Missouri Tigers vs Miami Hurricanes Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/20/2026

Game Time: 10:10 pm ET, Friday, March 20, 2026

Venue:  Enterprise Center, St. Louis, MO

Where to Watch:  truTV

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Mizzou +1.5, Miami-FL -1.5; Over/Under:  147.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Mizzou +1.5, Miami-FL -1.5; Over/Under:  147.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Mizzou +2.5, Miami-FL -2.5; Over/Under:  147.5 points

Missouri Tigers:  20-12 (10-8) (8th place, SEC)

Miami Hurricanes:  25-8 (13-5) (3rd place, ACC)

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Missouri Tigers:  2-3  last 5

Miami Hurricanes:  3-2  last 5

Missouri is entering this game with a 20-12 record overall, a 10-8 record in conference games, and they are 0-3 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Kentucky Wildcats in their last game. Mark Mitchell led the team in points in that game with 32 while T.O. Barrett was next on the team with 13. T.O. Barrett led the team in assists with 7 in that game while T.O. Barrett, Jayden Stone, and Mark Mitchell each led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 47.3% from the field, 38.5% from 3-point range, and 65.2% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 79.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 75.3 PPG against them. Missouri has an ATS record of 14-18 this season and their O/U record is 15-16-1.

Miami-Florida is entering this game with a 25-8 record overall, a 13-5 conference record, and they are 2-3 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Virginia Cavaliers in their last game. Tru Washington led the team in points in that game with 13 while Shelton Henderson was next on the team with 12. Tre Donaldson and Dante Allen each led the team in assists with 2 in that game while Malik Reneau led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 38.6% from the field, 20% from 3-point range, and 93.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 81.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 71.2 PPG against them. Miami-Florida has an ATS record of 17-14-1 this season and their O/U record is 19-12-1.

The current betting odds have Missouri listed as a 1.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Missouri has looked good in their games this season with their 20-12 record overall and their 10-8 conference record which had them in the top half of the SEC. They have looked terrible in their neutral site games this year though, going 0-3. Meanwhile, Miami has looked really good in their games this season with their 25-8 record overall and their 13-5 conference record which had them right near the top of the ACC. They haven't looked that good in their neutral site games though, going 2-3. Miami has looked good lately as they are 3-2 in their last 5 games and they have been a top team in the ACC all year, but they didn't have the best schedule either. They completely avoided playing Duke at all this season who is the best team in the ACC and they were embarrassed in the ACC Tournament too, getting crushed by Virginia in their last one. Mizzou hasn't looked great lately as they are 2-3 in their last 5 games and coming off a bad loss themselves, losing to Kentucky in the SEC Tournament, but they have also picked up some really good wins this season and might have the best win in the nation at Florida. The SEC wasn't as good at the top this year as it has been in years past, but it is still a really deep conference with a lot of good teams and is a lot deeper than the ACC which has been really top heavy, and the teams at the top aren't even that good either. Missouri is also going to have a big edge here since this is almost like a home game for them, so look for them to bring their best effort against a Miami team that hasn't been tested by many good teams this season, breezing through their own conference with a weaker schedule. The best way to place a bet here is on Missouri to cover the spread in this game. 

Missouri Miami Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Friday, March 20, 2026 (10:10 pm ET start time) is Missouri 82 Miami 74.

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Missouri Tigers: 5-19 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 2-8 ATS in all neutral court games. 13-22 ATS off a loss against a conference rival. 23-12 OVER off a loss against a conference rival.

Miami Hurricanes: 7-1 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 5-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses. 10-6 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% of their shots or more. 36-19 OVER as a favorite. 8-4 OVER after a loss by 15 points or more.

Missouri Tigers:  A. Boateng (G) Out - Leg. J. Porter (F) Questionable - Lower Leg.

Miami Hurricanes:  T. Maddox (F) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Allen (G) Out - Illness.

“Obviously, Kentucky had a home-court advantage here in the conference tournament, but their fans showed up, creating an environment where we had to kind of get through the little wrinkles that stopped us, turnovers being the most important. And once we got settled into the game, I thought we were able to get some things going. Shawn Phillips' intensity, Mark Mitchell's intensity, T.O. Barrett's intensity is what led us. Would love to have some possessions back, but you can't. And obviously, here we are. We'll be waiting our fate to see what the selection committee says." - Dennis Gates after his team’s loss against Kentucky in the SEC Tournament. 

"They could have put us on the moon. We're still going to show up. Do what we do. For us, it didn't really matter. We won eight road games. This is a road game. It's no different and we'll go business as usual." - Jai Lucas on his team playing the 1st game of the NCAA Tournament in St Louis.

T. Barrett 

M. Mitchell 

S. Phillips 

T. Pierce 

J. Stone

T. Donaldson 

S. Henderson 

M. Reneau 

E. Udeh 

T. Washington

PPG: Mark Mitchell (18.3)

APG: Mark Mitchell (3.6)

Reb/G: Mark Mitchell (5.3)

PPG: Malik Reneau (18.8)

APG: Tre Donaldson (5.8)

Reb/G: Ernest Udeh Jr. (9.3)

Coaches:

Missouri Tigers: Dennis Gates (4th season)

Miami Hurricanes: Jai Lucas (1st season)