by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Sep 30, 2025
Game Time: 9:30 am ET, Sunday, October 5, 2025
Venue: Northumberland Development Project, London, England
Where to Watch: NFL Network, NFL Network+
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Vikings -4.5, Browns +4.5; Over/Under: 36.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Vikings -3.5, Browns +3.5; Over/Under: 36.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Vikings -3.5, Browns +3.5; Over/Under: 36.5 points
Season Record
Minnesota Vikings: 2-2 (3rd place, NFC North)
Cleveland Browns: 1-3 (4th place, AFC North)
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Recent Form
Minnesota Vikings: lost their last game at a neutral site against the Pittsburgh Steelers 24-21.
Cleveland Browns: lost their last game on the road against the Detroit Lions 34-10.
Minnesota Vikings vs Cleveland Browns Preview and Analysis
The Vikings are entering this game with a 2-2 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They lost their last game against the Pittsburgh Steelers 24-21. Carson Wentz was the starting QB and he completed 30/46 passes for 350 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Jordan Mason led the team in rushing yards with 57. Justin Jefferson led the receivers with 126 receiving yards on 10 receptions. Eric Wilson led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Jalen Redmond led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Browns are entering this game with a 1-3 record overall and they have a 0-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 0-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They lost their last game against the Detroit Lions 34-10. Joe Flacco was the starting QB and he completed 16/34 passes for 184 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Quinshon Judkins led the team in rushing yards with 82 and 1 TD. Isaiah Bond led the receivers with 58 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Devin Bush led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. Denzel Ward came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Vikings vs Browns Prediction
The current betting odds have the Vikings listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Vikings haven't looked great in their games this season with their 2-2 record overall. They have been really up and down this season due to inconsistencies at the quarterback position. They are off a 24-21 loss to the Steelers in their last one and that game wasn't really as close as the score suggests. Wentz was terrible for most of the game, but they did make it interesting at the end and now they have a big advantage coming into this one since they played in Ireland last week and didn't have to travel much for this game. Meanwhile, the Browns haven't looked great in their games this season with their 1-3 record overall which has them right near the bottom of the AFC North. They have looked a lot better at home this year as they have played in 2 close games there, but they have looked terrible in their road games with 2 bad losses by double digits. The defense has looked great in their games as they have been keeping them in their games, but their offense has looked terrible and they still haven't scored 20 points yet in their first 4 games. The defense can only do so much, but this offense has struggled to stay on the field all season and they aren't going to be any better against this Vikings defense. The best way to place a bet here is on the Vikings to cover the spread in this game.
Vikings Browns Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 5, 2025 (9:30 am ET start time) is Vikings 24 Browns 14.
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NFL Betting Trends
Minnesota Vikings: 6-1 ATS in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 3-0 ATS vs. poor passing teams averaging 5.7 or less passing yards/att. 6-3 ATS in games played on a grass field. 6-1 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 9-3 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record.
Cleveland Browns: 4-9 ATS after scoring 14 points or less last game. 5-9 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. 2-6 ATS versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more. 3-0 UNDER against NFC North division opponents.
Key Injuries
Minnesota Vikings: J. McCarthy (QB) Injured - Ankle. B. O'Neill (OT) Injured - Knee. Z. Scott (RB) Injured - Knee. A. Van Ginkel (LB) Injured - Neck. T. Batty (LB) Injured - Knee. C. Darrisaw (OT) Injured - NIR-Rest. C. Ham (FB) Injured - Knee. D. Jackson (OG) Injured - Wrist. M. Jurgens (OG) Injured - Hamstring. R. Kelly (C) Injured - Concussion. B. Yurosek (TE) Injured - Knee.
Cleveland Browns: J. Bitonio (OG) Injured - NIR-Rest. M. Collins (DL) Injured - NIR-Rest. J. Conklin (OT) Injured - Elbow. G. Delpit (S) Injured - Back. M. Garrett (DL) Injured - Ankle. M. Hall Jr. (DL) Injured - Knee. C. Lucas (OT) Injured - NIR-Rest. D. Njoku (TE) Injured - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“We just didn't do enough things to overcome either our own execution or the injuries or whatever.” - Kevin O’Connell after his team’s loss against the Steelers in their last game.
“We did too many things that you can’t do if you want to beat a good team on the road. We obviously have to clean these things up.” - Kevin Stefanski after his team’s loss against the Lions in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Minnesota Vikings
WR Jefferson, Justin
WR Addison, Jordan
WR Nailor, Jalen
TE Hockenson, T.J.
QB Wentz, Carson
RB Mason, Jordan
Cleveland Browns
WR Thrash, Jamari
WR Jeudy, Jerry
WR Bond, Isaiah
TE Njoku, David
QB Flacco, Joe
RB Judkins, Quinshon
Statistical Leaders
Minnesota Vikings
Passing: Carson Wentz (523)
Rushing: Jordan Mason (271)
Receiving: Justin Jefferson (326)
Touchdowns: Jordan Mason (2)
Cleveland Browns
Passing: Joe Flacco (815)
Rushing: Quinshon Judkins (237)
Receiving: Jerry Jeudy (182)
Touchdowns: Cedric Tillman (2)
Coaches:
Minnesota Vikings: Kevin O'Connell (4th season)
Cleveland Browns: Kevin Stefanski (6th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
