by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Sep 23, 2025
Game Time: 9:30 am ET, Sunday, September 28, 2025
Venue: Croke Park, Dublin, Ireland
Where to Watch: NFL Network, NFL Network+
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Vikings -2.5, Steelers +2.5; Over/Under: 41.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Vikings -2.5, Steelers +2.5; Over/Under: 41 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Vikings -2.5, Steelers +2.5; Over/Under: 41.5 points
Season Record
Minnesota Vikings: 2-1 (2nd place, NFC North)
Pittsburgh Steelers: 2-1 (2nd place, AFC North)
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Recent Form
Minnesota Vikings: won their last game at home against the Cincinnati Bengals 48-10.
Pittsburgh Steelers: won their last game on the road against the New England Patriots 21-14.
Minnesota Vikings vs Pittsburgh Steelers Preview and Analysis
The Vikings are entering this game with a 2-1 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against the Cincinnati Bengals 48-10. Carson Wentz was the starting QB and he completed 14/20 passes for 173 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jordan Mason led the team in rushing yards with 116 and 2 TDs. Justin Jefferson led the receivers with 75 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Ivan Pace Jr. led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Andrew Van Ginkel led the defense in sacks with 2. Josh Metellus and Isaiah Rodgers each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
The Steelers are entering this game with a 2-1 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-1 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against the New England Patriots 21-14. Aaron Rodgers was the starting QB and he completed 16/23 passes for 139 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Jaylen Warren led the team in rushing yards with 47. Jaylen Warren led the receivers with 34 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Patrick Queen led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while T. J. Watt led the defense in sacks with 2. Brandin Echols came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Vikings vs Steelers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Vikings listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Vikings have looked good in their games this season with their 2-1 record overall and they are showing early on in the season that they can still be a threat to make the playoffs. They have a ton of talent and their defense has been great all year, even in their 1 loss. Their offense has been really up and down as they search for an answer at QB, but Wentz looked really good in this offense last week and an experienced veteran like that could be exactly what they need with the talent they have on offense. Meanwhile, the Steelers have looked good in their games this season with their 2-1 record overall, but they haven't been that impressive in their wins. They beat up on 2 bad teams, beating the Jets and the Patriots, and they struggled to beat the Patriots last week too. Their only loss was at home against the Seahawks and their offense couldn't really do much in that game. Their defense hasn't looked great in their 3 games either so that is going to continue being an issue here against an offense like the Vikings. Rodgers hasn't been blowing anyone away with his performances either, and he really struggled against this Vikings defense last season when he saw them in England. The best way to place a bet here is on the Vikings to cover the spread in this game.
Vikings Steelers Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, September 28, 2025 (9:30 am ET start time) is Vikings 20 Steelers 17.
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NFL Betting Trends
Minnesota Vikings: 6-0 ATS in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 5-0 ATS after a win by 14 or more points. 6-1 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. 13-6 UNDER as a favorite. 6-2 UNDER vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game.
Pittsburgh Steelers: 13-24 ATS against NFC North division opponents. 0-4 ATS at home when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 16-28 ATS at home versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 130 rushing yards/game or more. 8-3 UNDER off a road win. 12-6 UNDER after playing their last game on the road.
Key Injuries
Minnesota Vikings: J. Allen (DL) Injured - Rest. J. Hargrave (DL) Injured - Chest. D. Jackson (OG) Injured - Wrist. R. Kelly (C) Injured - Concussion. J. McCarthy (QB) Injured - Ankle. J. Metellus (S) Injured - Foot. J. Redmond (DL) Injured - Hand. J. Skule (OT) Injured - Concussion. A. Van Ginkel (LB) Injured - Neck. B. Yurosek (TE) Injured - Knee.
Pittsburgh Steelers: D. Slay (CB) Injured - NIR - Rest. C. Heyward (DL) Injured - NIR - Rest. T. Watt (LB) Injured - NIR - Rest. J. Smith (TE) Injured - NIR - Rest. I. Seumalo (OG) Injured - NIR - Rest. D. Elliott (S) Injured - Knee. A. Highsmith (LB) Injured - Ankle. P. Queen (LB) Injured - Oblique. J. Porter Jr. (CB) Injured - Hamstring. J. Warren (RB) Injured - NIR - Rest.
Notable Quotes
“I was the least surprised person in the whole building today that he was able to go out there and effectively run our offense.” - Kevin O’Connell after his team’s win against the Bengals in their last game.
“It was, but it is every week. We identify opportunities and certainly he had some fumble history last year and so it was an agenda of ours.” - Mike Tomlin after his team’s win against the Patriots in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Minnesota Vikings
WR Jefferson, Justin
WR Nailor, Jalen
WR Thielen, Adam
TE Hockenson, T.J.
QB Wentz, Carson
RB Mason, Jordan
Pittsburgh Steelers
WR Metcalf, DK
WR Austin III, Calvin
TE Smith, Jonnu
TE Freiermuth, Pat
QB Rodgers, Aaron
RB Warren, Jaylen
Statistical Leaders
Minnesota Vikings
Passing: J.J. McCarthy (301)
Rushing: Jordan Mason (214)
Receiving: Justin Jefferson (200)
Touchdowns: Jordan Mason (2)
Pittsburgh Steelers
Passing: Aaron Rodgers (586)
Rushing: Jaylen Warren (132)
Receiving: Jaylen Warren (142)
Touchdowns: DK Metcalf (2)
Coaches:
Minnesota Vikings: Kevin O'Connell (4th season)
Pittsburgh Steelers: Mike Tomlin (19th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
