Minnesota Vikings vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/27/2026

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Sep 25, 2026
Game Time: 4:05 pm ET, Sunday, September 27, 2026
Venue:  Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
Where to Watch:  FOX


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Vikings -1.5, Buccaneers +1.5; Over/Under:  42.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Vikings -1.5, Buccaneers +1.5; Over/Under:  42.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Vikings -1.5, Buccaneers +1.5; Over/Under:  42.5 points

Season Record

Minnesota Vikings:  2-0 (1st place, NFC North)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  0-2 (4th place, NFC South)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Nelly’s Sports is on a HOT STREAK in the NFL on a 6-0 NFL RUN for +$6,000 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Recent Form
Minnesota Vikings:  won their last game on the road against the Chicago Bears 9-3.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  lost their last game at home against the Cleveland Browns 23-19.


Minnesota Vikings vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Preview and Analysis


The Vikings are entering this game with a 2-0 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Chicago Bears 9-3. Carson Wentz was the starting QB and he completed 11/20 passes for 143 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Aaron Jones led the team in rushing yards with 105. Justin Jefferson led the receivers with 55 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Blake Cashman led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles while Dallas Turner led the defense in sacks with 2. Byron Murphy came away with the only interceptions for them in that one.
 
 
 
The Buccaneers are entering this game with a 0-2 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-1 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Cleveland Browns 23-19. Baker Mayfield was the starting QB and he completed 21/34 passes for 182 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Bucky Irving led the team in rushing yards with 89. Tez Johnson led the receivers with 49 receiving yards on 1 reception. Josiah Trotter led the defense in that game with 13 solo tackles while A'Shawn Robinson and David Walker each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.


Vikings vs Buccaneers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Vikings listed as a 1.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Vikings have looked great in their games this season with their 2-0 record overall so far. They have been a good road team too with their 1-0 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers have looked terrible in their games this season with their 0-2 record overall so far. They haven't looked great on their home field either with their 0-1 home record this season. The Buccaneers didn't look terrible in week 1, losing 33-27 to the Bengals on the road, but they had a lot of fumbles which was the story of the game. They cleaned up the turnovers last week, but they somehow looked even worse at home in their 23-19 loss to the Browns who have been one of the worst franchises in the NFL. They blew a 10 point lead in that game too and the defense has been a disaster in both games this year. The Vikings definitely haven't looked good on offense this year, but that hasn't mattered since they have one of the best defenses in the NFL. They didn't look great in their season opener, but the defense kept them in that game with the Packers long enough to pounce late and they went on to win 39-22 with the defense playing a major role. Their offense looked a lot worse last week and they couldn't even score a TD against a bad defense, but they did shut down the hottest offense coming out of week 1, beating the Bears 9-3. That defense is going to be a big issue for this Buccaneers offense that hasn't looked great and the Vikings offense is also going to get a big boost here with Kyler Murray returning. Look for the Vikings to continue rolling here with much better offense now that Murray is back and take advantage of the terrible start to the season that the Bucs have had. The best way to place a bet here is on the Vikings to cover the spread in this game. 

Vikings Buccaneers Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, September 27, 2026 (4:05 pm ET start time) is Vikings 23 Buccaneers 13.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Minnesota Vikings Tampa Bay Buccaneers prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NFL predictions and previews.

NFL Betting Trends


Minnesota Vikings: 22-14 ATS in all games. 16-9 ATS in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 7-2 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game. 7-2 OVER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 15-22 ATS in all games. 6-13 ATS in home games. 8-16 ATS in games played on a grass field. 13-6 OVER in home games. 16-8 OVER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 

Key Injuries


Minnesota Vikings:  D. Dallas (RB) Injured - Toe. J. Golday (LB) Injured - Ankle. T. Ingram-Dawkins (DL) Injured - Oblique. A. Jones Sr. (RB) Injured - Knee. B. O'Neill (OT) Injured - Knee. J. Redmond (DL) Injured - Elbow. N. Samac (C) Injured - Knee. B. Thorson (P) Injured - Hamstring.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  A. Robinson (DL) Injured - NIR - Rest. B. Mayfield (QB) Injured - Illness. A. Nelson (LB) Injured - Shin. J. McMillan (WR) Injured - Knee. J. Parrish (CB) Injured - Back. R. Bain Jr. (LB) Injured - Groin. J. Trotter (LB) Injured - Shoulder.

Notable Quotes


“I really loved the game plan from the time Flo and I sat down on Tuesday, and just kind of the way him and the staff wanted to attack, wanted to make sure that we were just playing really good sound defense." - Kevin O’Connell after his team’s win against the Bears in their last game.  


“Frustrated because it's close. We have to be self-critical, look at the tape, get stuff fixed and not make the same mistakes over and over.” - Baker Mayfield after their loss against the Browns in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Minnesota Vikings
WR Jefferson, Justin
WR Addison, Jordan
WR Price, Myles
TE Hockenson, T.J.
QB Murray, Kyler
RB Jones Sr., Aaron
FB Bredeson, Max

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
WR Hurst III, Ted
WR Egbuka, Emeka
WR Godwin Jr., Chris
TE Otton, Cade
QB Mayfield, Baker
RB Irving, Bucky

Statistical Leaders


Minnesota Vikings
Passing: Carson Wentz (276)
Rushing: Aaron Jones Sr. (145)
Receiving: Justin Jefferson (147)
Touchdowns: Justin Jefferson (2)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Passing: Baker Mayfield (398)
Rushing: Bucky Irving (134)
Receiving: Chris Godwin Jr. (86)
Touchdowns: Bucky Irving (1)

Coaches:
Minnesota Vikings: Kevin O'Connell (5th season)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Todd Bowles (5th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

© 2026 Al McMordie's BigAl.com. All Rights Reserved.