achilles) Out ** C J. Rogers (elbow) Out ** Plus they are missing 5 starting pitchers and 5 relief pitchers… this is a team that has no pitching… and no offense.
 

Players to Watch

Padres: RHP Yu Darvish, 9-4, 3.28 ERA, 109 strikeouts in 115 innings pitched.  0.97 WHIP.Yu is good.  A good pro, a good vet.  He is not great.  We can rely on him… and everybody like Yu.

Tigers: LHP, Tarik Skubal, 7-8, 3.88 ERA, 111 strikeouts in 106 innings pitched.  1.17 WHIP.  The 25 year old Skubal is off to as lame start since his 2020 debut. Of course he plays for a lame team… so we don’t really know what his numbers would do elsewhere.

Starting Lineups

Padres: LF Jurickson Purifar, 1B jake Cronenworth, 3B Manny Machado, C Jorge Alfaro, DH Luke Voit, SS ha-Seong Kim, CF Trent Grisham, RF Esteurty Ruiz, 2B Matthew Batten

Tigers: CF Riley Greene, SS Javier Baez, RF Robbie Grossman, DH Miguel Cabrera, 1B Harold Castro, 3B Jeimer Candelario, 2B Jonathan Schoop, C Tucker Barnhart, LF Akil Baddoo


Managers

Padres: Bob “um ma ma um” Melvin
Tigers: A.J. “Remember me with the Astros?” Hinch

Weather Forecast

Mostly Sunny, 79*, Humidity 45% Wind 11 mph…. Precipitation 0% chance… That is a solid day for baseball.  




James Q

About the Author:

James Q. has been involved with sports and gambling his entire life. A former division 1 scholarship basketball player, James understands sports (and especially basketball) inside-and-out. Following his basketball playing days, James parlayed his gambling skills into a semi-pro poker career. James resides in Los Angeles, and especially loves the Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Rams, and Los Angeles Dodgers. And when he isn't betting on sports (and writing about it), James can be found performing stand-up comedy on the Sunset Strip.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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